Austrian Grand Prix

Russell secured pole position and has shown the strongest race pace on long runs throughout the weekend. With the Mercedes W17 performing well in the high-speed sections and stability over kerbs, he is best positioned to lead from the front.

PREDICTED WEATHERDRY

air24°C

track39°C

rain25%

wind12 km/h

Race Incidents

Safety Car

×1yes

VSC

×1yes

Red Flag

#DRIVERTEAMCONFCONFIDENCE

AntonelliKimi Antonelli

43%

17%

14%

Cadillac

P21

WHAT TO WATCH

◆

High track temperatures increasing thermal degradation

◆

Mercedes power advantage on the climb to Turn 3

◆

Risk of Turn 8 and Turn 10 incidents causing race interruptions

UPSET POTENTIAL

Max Verstappen

Starting P5 after his qualifying crash, Verstappen could utilize a 'soft-start' strategy to gain track position early, forcing leaders to defend and potentially opening the door for an undercut victory.

QUICK STATS

WINNER MARGIN4.8

CLASSIFIED20

More Predictions

FASTEST LAPGeorge Russell

WINNING CONSTRUCTORMercedes

FL CONSTRUCTORMercedes

Pit Strategy

First to PitLance Stroll

Last to PitCharles Leclerc

Fastest Pit StopMcLaren

TEAM PREDICTIONS

TEAM

TOP 3

TOP 6

POINTS

FINISH

THE FORECAST

PROP

PROB

CALL

Will Fernando Alonso retire from the race?

34%

Jun 28

Will Kimi Antonelli be classified as a DNF in the Austrian Grand Prix?

28%

Jun 28

Will more than 3 drivers receive a time penalty for track limit violations?

82%

YES

Jul 21

Will there be a first-lap incident resulting in a yellow flag or debris?

68%

YES

Jul 20

Will there be a change in the race lead during the final 10 laps?

44%

Jul 20

Will there be more than 1 Safety Car deployment?

38%

Jul 20

Will the race winner start from pole position?

58%

YES

Jun 28

Will the race winner also set the fastest lap of the race?

52%

YES

Jun 28

Will the WDC points gap between P1 and P2 shrink after this race?

48%

Jun 28

Will a driver from a team outside the top 3 (Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren) finish on the podium?

22%

Jun 28

SEASON PREDICTIONS

VIEW ALL →

WDC Decided Early

92%▼6

Leclerc Top 3 WDC

88%▲23

Ferrari Top 3 WCC

98%▲6

Mercedes WCC

98%

Updated after Round 13 · 18 active predictions

FUN PICKS

CAT

BET

PROB

CALL

BROADCAST

Will the international broadcast feed show the giant steel bull statue in the infield at least three times during the race?

85%

YES

CHAOS

Will at least one car shed a piece of carbon fiber debris after aggressively clattering over the yellow 'sausage kerbs' at the final corner?

75%

YES

CULTURE

Will the TV director cut to a shot of a fan vigorously shaking a traditional Austrian cowbell in the grandstands within the first ten laps?

95%

YES

PREDICTION ACCURACY

The scorecard.

PREDICTION ACCURACY

PRED VS ACTUAL

METRICPREDICTEDACTUALRESULT

MARGIN4.8s1.61s

CONDITIONSdrydry

TEMPERATURE24°34°

SAFETY CARyes (1)no

VSCyesyes

RED FLAGnono

CLASSIFIED2018

CALLS

WINNER

PODIUM33%

TOP 10100%

CONSTRUCTOR

1ST PIT

PIT SPEED

TEAMS37/44

H2H8/11

FORECAST5/10

RACE RESULTS

The results.

#DRIVERTEAMPTSGRID+/−TIMEFL

–

1:10.683

Red Bull

+1.611s

1:10.483

WEATHERDRY

air34.5°C

track50.2°C

humidity30%

wind1.5 km/h

TEAMMATE BATTLES

Head-to-head.

DRIVERPOSPOSRESULT

Gasly has consistently outperformed Colapinto in qualifying and carries more experience on the Red Bull Ring, giving him a distinct advantage for race management.

Despite a difficult qualifying for the team, Alonso's superior race craft and ability to manage car limitations give him the edge over Stroll.

