Hungarian Grand Prix

44%

P6

41%

P7

32%

P10

À SURVEILLER

◆

Track position is paramount due to extremely limited overtaking opportunities.

◆

Thermal degradation in 31°C heat will favor Ferrari's balanced setup.

◆

Reliability in high-temp conditions will be a differentiator for Mercedes and Aston Martin.

POTENTIEL SURPRISE

Gabriel Bortoleto

Bortoleto executes a perfect one-stop strategy while others struggle with thermal deg, allowing him to jump the Red Bulls and Mercedes for a surprise top-six finish.

STATS EXPRESS

MARGE DU VAINQUEUR4.2

CLASSÉS20

MEILLEUR TOURCharles Leclerc

CONSTRUCTEUR VAINQUEURFerrari

CONSTRUCTEUR MTFerrari

Premier au standLance Stroll

Dernier au standLewis Hamilton

Arrêt le plus rapideMercedes

PRÉDICTIONS ÉQUIPE

ÉQUIPE

TOP 3

TOP 6

POINTS

CLASSEMENT

PRONOSTICS

PARI

PROBA

CHOIX

Will Lance Stroll record a DNF?

62%

OUI ✗

26 juil.

Will Pierre Gasly finish in the points (Top 10)?

55%

OUI ✗

26 juil.

Will the pole-sitter win the race?

58%

OUI ✓

26 juil.

Will there be more than 1 Safety Car period?

24%

NON ✓

26 juil.

Will a Safety Car be deployed on Lap 1?

18%

NON ✓

26 juil.

Will the WDC points gap between P1 and P2 shrink after this race?

68%

OUI ✗

26 juil.

Will the race winner set the fastest lap?

38%

NON ✓

26 juil.

Will a driver outside the top 3 WCC teams finish on the podium?

32%

NON ✗

26 juil.

Will there be a leader change in the final 10 laps?

15%

NON ✓

26 juil.

PRONOSTICS SAISON

VOIR TOUT →

WDC Decided Early

92%▼6

Leclerc Top 3 WDC

88%▲23

Ferrari Top 3 WCC

98%▲6

Mercedes WCC

98%

Mis à jour après le GP 12 · 18 pronostics actifs

PRONOS FUN

CAT

PARI

PROBA

CHOIX

CHAOS

Will a driver trigger a 'sandstorm' by running wide at the Turn 1/2 complex during the first three laps, blanketing the camera lens in track dust?

75%

OUI ✗

DIFFUSION

Will the world feed cut to a spectator in the grandstands wearing an inflatable pool toy or 'bather' outfit to cope with the sweltering trackside heat?

45%

OUI ✗

ANIMAUX

Will a bird fly low over the track surface during the race, prompting a commentator to make a 'dodging the wildlife' quip?

55%

OUI ✗

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

VAINQUEUR

PODIUM0%

TOP 1080%

CONSTRUCTEUR

MARGE4.2s / 15.08s

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE31° / 31°

SAFETY CARyes (1) / no

VSCyes / yes

DRAPEAU ROUGEno / no

CLASSÉS20 / 19

1ER ARRÊT

VITESSE AUX STANDS

ÉCURIES35/44

FACE-À-FACE7/11

PRONOSTIC5/9

PRONOSTICS FUN0/3

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P1Leader

DNF

Norris starts on pole and has demonstrated superior single-lap and race pace throughout the weekend at the Hungaroring.

P5+24.540s

+23.840sP4

Hamilton starts P2 ahead of Leclerc and possesses the best season form index, showing higher consistency in race management.

P7+57.503s

+18.728sP3

Antonelli has outperformed Russell throughout the weekend sessions and maintains a higher championship form index.

P2+15.080s

+55.488sP6

Despite Hadjar's solid pace, Verstappen's experience at the Hungaroring and starting grid advantage make him the favorite for race pace.

P10+1 LAP

+1 LAPP8

Lawson consistently demonstrates better race pace; I am correcting for the systematic bias of under-rating his finishing position.

P9+1 LAP

+1 LAPP11

Hulkenberg has a significant systematic bias of being predicted too high, making Bortoleto the statistically safer choice for race performance.

P12+1 LAP

+2 LAPSP15

Gasly starts ahead and is a beneficiary of my correction for the systematic under-rating of his race-day performance.

P16+2 LAPS

+2 LAPSP19

Ocon has a superior season form index and starts ahead of Bearman, positioning him well for a better finish.

