Barcelona Grand Prix

LeclercCharles Leclerc

24%

P11

Racing Bulls

22%

P12

17%

P15

À SURVEILLER

◆

High track temperatures affecting tire life

◆

Mercedes front-row lockout pace

◆

Ferrari's significant aerodynamic upgrade package impact

POTENTIEL SURPRISE

Lewis Hamilton

With Ferrari's major aerodynamic package, Hamilton could bridge the gap to the Mercedes early on and leverage superior long-run degradation to snatch the lead mid-race.

STATS EXPRESS

MARGE DU VAINQUEUR4.2

CLASSÉS20

MEILLEUR TOURGeorge Russell

CONSTRUCTEUR VAINQUEURMercedes

CONSTRUCTEUR MTMercedes

Premier au standSergio Perez

Dernier au standGeorge Russell

Arrêt le plus rapideMcLaren

PRÉDICTIONS ÉQUIPE

ÉQUIPE

TOP 3

TOP 6

POINTS

CLASSEMENT

PRONOSTICS

PARI

PROBA

CHOIX

Will either Haas driver (Bearman or Ocon) finish in the points (Top 10)?

42%

NON ✓

Will Charles Leclerc record a DNF?

26%

NON ✗

Will any driver from outside the top 3 Constructor teams finish on the podium?

22%

NON ✓

Will the pole-sitter go on to win the race?

71%

OUI ✗

Will the race winner also set the fastest lap of the race?

68%

OUI ✗

Will there be a classified first-lap incident resulting in a yellow flag or debris in Turn 1?

63%

OUI ✗

Will there be more than one safety car deployment during the race?

28%

NON ✓

Will there be a lead change in the final 10 laps?

14%

NON ✓

Will the total number of classified finishers be 17 or fewer?

37%

NON ✗

Will the WDC points gap between P1 and P2 shrink after this race?

34%

NON ✗

PRONOSTICS SAISON

VOIR TOUT →

[WDC Decided Early]96%▼2

[Russell_Beats_Antonelli_WDC]75%▼5

[Mercedes WCC]98%

[Ferrari Top 3 WCC]92%▲32

Mis à jour après le GP 9 · 17 pronostics actifs

PRONOS FUN

CAT

PARI

PROBA

CHOIX

DIFFUSION

Will the world feed broadcast cut to a skyline shot featuring the Sagrada Familia during the race?

92%

OUI

CHAOS

Will at least one driver be forced into the Turn 1 runoff area during the opening lap chaos?

75%

OUI

ANIMAUX

Will a driver report 'bugs on my visor' over team radio during the race?

55%

OUI

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P10+1 LAP

+1 LAPP7

Colapinto outqualified Gasly and has shown consistent pace throughout the Barcelona weekend, suggesting a slight edge in race trim.

DNF

Despite a difficult weekend for the team, Alonso consistently demonstrates superior race management and experience compared to his teammate.

DNF

+2 LAPSP11

Hulkenberg secured a significantly higher qualifying position and has established himself as the more reliable race performer within the team.

P14+3 LAPS

DNF

In a battle at the back of the grid, Perez has shown marginally better qualifying pace and speed throughout the sessions compared to Bottas.

P1Leader

DNF

Hamilton starts P2 while Leclerc starts P10; the performance disparity shown in qualifying this weekend is significant.

DNF

+2 LAPSP13

Bearman outperformed Ocon in qualifying and has shown more consistent lap times during practice sessions.

P5+58.661s

+23.719sP3

Norris qualified higher (P4) than Piastri (P7) and has displayed slightly better race pace consistency in recent rounds.

P2+19.561s

DNF

Starting from pole position, Russell has the track position and experience advantage over his rookie teammate.

P8+1 LAP

+1 LAPP9

Lawson has a strong qualifying advantage and typically converts his experience into better race management.

P4+40.497s

+1 LAPP6

Verstappen’s championship pedigree and superior race pace make him the clear favorite to finish ahead of his teammate.

P12+2 LAPS

DNF

Sainz outperformed Albon in qualifying and generally shows higher consistency in race conditions.

RÉSULTATS DE LA COURSE

Les résultats.

#PILOTEPTSGRILLE+/−TEMPSFL

1:20.122

COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO

LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD

BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO

LECLERCCharles LECLERC

BEARMANOliver BEARMAN

ALONSOFernando ALONSO

BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS

MÉTÉOSEC

MÉTÉOSEC30.5°Cair50.3°Cpiste29%2.6 km/h

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

VAINQUEUR

PODIUM0%

TOP 1070%

CONSTRUCTEUR

MEILLEUR TOUR

MARGE4.2s / 19.56s

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE34° / 31°

SAFETY CARno (0) / no

VSCyes / yes

DRAPEAU ROUGEno / no

ÉCURIE FL

VICTOIRE + FL

POLE → VICTOIRE

CLASSÉS20 / 14

1ER ARRÊT

DERNIER ARRÊT

VITESSE AUX STANDS

ÉCURIES9/16

FACE-À-FACE8/11

PRONOSTIC4/10

ANALYSE IA D'APRÈS-COURSE

Le débriefing.

Lewis Hamilton masters the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya to clinch a commanding victory as Mercedes secures a 1-2 finish.