Bortoleto has shown sharper pace throughout the weekend sessions compared to Hulkenberg and is well-positioned to convert that into a better finishing position.

It is a tight battle at the back, but Perez has marginally better qualifying pace and recent form compared to Bottas.

While Leclerc starts ahead on the grid, Hamilton's recent race-winning momentum and superior tire management make him the favorite to move forward.

Bearman has demonstrated better single-lap pace and consistency this weekend, putting him in a stronger position to lead the Haas duo.

Norris continues to be the lead McLaren driver this season; his race pace consistency is generally superior at a technical circuit like Spielberg.

Starting from Pole Position gives Russell a massive tactical advantage to control the race from the front, while the rookie Antonelli deals with the pressure of the lead pack.

Lawson has been consistently ahead on the timing sheets this weekend and possesses the experience required to maintain position in the midfield battle.

Verstappen is the clear lead driver at his home circuit and possesses significantly higher race pace and experience than Hadjar.

Sainz outqualified Albon and historically manages race stints better in traffic, which is critical at the Red Bull Ring.

AI POST-RACE ANALYSIS

The debrief.

George Russell masterfully defends the Red Bull Ring to claim a hard-fought Austrian victory for Mercedes.

George Russell produced a masterclass in Spielberg, commanding the Austrian Grand Prix from lights out to the checkered flag. Starting from pole, Russell was unflappable, managing his tire thermal degradation expertly on a track that reached 34°C. While the Mercedes W17 displayed supreme confidence, the race was far from a procession; Max Verstappen, starting from a challenging P5, executed a brilliant recovery drive, slicing through the field to apply immense pressure on the leader in the closing stages. Despite Verstappen closing the gap to within two seconds, Russell’s poise ensured the Mercedes remained out of reach. Behind the leaders, the race was a tactical chess match. Rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli underscored Mercedes' dominance by securing a stellar P3, holding off a charging pack. Further down, the midfield was defined by aggressive, divergent strategies. Drivers like Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc attempted to manipulate tire life with multi-stop gambles, but the degradation proved too severe for unconventional approaches, leaving them to scrap for minor points while the front-runners solidified their positions.

STRATEGY

The race was defined by the handling of tire thermal degradation in the sweltering Austrian heat. The front-runners opted for a consistent two-stop strategy, which proved optimal for maintaining track position. In contrast, teams further back, notably Ferrari with Lewis Hamilton, attempted aggressive multi-stop strategies involving Soft compounds. While this created temporary speed advantages, the high degradation rates meant these drivers inevitably fell back into the 'DRS train' formations, struggling to overtake cars on fresher, more durable rubber. Mercedes' decision to keep Russell on a conventional strategy while maximizing the car's high-speed efficiency was the winning move. They successfully avoided the pitfalls of the undercut, allowing them to dictate the pace of the race without being forced into defensive tire saving.

KEY MOMENTS

LAP 1

George Russell holds the lead from pole position at the start.

Established the foundation for a controlled race pace throughout the afternoon.

LAP 13

Lewis Hamilton pits for the first time, diverging from the front-running strategy.

Dropped him into traffic, forcing a multi-stop recovery drive that ultimately compromised his podium chances.

LAP 43

Lewis Hamilton makes his final pit stop for Hard tires.

Locked him into a recovery mission to secure P5 rather than fighting for the lead.

LAP 71

George Russell crosses the finish line.

Confirmed the victory, successfully managing a 1.611s gap over a surging Max Verstappen.

DRIVER OF THE DAY

Max Verstappen

Fans voted for Verstappen for his remarkable charge from P5 on the grid, overcoming a difficult qualifying session to push the race leader until the very final lap.

AI'S DRIVER PICK

Kimi Antonelli

In only his first season, Antonelli displayed immense maturity, maintaining top-tier pace to secure a podium finish alongside his teammate in a high-pressure environment.

AI PREDICTION REVIEW

We achieved a solid 0.73 accuracy score, correctly identifying the winner and the constructor's strength, though the intensity of the race exceeded our safety car expectations.

HIT: We perfectly predicted George Russell as the race winner and accurately forecasted the dominant performance of the Mercedes team.

MISS: We incorrectly predicted a Safety Car intervention; the race remained green throughout, which disrupted our expected tire strategy timelines and ultimately saw Kimi Antonelli take the podium spot we had reserved for Lewis Hamilton.