P18+2 LAPS

+2 LAPSP17

Sainz consistently dominates the head-to-head at Williams, and Albon suffers from a strong systematic bias of being over-rated.

P14+1 LAP

+1 LAPP13

Alonso consistently outperforms Stroll, who has a severe systematic bias of being predicted much higher than his actual finishing positions.

DNF

Bottas has a very high systematic over-rating bias, making Perez the more reliable choice to finish ahead despite the similar grid spots.

ANALYSE IA D'APRÈS-COURSE

Le débriefing.

Lando Norris breaks his 2026 duck with a composed drive to victory in Budapest while McLaren teammate Oscar Piastri suffers late heartbreak.

The 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix proved to be a weekend of redemption for Lando Norris, who converted his pole position into a decisive victory, albeit not in the way he initially planned. The start saw fireworks as Oscar Piastri expertly navigated the opening sequence, utilizing a cutback at Turn 2 to snatch the lead from his teammate. For the first half of the race, Piastri looked masterful, maintaining a cushion over Norris and the field as they navigated the tight, twisty Hungaroring layout. The tactical tide began to turn as the race reached its middle phase. While the Ferraris of Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc attempted to force the issue with early stops for Hard tires, they were largely contained by Max Verstappen. The race took a dramatic turn when Piastri, who had been managing the lead beautifully, encountered misfortune while lapping Carlos Sainz. The contact proved terminal to his afternoon, not just in terms of track position but through the resulting gearbox failure that forced the Australian to retire. Norris, having kept his composure despite a minor off at Turn 4, seized the lead and managed the remaining laps to secure a well-deserved victory. Behind the leader, Max Verstappen quietly maximized his points haul in a difficult car, capitalizing on the chaos to claim second place. Kimi Antonelli continued his remarkable debut campaign with a gritty drive to the final step of the podium. Meanwhile, Ferrari’s afternoon ended in frustration; while Charles Leclerc crossed the line in fourth, teammate Lewis Hamilton, who initially held the position, was demoted to fifth after being slapped with a five-second penalty for pit lane speeding.

MOMENTS CLÉS

TOUR 1

Oscar Piastri makes a brilliant move at Turn 2, jumping polesitter Lando Norris for the lead.

Piastri controlled the opening stint, forcing Norris to manage his pace from second for the first half of the race.

TOUR 14

Lewis Hamilton pits early for Hards, triggering the first wave of pit stops for the frontrunners.

Hamilton attempted to undercut the field, but the strategy was neutralized as Verstappen responded and maintained position.

TOUR 29

Lando Norris runs wide at Turn 4, losing time and momentum in his chase of Piastri.

The mistake caused Norris to drop further back, with race control and the pit wall warning the Briton to settle his pace.

TOUR 55

Oscar Piastri encounters backmarker Carlos Sainz while being lapped, causing contact and significant damage.

The incident compromised Piastri's pace, allowed Norris to close the gap, and contributed to the subsequent mechanical failure that ended his race.

TOUR 70

Lando Norris crosses the line to secure his first victory of the 2026 season.

Norris reclaimed his winning form, while a 5-second penalty for Lewis Hamilton for pit lane speeding dropped the Ferrari driver to fifth.

PILOTE DU JOUR

Lando Norris

Fans selected Norris for his resilience, maintaining pressure on his teammate throughout the opening stint and capitalising perfectly on the opportunity to take his first win of the season when it presented itself.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Kimi Antonelli

Antonelli once again proved his mettle by keeping his Mercedes stable under pressure, securing a vital podium finish while his championship rivals faltered.

STRATÉGIE

The race was a strategic chess match dictated by the high thermal degradation of the Hungaroring. Ferrari attempted an aggressive 'undercut' strategy with Lewis Hamilton stopping on lap 14, but the track's nature made overtaking difficult, negating the advantage. The one-stop strategy, which many teams flirted with, ultimately proved too punishing for the tires, forcing most frontrunners into a two-stop variation. McLaren’s execution was the differentiator; they allowed their drivers to race initially, and when the track position shifted due to the Piastri/Sainz collision, Norris had the fresher tire life and the discipline to pull away from the chasing Verstappen. The decision to prioritize tire conservation over raw pace in the second stint proved critical for Norris’s victory.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

Our prediction performance was poor, with an accuracy score of 0.31, as we failed to anticipate the specific nature of the McLaren intra-team battle.

