Fernando ALONSO vs Lance STROLL


Did our AI pick the right driver?
Every prediction we publish ranks the full grid. For each round we take the driver we placed higher of these two, then check who actually finished higher.
For the most recent round the model picked Fernando ALONSO.78%
Alonso starts ahead of Stroll (P17 vs P19) and consistently extracts better race pace and tire management on demanding street circuits, whereas Stroll has struggled for rhythm all weekend.
A round is only scored when both drivers appear in the predicted order and both are classified in the result: a retirement is nobody's call. Published predictions are never edited afterwards.
The rivalry
Across sixteen shared race weekends, Fernando Alonso holds the upper hand over Lance Stroll at Aston Martin. Alonso leads the qualifying head-to-head 13 to 2, the sprint head-to-head 3 to 1, and the race head-to-head 3 to 1. In the standings, Alonso has accumulated 7 points with zero wins, zero podiums, six retirements, an average finish of 14.6, and an average qualifying position of 18.88. Stroll has registered 0 points, zero wins, zero podiums, eleven retirements, an average finish of 15.2, and an average qualifying position of 20.33. The team has operated with an uncompetitive package defined by severe mechanical fragility, which has limited direct wheel-to-wheel battles and negated any necessity for team orders. Although developmental aerodynamic upgrades were introduced to address car balance, they failed to yield meaningful performance gains. Alonso has preserved a consistent single-lap advantage on Saturdays, whereas Stroll has endured persistent reliability failures and rearward qualifying positions that hindered opportunities to mount any sustained challenge.
Round by round
2026 seasonCommon questions
Who is faster in qualifying, Fernando ALONSO or Lance STROLL?
Fernando ALONSO leads Lance STROLL 13–2 in qualifying head-to-head this season, counting only sessions where both drivers set a time.
Who has finished ahead more often, Fernando ALONSO or Lance STROLL?
Fernando ALONSO has finished ahead of Lance STROLL 3–1 this season, counting only races where both drivers were classified.