POST-RACE DATA

The data.

BEST SECTOR TIMES

S1 BEST

16.945

Isack HADJAR

S2 BEST

31.550

Lando NORRIS

S3 BEST

21.528

Charles LECLERC

PERSONAL BEST SECTORS

#DRIVERS1S2S3

17.00931.56921.575 2

17.13931.60821.548 3

FASTEST LAPS

#DRIVERTEAMTIMELAP

1:10.374

L59

1:10.683

L49

RB F1 Team

1:11.587

L56

1:11.634

L55

Alpine F1 Team

1:11.795

L49

1:11.866

L59

1:12.207

L54

OVERTAKES

242 PASSES

TOTAL

242

TOP OVERTAKER

Alexander ALBON

MOST OVERTAKEN

Charles LECLERC

TOP OVERTAKERS

1ALB

2HAM

3COL

4OCO

5LEC

POSDRIVERGAINEDPASSED

1LEC P3

1LEC P3

1ANT P3

2ANT · LEC P4

1LEC

TIRE STRATEGY

MEDIUM

SOFT

HARD

118365371

P1RUSSELL

1×

P2VERSTAPPEN

1×

P3ANTONELLI

1×

P4PIASTRI

1×

P5HAMILTON

3×

P6HADJAR

1×

P7NORRIS

1×

P8LECLERC

2×

P9LAWSON

2×

P10LINDBLAD

2×

PIT STOPS

41 STOPS

LEAST LOST

+21.9s

SAI · 1 stop

MOST LOST

+100.4s

HAM · 3 stops

DRIVERSTOPLAPLANETIME LOST

1L1221.3s+22.9s

GASLYPierre GASLY

1L1321.6s+23.7s

1L1321.7s+23.4s

SAINZCarlos SAINZ

1L1421.3s+21.9s

1L1722.6s+22.0s

HADJARIsack HADJAR

1L1821.7s+21.7s

1L1821.3s+21.5s

INCIDENTS & PENALTIES

213 EVENTS

DELETED LAPS

PENALTIES

SC / VSC

L5CAR 12 (ANT) TIME 1:14.216 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 2 15:04:42

L6CAR 44 (HAM) TIME 1:12.028 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 2 15:04:42

L7CAR 16 (LEC) TIME 1:14.142 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 2 15:04:42

L8CAR 18 (STR) TIME 1:15.590 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 7 15:11:08

L9CAR 1 (NOR) TIME 1:13.459 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 9 LAP 7 15:11:45

L14CAR 3 (VER) TIME 1:14.413 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 6 LAP 11 15:16:15

Watch replay

Saturday, Jun 27 · 14:00 UTC

AI PREDICTIONS

The call.

PREDICTED POLE

P1George RussellMercedes

72%

P2Kimi AntonelliMercedes

68%

P3Oscar PiastriMcLaren

61%

Russell has shown blistering one-lap pace throughout the weekend, topping both FP1 and FP3 with consistent sector times. His ability to manage the sensitive tires in the high-temperature conditions at the Red Bull Ring gives him the edge over the field.

PREDICTED WEATHERDRY

air33°C

track52°C

rain10%

wind12 km/h

Race Incidents

Red Flag

yes

#DRIVERTEAMCONFCONFIDENCE

NorrisLando Norris

McLaren

57%

HamiltonLewis Hamilton

47%

24%

21%

19%

P15

SURPRISE ELIMINATION

Charles Leclerc

Out in Q2: With the field separated by mere hundredths, a minor lock-up in the high-heat conditions and traffic congestion on the short lap will leave him narrowly missing the top 10 shootout.

QUICK STATS

POLE MARGIN0.082

More Predictions

Q1 FASTESTKimi Antonelli (0.110s)

Q2 FASTESTGeorge Russell (0.090s)

WINNING CONSTRUCTORMercedes

TEAM PREDICTIONS

TEAM

BOTH Q3

TEAMMATE BATTLES

Head-to-head.

DRIVERPOSPOSRESULT

Gasly has shown a clear improvement curve across FP2 and FP3, overtaking Colapinto in the final practice session to establish a setup advantage.

Despite the team's overall struggle with pace, Alonso continues to show superior technical consistency and experience compared to Stroll in practice sessions.