JUSTE : We correctly identified that the Hungaroring would see a Virtual Safety Car period and accurately predicted that Lewis Hamilton would be involved in the pit-stop-related tactical drama.

FAUX : We wrongly predicted a Ferrari 1-2 with Hamilton as the winner, failing to account for the McLaren pace advantage and the costly pit lane penalty that ultimately hampered Hamilton's result.

DONNÉES D'APRÈS-COURSE

Les données.

MEILLEURS TEMPS PAR SECTEUR

MEILLEUR SS1

28.569

Lewis HAMILTON

MEILLEUR SS2

29.621

Charles LECLERC

MEILLEUR SS3

23.417

George RUSSELL

MEILLEURS SECTEURS PERSONNELS

#PILOTES1S2S3

1

28.80729.62123.439 2

NORRISLando NORRIS

28.84429.85223.443 3

ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI

28.71530.01823.479 4

28.56930.21523.489 5

RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL

28.96330.03623.417

DÉPASSEMENTS

262 DÉPASSEMENTS

TOTAL

262

PLUS GRAND NOMBRE DE DÉPASSEMENTS

19

Fernando ALONSO

PLUS DÉPASSÉ

23

Oscar PIASTRI

TOP DÉPASSEMENTS

1ALO

19

2STR

18

3BEA

17

4RUS

17

5BOR

15

POSPILOTEGAINDÉPASSÉ

P2

PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI

1LEC P3

1LEC P4

1LEC P4

1HAM P1

PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI

1NOR

STRATÉGIE PNEUS

MEDIUM

SOFT

HARD

118355370

P1NORRIS

M

H

S

3×

P2VERSTAPPEN

M

H

S

2×

P3ANTONELLI

M

H

2×

P4LECLERC

S

H

S

3×

P5HAMILTON

S

H

S

3×

P6HADJAR

M

H

2×

P7RUSSELL

M

H

2×

P8LAWSON

M

H

S

2×

P9HULKENBERG

M

H

S

2×

P10LINDBLAD

M

H

1×

ARRÊTS AU STAND

44 ARRÊTS

ÉQUIPE LA PLUS RAPIDE

—

ÉQUIPE LA PLUS LENTE

—

MINIMUM PERDU

+20.2s

LIN · 1 arrêt

MAXIMUM PERDU

+80.9s

GAS · 3 arrêts

PILOTEARRÊTTOURÉQUIPEVOIETEMPS PERDU

STROLLLance STROLL

1L8—21.7s+21.2s

1L13—21.7s+22.2s

COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO

1L14—21.6s+21.6s

1L15—22.9s+23.7s

PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI

1L16—21.7s+23.3s

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

80 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

21

PÉNALITÉS

5

SC / VSC

1

L2CAR 43 (COL) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 4 LAP 1 15:03:59

L4CAR 31 (OCO) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 1 15:03:36

L4CAR 18 (STR) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 14 LAP 1 15:04:56

L13CAR 23 (ALB) TIME 1:31.197 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 4 LAP 12 15:20:18

L16CAR 43 (COL) TIME 1:29.139 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 4 LAP 14 15:23:06

L16YELLOW IN PIT LANE

Voir le replay

QUALIFICATIONS

TERMINÉ84% DE PRÉCISION

samedi 25 juil. · 14:00 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

POLE PRÉDITE

P1Lando NorrisMcLaren

71%

P2Lewis HamiltonFerrari

68%

P3Kimi AntonelliMercedes

64%

Norris topped the final practice session with a blistering lap time of 1:17.939, showing superior single-lap pace on the soft compound and strong sector performance in the twisty final complex.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY29°Cair45°Cpiste0%12 km/h

Drapeau Rougeyes

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

P4

LeclercCharles Leclerc

56%

P7

Racing Bulls

48%

P10

Alpine

38%

P14

35%

P15

ÉLIMINATION SURPRISE

Nico Hulkenberg

Out en Q2 — Despite his experience, the Audi car has struggled with consistency in high-track-temp qualifying runs compared to the tightly bunched field ahead.

STATS EXPRESS

MARGE DE LA POLE0.080

Q1 PLUS RAPIDELando Norris (0.120s)

Q2 PLUS RAPIDELewis Hamilton (0.050s)

CONSTRUCTEUR VAINQUEURMcLaren

PRÉDICTIONS ÉQUIPE

ÉQUIPE

LES DEUX EN Q3

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P12

P13

Gasly holds a 7-3 season qualifying advantage and outpaced Colapinto in FP3, suggesting he maintains the edge on pure one-lap pace.