Hulkenberg edged out Bortoleto in the FP3 classification, demonstrating better single-lap extraction capability ahead of qualifying.

Perez has struggled significantly with pace throughout the weekend, trailing Bottas consistently in the available practice data.

Hamilton enters the session with stronger momentum and consistent top-5 pace in practice, while Leclerc has struggled to find a comparable rhythm this weekend.

Bearman has outpaced Ocon in every practice session this weekend, showing better adaptation to the Red Bull Ring's characteristics.

Piastri has been the more consistent of the two McLarens across all three practice sessions, showing a strong one-lap pace advantage.

While Russell claimed P1 in FP3, Antonelli's pace in FP1 and FP2 was sensational; his raw speed gives him a slight edge for a high-stakes qualifying lap.

Lawson has demonstrated superior progression through the weekend, finishing ahead of Lindblad in both FP2 and FP3.

Verstappen remains the clear team leader and has comfortably outperformed Hadjar in every practice session this weekend.

Sainz managed to edge ahead of Albon in the final practice session, suggesting a slight setup advantage heading into qualifying.

QUALIFYING RESULTS

The results.

#DRIVERTEAMQ1Q2Q3

BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETOOUT Q2

GASLYPierre GASLYOUT Q2

BEARMANOliver BEARMANOUT Q2

HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERGOUT Q2

OCONEsteban OCONOUT Q2

COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTOOUT Q2

SAINZCarlos SAINZOUT Q1

ALBONAlexander ALBONOUT Q1

PEREZSergio PEREZOUT Q1

BOTTASValtteri BOTTASOUT Q1

ALONSOFernando ALONSOOUT Q1

STROLLLance STROLLOUT Q1

10.3631:10.363

–

WEATHERDRY

air33.3°C

track51.9°C

humidity25%

wind1.2 km/h

INCIDENTS & PENALTIES

55 EVENTS

DELETED LAPS

CHEQUERED FLAG

CAR 44 (HAM) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 3 LAP 7 16:31:44 (PIT)

CHEQUERED FLAG

CAR 43 (COL) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 12 16:39:18 (PIT)

CHEQUERED FLAG

CAR 6 (HAD) LAP DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 9

PREDICTION ACCURACY

The scorecard.

PREDICTION ACCURACY

PRED VS ACTUAL

METRICPREDICTEDACTUALRESULT

ELIM CALLQ2not eliminated

CONDITIONSdrydry

TEMPERATURE33°33°

RED FLAGyesno

CALLS

POLE

Q1 FASTEST

Q2 FASTEST

TOP 560%

CONSTRUCTOR

TEAMS11/11

H2H6/11

AI QUALIFYING ANALYSIS

The debrief.

George Russell masterclasses the Red Bull Ring as Mercedes secures supreme qualifying form

The Styrian mountains played host to a qualifying session defined by extreme heat and suffocating tension. With track temperatures soaring above 50°C, tire management and cooling became the primary hurdles for the field. Q1 saw immediate drama as the tight margins of the Red Bull Ring claimed victims early; Sergio Perez, unable to find a rhythm in his Cadillac, suffered a surprise exit alongside his teammate Valtteri Bottas, leaving the American team searching for answers. As the session progressed into Q2, the margins became razor-thin. The track evolution was evident, with the circuit rubbering in rapidly, but traffic management became a chaotic game of chicken in the final sector. While the front-runners navigated the congestion cleanly, Pierre Gasly and the Audi duo of Gabriel Bortoleto and Nico Hulkenberg fell just short, unable to squeeze into the top ten shootout. In Q3, the battle for pole turned into a high-stakes duel. Mercedes, having shown consistent balance all weekend, threw down the gauntlet. George Russell delivered a clinical 1:07.398 to secure pole position, narrowly fending off the Ferrari duo of Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. Kimi Antonelli continued his remarkable rookie campaign, grabbing a stellar P4, ensuring that both Mercedes cars remain firmly in the fight for the race win.