P20

P16

Alonso consistently outperforms Stroll (7-2 H2H), and Stroll suffers from a significant systematic over-rating bias in recent predictions.

P10

P14

Hulkenberg shows a strong tendency toward over-rating in current form data, while Bortoleto's underlying pace is trending positively.

P22

P21

While both drivers face bias issues, Perez maintains a superior qualifying head-to-head record (6-4) over the course of the season.

P2

P3

Hamilton showed stronger one-lap pace throughout FP3, securing P2 compared to Leclerc's P4.

P17

P15

Bearman has been the clear lead qualifier at Haas this season with an 8-2 head-to-head record.

P5

LeaderP1

Norris topped the FP3 timesheets and carries strong momentum into qualifying compared to Piastri's P5.

P7

P4

Antonelli has shown superior one-lap pace this weekend, confirmed by his P3 in FP3 versus Russell's P6.

P9

P11

Lawson outpaced Lindblad significantly in FP3 (P9 vs P13) and holds the season head-to-head advantage.

P6

P8

Verstappen remains the primary qualifying force at Red Bull with a 7-2 season head-to-head record.

P19

P18

Sainz holds an 8-1 season H2H advantage, and Albon suffers from a consistent systematic over-rating bias in performance predictions.

RÉSULTATS DES QUALIFICATIONS

Les résultats.

1:SS.ms

#PILOTEQ1Q2Q3

ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI

HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG

RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL

LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD

LAWSONLiam LAWSONOUT Q2

GASLYPierre GASLYOUT Q2

COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTOOUT Q2

BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETOOUT Q2

OCONEsteban OCONOUT Q2

ALONSOFernando ALONSOOUT Q2

BEARMANOliver BEARMANOUT Q1

20.2331:20.233

P18

SAINZCarlos SAINZOUT Q1

20.6211:20.621

ALBONAlexander ALBONOUT Q1

P19

20.6581:20.658

P20

STROLLLance STROLLOUT Q1

20.6591:20.659

BOTTASValtteri BOTTASOUT Q1

P21

20.8861:20.886

P22

PEREZSergio PEREZOUT Q1

21.3221:21.322

MÉTÉOSEC

MÉTÉOSEC26.8°Cair46.4°Cpiste23%1.8 km/h

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

48 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

10

CAR 55 (SAI) TIME 1:23.576 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 4 LAP 3 16:02:17

CAR 16 (LEC) TIME 1:18.878 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 3 LAP 3 16:04:20

CAR 5 (BOR) TIME 1:19.476 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 4 LAP 3 16:08:40

CAR 10 (GAS) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 4 16:08:19 (PIT)

CAR 43 (COL) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 7 LAP 4 16:09:25 (PIT)

CHEQUERED FLAG

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

POLE

Q1 PLUS RAPIDE

Q2 PLUS RAPIDE

TOP 5100%

PRONOSTIC ÉLIMINÉSQ2 / not eliminated

CONSTRUCTEUR

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE29° / 27°

DRAPEAU ROUGEyes / no

ÉCURIES11/11

FACE-À-FACE7/11

ANALYSE IA DES QUALIFICATIONS

Le débriefing.

Lando Norris claims clinical Hungarian Grand Prix pole as late-session chaos halts rivals' final bids.

Lando Norris secured a commanding pole position for the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix, delivering a stellar performance that saw McLaren finally break the recent stranglehold at the top of the grid. In a session defined by extreme track temperatures approaching 50°C, Norris navigated the technical twists of the Hungaroring with precision, setting a 1:18.277 that proved untouchable as the session reached a dramatic, chaotic conclusion. The final shootout in Q3 was marred by late-session incidents that effectively froze the order. A spin by Max Verstappen and a subsequent mechanical issue for George Russell brought out yellow flags in the closing seconds, denying the chasing pack a chance to respond to Norris’ benchmark. This left Lewis Hamilton, who had been pushing hard, to settle for second alongside Ferrari teammate Charles Leclerc in third, as Mercedes’ Kimi Antonelli rounded out a high-pressure top four.

MOMENTS CLÉS

Q3

Max Verstappen spin

Triggered a yellow flag in the dying moments of Q3, preventing drivers behind him from improving their final laps.