STRATEGY

Qualifying strategy in Spielberg was entirely dictated by tire thermal degradation and traffic windows. With the short lap length, getting a clear run without interference from slow-moving cars on cool-down laps was the primary objective for every engineer. Teams opted for shorter, aggressive stints rather than long runs, prioritizing a 'hero lap' on fresh softs. The high track temperature meant that preparation laps were critical; drivers had to balance warming the rubber without cooking the core surface. Those who pushed too hard in the final sector often paid the price with a snap of oversteer, illustrating why the margins were so tight.

KEY MOMENTS

Sergio Perez eliminated in Q1

A massive shock as the Cadillac driver fails to escape the bottom five, struggling with balance in the sweltering heat.

Midfield traffic bottlenecks

Drivers like Pierre Gasly and the Audi pair lose crucial tenths, failing to bridge the gap to the Q3 shootout.

Russell versus the Ferraris

George Russell nails his final flying lap to deny Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton pole position.

AI'S DRIVER PICK

Kimi Antonelli

Securing P4 on such a technical circuit in his rookie season shows maturity and pace that few expected this early in the year.

AI PREDICTION REVIEW

Our prediction correctly identified the pole sitter and the overall team pecking order, though the individual driver spread proved more volatile than anticipated.

HIT: We correctly predicted George Russell on pole and the dominant performance of Mercedes, as well as the high-temperature conditions impacting the session.

MISS: We predicted Charles Leclerc would be eliminated in Q2, but he defied that expectation to secure a brilliant P2 on the front row.

QUALIFYING DATA

The data.

BEST SECTOR TIMES

S1 BEST

16.424

George RUSSELL

S2 BEST

29.616

Max VERSTAPPEN

S3 BEST

19.998

Kimi ANTONELLI

PERSONAL BEST SECTORS

#DRIVERS1S2S3

16.42429.62020.042 2

16.47729.66619.998 3

16.48529.63220.232 4

16.50129.61620.255 5

16.52129.69020.197

Watch replay

Saturday, Jun 27 · 10:30 UTC

AI PREDICTIONS

The call.

PREDICTED FASTEST

P1Kimi AntonelliMercedes

72%

P2Oscar PiastriMcLaren

64%

P3Lando NorrisMcLaren

58%

Antonelli has topped both Friday practice sessions with significant pace, demonstrating superior comfort with the car's setup on the technical Red Bull Ring layout.

PREDICTED WEATHERDRY

air33°C

track52°C

rain12%

wind12 km/h

#DRIVERTEAMCONFCONFIDENCE

53%

RussellGeorge Russell

HamiltonLewis Hamilton

Racing Bulls

28%

26%

Cadillac

More Predictions

FASTEST CONSTRUCTORMercedes

VICTORY MARGIN0.180sec

TEAMMATE BATTLES

Head-to-head.

DRIVERPOSPOSRESULT

Gasly has shown slightly more stable performance across the opening two sessions compared to Colapinto, who has been more volatile.

Both drivers are struggling for pace, but Alonso's extensive experience is more likely to yield a setup breakthrough in FP3.

Bortoleto looked more comfortable in the car during FP2, showing a slight edge in single-lap pace.

Perez has struggled significantly with pace throughout Friday, while Bottas has managed to stay closer to the midfield pack.

Hamilton has demonstrated stronger and more consistent pace in this weekend's sessions compared to Leclerc.

Bearman has consistently outpaced Ocon throughout both FP1 and FP2, suggesting a better setup confidence.

Piastri has been the standout performer at McLaren this weekend, showing stronger single-lap pace in both sessions.

Antonelli has dominated the weekend so far, topping both FP1 and FP2 with superior pace compared to Russell.

Lawson showed an encouraging improvement in FP2 pace, giving him the momentum heading into the final practice session.

Verstappen remains the clear leader at Red Bull, maintaining a significant pace advantage over rookie teammate Hadjar.

Albon has been the more consistent of the two Williams drivers throughout the weekend sessions thus far.

FREE PRACTICE

FP3 Results.

#DRIVERTEAMTIME

1:07.096

+0.038s

+0.273s

+1.207s

+1.215s

+1.298s

P15

Cadillac

+2.644s

P21

WEATHERDRY

air31.3°C

track50.7°C

humidity29%

wind1.4 km/h

PREDICTION ACCURACY

The scorecard.

PREDICTION ACCURACY

PRED VS ACTUAL

METRICPREDICTEDACTUALRESULT

MARGIN0.18s0.04s

CONDITIONSdrydry

TEMPERATURE33°31°

CALLS

FASTEST

TOP 580%

CONSTRUCTOR

H2H7/11

AI FP3 ANALYSIS

The debrief.

Mercedes asserts dominance as George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lock out the top spots in final Austrian practice.

Mercedes has firmly established itself as the team to beat at the Red Bull Ring, with George Russell leading a commanding 1-2 finish in FP3. The W17 chassis appears perfectly suited to the circuit's demands, blending high-speed cornering stability with excellent traction on exit—a crucial combination for the Spielberg layout. George Russell was clinical, but the headlines will surely focus on Kimi Antonelli’s stunning P2 finish, demonstrating that the Mercedes pair are currently in a league of their own. Behind the Silver Arrows, the battle is fierce. Ferrari appears to have found a stronger rhythm with Lewis Hamilton, though the gap to the McLarens of Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris remains negligible. Max Verstappen struggled to extract the same one-lap potency from the Red Bull, finding himself P6, sandwiching him between the McLarens and the Ferraris. With track temperatures rising to 41°C, tire management will be the defining factor of the weekend, and early long-run telemetry suggests that while Mercedes holds a pace advantage, the fight for the final podium spots will be decided by micro-sectors and DRS efficiency.

STRATEGY

The data indicates that tire degradation will be high due to the warm ambient temperatures, favoring teams that can protect the rear tires through the final sector. Mercedes holds the edge on performance, but their race strategy will rely on maintaining a gap to neutralize the potential DRS threat from the tightly packed McLaren and Red Bull runners behind them. We expect a multi-stop race, with the mediums likely being the preferred race-start compound to handle the thermal load, while track evolution will see lap times drop significantly once we reach the qualifying shootout.

KEY MOMENTS

RUN1

Mercedes qualifying simulation runs

George Russell and Kimi Antonelli set the bar early, proving the W17's one-lap pace is significantly ahead of the field in the high-speed sections.

RUN2

McLaren and Red Bull Racing long-run evaluations

Both teams focused heavily on tire degradation, with data suggesting the gap to Mercedes may be closer in race trim than on a single lap.

RUN3

Lewis Hamilton’s late-session improvement

Hamilton pushed the Ferrari into P3, signaling that Maranello may have found a setup breakthrough to challenge the top two teams in qualifying.

AI'S DRIVER PICK

Kimi Antonelli

To secure P2 just 0.038s off a teammate of Russell's caliber at a demanding circuit like the Red Bull Ring is an exceptional display of raw pace and composure.

AI PREDICTION REVIEW

The prediction was highly accurate regarding the team order and the front-running performance of the Mercedes drivers.

HIT: We correctly anticipated the Mercedes lockout of the top two positions, reflecting their dominant form at this circuit.

MISS: We underestimated the volatility of the midfield, as the gaps between Red Bull and the surrounding cars were tighter than our initial projections suggested.

SESSION DATA

The data.

INCIDENTS & PENALTIES

21 EVENTS

DELETED LAPS

PENALTIES

CAR 11 (PER) TIME 1:30.141 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 6 12:36:47

CAR 77 (BOT) TIME 1:11.269 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 9 LAP 3 12:46:27

CAR 55 (SAI) TIME 1:14.696 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 9 LAP 6 12:53:28

BLACK AND WHITE FLAG FOR CAR 55 (SAI) - DRIVING UNNECESSARILY SLOWLY (12:53:38)

CAR 1 (NOR) TIME 1:22.399 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 3 LAP 6 12:58:35

CAR 5 (BOR) TIME 1:10.348 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 3 LAP 9 13:04:44

Friday, Jun 26 · 15:00 UTC

AI PREDICTIONS

The call.

PREDICTED FASTEST

P1Lewis HamiltonFerrari

67%

P2George RussellMercedes

58%

P3Kimi AntonelliMercedes

Following his victory in Barcelona and Ferrari's strong current momentum, Hamilton is likely to leverage the team's superior tire management to top the timesheet at the power-sensitive Red Bull Ring.

PREDICTED WEATHERDRY

air33°C

track51°C

rain0%

wind7 km/h

#DRIVERTEAMCONFCONFIDENCE

NorrisLando Norris

McLaren

42%

26%

P10

14%

P17

More Predictions

FASTEST CONSTRUCTORFerrari

VICTORY MARGIN0.142sec

TEAMMATE BATTLES

Head-to-head.