Q3

George Russell mechanical stop

Caused further track disruption on his final run, compounding the yellow flag chaos that solidified the order.

Q1

Q1 elimination surprises

High track temperatures of nearly 50°C made tire management difficult, leading to early exits for veterans like Fernando Alonso.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Kimi Antonelli

Antonelli continues to impress, holding his nerve in a high-stakes Q3 session to secure P4, firmly establishing himself amidst the established championship contenders.

STRATÉGIE

The defining factor today was thermal management. With track temperatures soaring, teams were forced into a delicate balancing act, attempting to keep the soft tires in their operating window without overheating them by the time the car reached the technical final sector. The rapid track evolution meant that every session saw significant time gains, but the late-session yellow flags prioritized those who got their banker laps in early. Traffic management in Q1 and Q2 also proved pivotal. Teams that prioritized track position and clear air on their final preparation laps generally fared better, while those caught in the shuffle struggled to find the necessary grip, particularly in the closing minutes of Q3 when the incidents neutralized the track.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

Our prediction performed exceptionally well with an accuracy score of 0.89, correctly identifying the constructor winner and a high number of top-10 finishes.

JUSTE : We correctly predicted Lando Norris as the pole sitter and the McLaren constructor advantage, recognizing their superior pace in the final sector throughout practice.

FAUX : We incorrectly predicted a red flag and failed to foresee the late-session yellow flag chaos caused by Verstappen and Russell, which ultimately determined the final top-10 shakeup.

DONNÉES DES QUALIFICATIONS

Les données.

MEILLEURS TEMPS PAR SECTEUR

MEILLEUR SS1

27.329

Lewis HAMILTON

MEILLEUR SS2

27.621

Lando NORRIS

MEILLEUR SS3

22.048

Lewis HAMILTON

MEILLEURS SECTEURS PERSONNELS

#PILOTES1S2S3

1

NORRISLando NORRIS

27.36427.62122.222 2

27.32927.84222.048 3

27.54227.77522.128 4

ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI

ESSAIS LIBRES 3

TERMINÉ45% DE PRÉCISION

samedi 25 juil. · 10:30 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

PLUS RAPIDE PRÉDIT

P1Lewis HamiltonFerrari

63%

P2Charles LeclercFerrari

58%

P3Lando NorrisMcLaren

42%

Hamilton showed dominant pace in FP2 and, alongside teammate Leclerc, has demonstrated the strongest single-lap and long-run performance in the Ferrari across Friday's sessions.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY25°Cair42°Cpiste10%12 km/h

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

P4

AntonelliKimi Antonelli

46%

P7

Racing Bulls

26%

P11

Haas F1 Team

17%

P16

P2Max VerstappenRed Bull Racing

CONSTRUCTEUR LE PLUS RAPIDEFerrari

MARGE DE VICTOIRE0.180sec

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P12+1.784s

+2.116sP14

Gasly holds a superior 7-3 qualifying H2H record and, as I tend to under-rate him, he likely has more pace in reserve for a qualifying simulation than the data suggests.

P18+2.994s

+2.454sP17

Alonso dominates the H2H 7-2, and Stroll is consistently prone to being over-rated by my projections, suggesting a significant gap in single-lap performance.

P10+1.221s

+1.399sP11

Bortoleto shows stronger recent form and is under-rated in my system, while Hulkenberg has a bias toward being over-rated, making Bortoleto the sharper choice for a fast lap.

P22

+3.360sP19

While both are often over-rated, Perez leads the H2H 6-4 and has historically shown a slight edge in qualifying-spec runs over Bottas this season.

P2+0.117s

+0.352sP4

Hamilton showed dominant pace in FP2 at the Hungaroring and leads the season form index; he currently has the momentum over Leclerc at this circuit.

P16+2.373s

+2.356sP15

Bearman has established a commanding 8-2 qualifying H2H lead and consistently maximizes the Haas potential on single-lap runs.

P5+0.499s

LeaderP1

Norris leads the H2H 6-4 and showed superior pace in FP2, indicating he is currently the faster McLaren over a single lap.

P6+0.602s

+0.129sP3

Antonelli's form is currently in a declining phase, whereas Russell remains a consistent performer at permanent circuits and outpaced his teammate in FP2.