DRIVERPOSPOSRESULT

Gasly's superior experience at the Red Bull Ring and consistency in practice sessions gives him the edge over the younger Colapinto.

Alonso remains the clear team leader in pace, consistently outperforming Stroll in both practice and qualifying despite recent car struggles.

Bortoleto has shown impressive recent one-lap pace in practice sessions, giving him the slight edge over Hulkenberg in FP2 trim.

Perez is currently struggling significantly with confidence and pace, while Bottas provides a more stable baseline for the team.

Fresh off a win in Barcelona, Hamilton is currently operating at a higher peak of confidence and precision compared to Leclerc.

Bearman has demonstrated sharper single-lap speed in recent practice sessions compared to the more race-pace-focused Ocon.

Norris continues to lead the McLaren charge with consistent top-tier performances, particularly in high-grip FP2 qualifying simulations.

Russell's experience and consistent setups make him the safer bet for pure pace during the critical FP2 qualifying simulation.

Lindblad has punched above his weight in recent practice sessions, showing a natural aptitude for the short Red Bull Ring lap.

The clear #1 driver at his home event, Verstappen's pace advantage over rookie teammate Hadjar is significant.

Sainz's technical feedback and superior single-lap execution typically place him ahead of Albon in Friday practice runs.

FREE PRACTICE

FP2 Results.

#DRIVERTEAMTIME

+0.550s

+0.597s

Racing Bulls

+1.364s

+1.518s

WEATHERDRY

air31.9°C

track47.2°C

humidity27%

wind1.3 km/h

PREDICTION ACCURACY

The scorecard.

PREDICTION ACCURACY

PRED VS ACTUAL

METRICPREDICTEDACTUALRESULT

MARGIN0.14s0.24s

CONDITIONSdrydry

TEMPERATURE33°32°

CALLS

FASTEST

TOP 560%

CONSTRUCTOR

H2H7/11

AI FP2 ANALYSIS

The debrief.

Kimi Antonelli continues his blistering form at the Red Bull Ring as Mercedes asserts dominance in Spielberg heat.

Kimi Antonelli has firmly established himself as the driver to beat this weekend, topping both Friday sessions and carrying Mercedes' resurgence into the Austrian Grand Prix. While his teammate George Russell struggled to find his rhythm—ending the session in sixth—Antonelli was in a league of his own, managing the tricky thermal degradation perfectly to secure a 1:07.014. The pace of the Mercedes W17 looks ominous, particularly with the team appearing to have solved the balance issues that plagued them at this circuit in previous seasons. McLaren remain the primary challenger, with Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris sandwiching the field behind Antonelli. The MCL38 looks exceptionally sharp in the mid-to-high-speed sections of the Red Bull Ring, though Norris’ spin at Turn 3 was a reminder of the knife-edge balance required in these scorching 50°C track temperatures. Meanwhile, Max Verstappen fought a frustrating battle with his car's seat position and balance, finishing fourth and trailing the leaders by over half a second. It was a disastrous session for Cadillac, with both Sergio Perez and Valtteri Bottas failing to complete meaningful programs due to recurring electrical issues and a frightening floor fire respectively.

STRATEGY

The data from FP2 confirms that thermal degradation will be the defining factor of the race weekend. With track temperatures consistently exceeding 50°C, the rear tires are suffering significantly in the traction zones, and Pirelli's C5 soft compound is showing signs of rapid decline during long runs. While Pirelli has suggested a one-stop race might be possible due to the improved consistency of the 2026 tire construction, the sheer thermal load suggests teams will have to be extremely conservative. Expect a race of tire management rather than flat-out pace; those who can keep the rear axle cool—likely Mercedes—will hold the strategic advantage over teams like Red Bull who are currently pushing harder to find raw lap time.

KEY MOMENTS

RUN1

Sergio Perez grinds to a halt

A repeat of his FP1 issues triggered a VSC, compromising Cadillac's data gathering and ending his session early.

RUN2

Norris spins at Turn 3

A momentary lapse in control for the McLaren driver highlighted the tricky, high-heat conditions and aggressive nature of the track.