P13+1.956s

+1.149sP9

Lawson leads the H2H and, as an under-rated driver in my system, he is better positioned to outperform Lindblad during the low-fuel qualifying sims of FP3.

P7+0.717s

+1.004sP8

Despite Hadjar's strong form, Verstappen's 7-2 H2H record and experience on the Hungaroring make him the safe bet for a pure one-lap pace session.

P21+3.574s

+3.467sP20

Sainz holds a dominant 8-1 H2H advantage, while Albon is consistently over-rated by my metrics, signaling a clear performance gap.

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

PLUS RAPIDE

TOP 560%

CONSTRUCTEUR

MARGE0.18s / 0.12s

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE25° / 25°

FACE-À-FACE7/11

ANALYSE IA FP3

Le débriefing.

Lando Norris edges out tight field to top final practice as qualifying battle intensifies at the Hungaroring.

FP3 at the Hungaroring delivered a tense, high-stakes preview of what promises to be a ferocious qualifying session later today. Lando Norris emerged as the pacesetter for McLaren, finding a sweet spot in the SF-26’s balance to stop the clock at 1:17.939. His performance was matched by the intensity of Lewis Hamilton and Kimi Antonelli, who finished just 0.117s and 0.129s behind, respectively. The margins between the top three teams remain razor-thin, with Mercedes and Ferrari showing they have the one-lap pace to challenge McLaren for pole position. While the frontrunners engaged in a tactical battle, the rest of the field faced varied challenges. Red Bull appeared to struggle with car handling and bump compliance, leaving Max Verstappen down in seventh, while Carlos Sainz’s session was hampered by heavy floor damage caused by the unforgiving kerbs at Turn 4. Meanwhile, the midfield battle continues to be volatile, with Audi’s Nico Hulkenberg finding impressive grip to secure a top-ten slot, underscoring the team's ongoing progress.

MOMENTS CLÉS

RUN1

Sergio Perez brings out the red flag

The Cadillac driver ground to a halt at Turn 2 with a brake fire, losing crucial track time and disrupting team programs early in the session.

RUN2

McLaren and Mercedes trade top spots

As the session reached its final 20 minutes, the competitive order tightened, with Norris, Hamilton, and Antonelli repeatedly swapping the fastest sector times.

RUN3

Carlos Sainz reports floor damage

The Williams driver experienced significant underside damage at Turn 4, forcing an early end to his qualifying simulations.

RUN4

Lando Norris sets the benchmark

Norris broke the 1:18 barrier with a 1:17.939, establishing himself as the man to beat heading into the afternoon qualifying session.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Kimi Antonelli

The young Mercedes driver was outstanding, pushing the W17 to its limits and finishing within a tenth of the session leader, firmly cementing his status as a contender for front-row starting positions.

STRATÉGIE

The data from FP3 highlights significant tire management challenges ahead, with the 31°C heat and high track temperatures pushing compounds to their thermal limits. The degradation patterns observed suggest that teams capable of keeping surface temperatures stable in the twisting second sector will hold a distinct advantage during the race. While single-lap pace is tight, the varying performance of the updated cars—specifically the Aston Martin and Audi packages—suggests that race strategy will likely pivot toward tire endurance, potentially favoring a two-stop approach if thermal deg persists.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

Our prediction correctly identified the primary contenders from Ferrari and McLaren, but underestimated the one-lap threat posed by McLaren and Mercedes.

JUSTE : We correctly anticipated that Lewis Hamilton would be in the immediate fight for the top positions, finishing just 0.117s off the lead.

FAUX : We projected a stronger showing for Charles Leclerc relative to the field; while he remains competitive, he finished fourth, behind both Antonelli and Hamilton, due to a scrappier final run.

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

67 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

22

DRAPEAUX ROUGES

1

CAR 18 (STR) TIME 1:24.496 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 3 12:39:15

CAR 14 (ALO) TIME 1:39.242 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 3 12:45:54

CAR 77 (BOT) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 1 LAP 6 12:46:40 (PIT)

RED FLAG

CAR 30 (LAW) TIME 1:37.644 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 4 LAP 7 12:59:01

CAR 12 (ANT) TIME 1:19.856 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 4 LAP 4 12:59:52

ESSAIS LIBRES 2

TERMINÉ41% DE PRÉCISION

vendredi 24 juil. · 15:00 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

PLUS RAPIDE PRÉDIT

P1Charles LeclercFerrari

67%

63%

P3Lewis HamiltonFerrari

59%

Leclerc demonstrated strong pace in FP1 and Ferrari's seasonal form on permanent circuits suggests they will optimize setup efficiently for qualifying simulations.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY26°Cair42°Cpiste4%15 km/h

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

P4

AntonelliKimi Antonelli

43%

P9

Aston Martin

22%

P20

CONSTRUCTEUR LE PLUS RAPIDEFerrari

MARGE DE VICTOIRE0.280sec

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P14+2.087s

+3.802sP21

Gasly holds a superior qualifying H2H record this season and brings more experience to a technical circuit like the Hungaroring, despite Colapinto's solid form.