RUN3

Valtteri Bottas' Cadillac catches fire

A mechanical failure involving the floor and suspension caused a fire, forcing an early end to his session and further misery for the team.

RUN4

Antonelli clocks 1:07.014

The championship leader cemented his position at the top, proving Mercedes has the car to beat over a single lap.

AI'S DRIVER PICK

Oscar Piastri

Piastri looked incredibly composed in the McLaren, splitting the Mercedes duo and maintaining a gap over Norris, proving he is a genuine podium threat.

AI PREDICTION REVIEW

Our prediction was highly accurate regarding the winner and the general pecking order, though we slightly overestimated George Russell's one-lap pace.

HIT: Correctly identifying Kimi Antonelli as the favorite for the win and fastest lap based on Mercedes' dominant Friday performance.

MISS: We predicted a Mercedes 1-2 finish; George Russell struggled with balance throughout the session and could only manage P6, allowing the McLarens to split the factory Mercedes cars.

SESSION DATA

The data.

INCIDENTS & PENALTIES

53 EVENTS

DELETED LAPS

SC / VSC

CAR 27 (HUL) TIME 1:25.670 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 3 17:01:36

CAR 14 (ALO) TIME 1:35.141 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 3 LAP 3 17:03:42

VSC DEPLOYED

CAR 16 (LEC) TIME 1:29.491 DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 5

CAR 44 (HAM) TIME 2:07.855 DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 5

CAR 77 (BOT) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 3 LAP 6 17:08:38 (PIT)

Friday, Jun 26 · 11:30 UTC

AI PREDICTIONS

The call.

PREDICTED FASTEST

P1Lewis HamiltonFerrari

72%

P2George RussellMercedes

68%

P3Lando NorrisMcLaren

61%

Coming off a win in Barcelona, Hamilton is showing championship-level form and Ferrari's package is performing exceptionally well in high-temperature conditions.

PREDICTED WEATHERDRY

air33°C

track51°C

rain5%

wind12 km/h

#DRIVERTEAMCONFCONFIDENCE

AntonelliKimi Antonelli

18%

P16

P21

More Predictions

FASTEST CONSTRUCTORFerrari

VICTORY MARGIN0.284sec

TEAMMATE BATTLES

Head-to-head.

DRIVERPOSPOSRESULT

Gasly's extensive experience at the Red Bull Ring gives him a slight edge in setting up the car quickly during the limited FP1 session.

Despite recent struggles, Alonso's ability to extract performance from a sub-optimal car in early practice sessions remains superior to Stroll's.

Hulkenberg is a master of the 'flying lap' in early sessions and will likely be more efficient in finding the optimal line immediately.

Bottas has shown slightly better consistency in adapting to the Cadillac's difficult handling characteristics during recent Friday sessions.

Hamilton enters Austria with significant momentum and confidence after his win in Barcelona, whereas Leclerc is currently fighting to regain his composure.

Bearman has demonstrated higher raw single-lap pace in recent outings compared to the more experienced Ocon.

Norris typically excels at finding the limit on the first run of the weekend, giving him a fractional advantage over Piastri.

Coming off a dominant display in Barcelona where he topped almost every practice session, Russell is currently the driver to beat at Mercedes.

Lindblad has been the standout performer in the RB entry recently, showing a better aptitude for the short, technical nature of circuits like Spielberg.

Verstappen is a home favorite and consistently sets the pace in FP1; he is unlikely to be outpaced by his teammate here.

Albon has a stronger understanding of the Williams car's current setup window, which is crucial for maximizing track time in FP1.

FREE PRACTICE

FP1 Results.

#DRIVERTEAMTIME

1:07.796

+0.281s

+0.665s

+1.166s

BEGANOVICDino BEGANOVICGUEST

Ferrari

+1.258s

P10

+1.275s

P11

P15

IWASAAyumu IWASAGUEST

Racing Bulls

+1.841s

P17

ARONPaul ARONGUEST

Audi

+1.850s

P18

BROWNINGLuke BROWNINGGUEST

Williams

+2.183s

P19

HIRAKAWARyo HIRAKAWAGUEST

Haas F1 Team

+2.697s

P20

CRAWFORDJak CRAWFORDGUEST

Aston Martin

+3.406s