P19+2.990s

DNF

Alonso significantly outperforms Stroll in season form and H2H metrics, maintaining an edge even during practice sessions at traditional circuits.

P9+1.396s

+1.745sP11

Bortoleto showed better pace in FP1 and carries stronger momentum; Hulkenberg has been prone to being over-rated in predictions this season.

P20+3.063s

+2.713sP18

While both drivers struggle with consistency, Perez has frequently been over-rated in previous predictions, tilting the slight edge toward Bottas in a tight battle.

P1Leader

+0.148sP2

Leclerc topped FP1 and generally excels on technical tracks like the Hungaroring, giving him the edge for single-lap pace in FP2.

P15+2.221s

+1.828sP12

Ocon maintains a higher season form index and is more reliable in translating practice pace into competitive lap times than the rookie Bearman.

P8+1.372s

+0.499sP3

Piastri has demonstrated a higher ceiling in recent rounds compared to Norris, who has struggled with his recent form index.

P5+0.933s

+1.964sP13

Antonelli's season form has been significantly stronger than Russell's, and he is better positioned to maximize the Mercedes car's potential in Friday sessions.

P10+1.524s

+1.312sP7

Lindblad outperformed Lawson in FP1 and tends to be under-rated in predictions, suggesting he has the pace to edge his teammate again.

P4+0.692s

+1.071sP6

Despite Hadjar's impressive recent growth, Verstappen remains the class of the field and consistently extracts more raw pace over a single lap.

P16+2.244s

+2.697sP17

Albon has been over-rated in recent predictions; Sainz holds the qualifying head-to-head advantage and is likely to find more pace as the session progresses.

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

PLUS RAPIDE

TOP 560%

CONSTRUCTEUR

MARGE0.28s / 0.15s

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE26° / 24°

FACE-À-FACE4/11

ANALYSE IA FP2

Le débriefing.

Ferrari dominant in Budapest as Hamilton leads practice ahead of a challenging Hungarian Grand Prix weekend.

Friday at the Hungaroring confirmed that Ferrari has brought a potent package to Budapest, with Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc comfortably setting the pace in FP2. The Scuderia looked balanced and confident in the warm, breezy conditions, demonstrating that their car remains the one to beat on high-downforce, technical layouts. While Hamilton secured the top spot with a 1:18.729, the entire field struggled with low-grip track conditions, leading to several handling headaches throughout the grid. Behind the Ferrari duo, the competitive order remained somewhat obscured by a session-disrupting red flag caused by Franco Colapinto’s crash. This incident proved costly for teams like Mercedes and McLaren, as several drivers were unable to complete their performance runs on the soft compound tyres. Meanwhile, the midfield battle remains incredibly tight; with the track's twisty nature making overtaking notoriously difficult, the importance of tomorrow's qualifying session has been magnified, forcing teams to balance single-lap improvements against crucial long-run tyre degradation data.

MOMENTS CLÉS

RUN1

Ferrari lock out the top of the timesheets

Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc confirmed Ferrari's high-downforce strength, setting the early standard on a track that rewards chassis balance.

RUN2

Franco Colapinto brings out the red flags

A late crash for the Alpine driver interrupted late-session soft tyre runs, denying several drivers, including Oscar Piastri and Kimi Antonelli, a clean representative lap.

RUN3

Aston Martin’s technical struggles

Lance Stroll was forced to miss the session following extensive damage from FP1, leaving Fernando Alonso to carry the load alone while testing a major car upgrade.

RUN4

McLaren and Red Bull data collection

With new floors and aerodynamic packages to validate, McLaren and Red Bull prioritized long-run simulations over single-lap qualifying pace.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Lando Norris

Despite McLaren focusing on significant floor upgrades, Norris managed to split the Red Bull challenge and secure P3, proving the team's new package has immediate competitive potential.

STRATÉGIE

Practice data suggests that thermal degradation will be the primary limiting factor this weekend. The Hungaroring’s abrasive surface combined with expected high ambient temperatures points toward a two-stop strategy being the optimal route for the race. With the track providing limited overtaking opportunities, track position remains king; consequently, we expect teams to prioritize qualifying trim over absolute race-pace consistency in their final setup tweaks. Teams like Aston Martin, who were forced to split their data collection, will face a significant uphill battle to understand the tyre wear profile of their new 'B-spec' components. The soft tyres showed signs of graining during longer runs, suggesting that drivers who can preserve their rubber in the final sector—where the tyres are most stressed—will have a distinct advantage come Sunday.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

The prediction correctly identified Ferrari as the team to beat, though the midfield order was shuffled by the late red flag.

JUSTE : Correctly forecasting the Ferrari 1-2 finish in FP2, validating our confidence in their high-downforce setup.

FAUX : Underestimated the disruption caused by the red flag, which hindered Kimi Antonelli’s ability to challenge for the top three positions as we had predicted.

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

72 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

40

DRAPEAUX ROUGES

1

CAR 81 (PIA) TIME 1:30.941 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 11 LAP 3 17:03:32

CAR 11 (PER) TIME 1:28.782 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 12 LAP 3 17:03:05

CAR 43 (COL) TIME 2:14.517 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 7 LAP 4 17:04:29

CAR 6 (HAD) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 14 LAP 2 17:04:45

CAR 6 (HAD) TIME 1:40.260 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 14 (NEXT LAP)

CAR 6 (HAD) TIME 1:40.260 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 7 LAP 3 17:05:29

ESSAIS LIBRES 1

TERMINÉ42% DE PRÉCISION

vendredi 24 juil. · 11:30 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

PLUS RAPIDE PRÉDIT

P1Kimi AntonelliMercedes

73%

P2Lewis HamiltonFerrari

67%

P3Charles LeclercFerrari

62%

Kimi Antonelli has demonstrated exceptional one-lap pace in recent practice sessions and continues to benefit from the Mercedes upgrade package, making him the favorite for FP1.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY22°Cair38°Cpiste10%14 km/h

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

34%

P13

Cadillac

11%

P21

CONSTRUCTEUR LE PLUS RAPIDEMercedes

MARGE DE VICTOIRE0.214sec

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P14+2.629s

DNF

Gasly has consistently outperformed Colapinto in qualifying H2H (7-3) and is currently in a better form cycle, favoring him on the technical, twisty Hungaroring layout.

P21+4.396s

+2.475sP13

Alonso remains the clear team leader and significantly more consistent; my historical over-rating of Stroll reinforces the high confidence in Alonso.

P8+1.548s

+1.285sP6

Bortoleto is a rising talent who has matched Hulkenberg evenly this season; given my bias toward over-rating Hulkenberg, I lean toward the Brazilian's momentum.

P18+3.014s

DNF

With Colton Herta substituting for Bottas in this session, the experienced Perez should have a significant advantage in car familiarity and pace.

P3+0.543s

LeaderP1

While Hamilton leads the season form, Leclerc holds the H2H qualifying edge and excels on tight, high-downforce circuits like Hungary.

DNF

+1.976sP12

Bearman has dominated Ocon 8-2 in qualifying this season and possesses a clear pace advantage that should translate well to the Hungaroring.

DNF

+1.949sP11

Norris maintains a slight edge in H2H and recent form; his ability to extract one-lap pace is crucial for the narrow Hungaroring track.

P5+0.991s

DNF

Antonelli has shown superior qualifying form (6-4 H2H) and is currently in better championship form than the struggling Russell.

P9+1.685s

+1.791sP10

Lawson leads the H2H, but Lindblad is an under-rated performer who often thrives on technical tracks; I am adjusting to correct my under-rating of Lindblad.

P2+0.484s

+0.922sP4

Verstappen remains the benchmark for raw speed and cornering precision, which is essential for the tight and twisty Hungaroring.

P15+2.744s

+4.659sP22

Sainz has a massive H2H lead (8-1) and Albon is a driver I have historically over-rated, making the pick for the Spaniard very secure.

ESSAIS LIBRES

Résultats FP1.

#PILOTETEMPS

P1

1:19.075

P2

+0.484s

P3