The 2026 Barcelona Grand Prix began with high expectations for Mercedes, locking out the front row with George Russell on pole and Lewis Hamilton alongside. When the lights went out, Russell initially controlled the pace, but it soon became evident that Hamilton’s tire management and race craft were in a league of their own this weekend. While Russell battled to maintain grip on a rapidly heating track, Hamilton surgically navigated the high-speed corners of the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, methodically building a substantial lead that would ultimately stretch to nearly 20 seconds. The race was not without its drama, particularly for the home-crowd favorites and the younger contingent. The early retirement of Charles Leclerc on lap 16 stifled the Ferrari challenge, and the heartbreaking DNF for Kimi Antonelli on lap 20—who looked poised to challenge for the podium—triggered a virtual safety car that bunched the field. However, once racing resumed, the Mercedes duo remained untouchable. Behind them, Lando Norris put in a stellar recovery drive to snatch the final step of the podium, while Max Verstappen fought hard for P4, though he could never quite bridge the gap to the front-runners. Ultimately, this was a tactical masterclass by Hamilton, who turned his P2 grid slot into a dominant win. While Russell took home a respectable P2, the gap in performance at the end of the race highlighted just how perfectly Hamilton played the long game with his tire strategy, leaving his teammate and the rest of the field to fight for the scraps.

MOMENTS CLÉS

TOUR 1

George Russell holds the lead from pole position, with Lewis Hamilton immediately slotting into second as the pair pull clear of the pack.

Established the Mercedes dominance early, setting the tone for a strategic battle between the teammates.

TOUR 16

Charles Leclerc retires from the race after a promising start.

Removed a significant contender from the fight for the podium, opening the door for Lando Norris and Max Verstappen to capitalize.

TOUR 20

Kimi Antonelli, running strongly in the top three, suffers a terminal mechanical failure.

Cruelly denied the young driver a potential podium and forced the field to navigate a virtual safety car period.

TOUR 35

Lewis Hamilton makes a decisive push on fresh rubber, extending his gap to George Russell significantly.

Secured the strategic advantage, allowing Hamilton to manage tire degradation in clean air while Russell struggled with pace.

TOUR 65

Lewis Hamilton takes the checkered flag, crossing the line 19.5 seconds ahead of George Russell.

Cemented an emphatic victory for the seven-time champion in front of the Spanish crowd.

PILOTE DU JOUR

Lewis Hamilton

Fans voted for Hamilton due to his clinical overtaking maneuvers at the start and his peerless ability to manage tire degradation, which allowed him to pull away from the field and secure a dominant win.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Lando Norris

Starting from P4, Norris drove a mature, calculated race to secure the final podium spot, managing his McLaren's pace perfectly amidst the intense heat and traffic.

STRATÉGIE

The race was defined by the high track temperatures, which turned the grand prix into a war of attrition. Mercedes played their cards perfectly, with Hamilton managing his stints to maintain a 'tire delta' over Russell, which proved decisive in the final phase of the race. The undercut/overcut battles were neutralized by the sheer pace of the W17, but those who pushed too hard in the middle stints—such as the midfield runners struggling with excessive wear—paid the price in the final 10 laps. Strategy calls were also heavily impacted by the mid-race VSC. Teams that managed to pivot their stop windows capitalized on the reduced speed to save time, though the high degradation meant that keeping the hard compound alive until the final laps was the only way to avoid a 'cliff' in performance. Mercedes' decision to extend Hamilton’s second stint allowed him the tire life advantage needed to comfortably manage the gap in the final sprint to the finish.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

Our prediction struggled significantly, achieving an overall accuracy score of 0.24, largely due to misjudging the battle between the Mercedes drivers.

JUSTE : We correctly predicted the Virtual Safety Car and identified the overall dominance of Mercedes, correctly forecasting a 1-2 for the team.

FAUX : We incorrectly predicted George Russell to win and missed the podium order, failing to anticipate Lewis Hamilton’s superior race-pace management that ultimately decided the win.

DONNÉES D'APRÈS-COURSE

Les données.

MEILLEURS TEMPS PAR SECTEUR

MEILLEUR SS1

23.269

Isack HADJAR

MEILLEUR SS2

32.201

Lewis HAMILTON

MEILLEUR SS3

24.218

Kimi ANTONELLI

MEILLEURS SECTEURS PERSONNELS

#PILOTES1S2S3

23.39932.36324.388 5

23.36332.54224.316

MEILLEURS TOURS

#PILOTEÉQUIPETEMPSTOUR

LECLERCCharles LECLERC

1:20.379

L47

BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO

LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD

BEARMANOliver BEARMAN

COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO

1:22.419

L43

1:23.447

DNF

ALONSOFernando ALONSO

BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS

DÉPASSEMENTS

296 DÉPASSEMENTS

TOTAL

296

PLUS GRAND NOMBRE DE DÉPASSEMENTS

Oliver BEARMAN

PLUS DÉPASSÉ

Oliver BEARMAN

TOP DÉPASSEMENTS

1BEA

2BOR

3LIN

4GAS

5SAI

POSPILOTEGAINDÉPASSÉ

PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI

1VER P5

1PIA P2

1HAM P3

NORRISLando NORRIS

1HAM P4

1HAM

STRATÉGIE PNEUS

MEDIUM

SOFT

HARD

117335066

P1HAMILTON

3×

P2RUSSELL

2×

P3NORRIS

2×

P4VERSTAPPEN

3×

P5PIASTRI

2×

P6HADJAR

3×

P7GASLY

2×

P8LAWSON

2×

P9LINDBLAD

2×

P10COLAPINTO

2×

ARRÊTS AU STAND

48 ARRÊTS

ÉQUIPE LA PLUS RAPIDE

2.1s

ALB · Arrêt 2

ÉQUIPE LA PLUS LENTE

6.7s

OCO · Arrêt 2

MINIMUM PERDU

+25.1s

HUL · 1 arrêt

MAXIMUM PERDU

+859.1s

ALB · 4 arrêts

PILOTEARRÊTTOURÉQUIPEVOIETEMPS PERDU

LAWSONLiam LAWSON

1L116.3s6.3s+27.0s

1L112.5s2.5s+25.7s

COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO

1L122.4s2.4s+23.5s

1L123.3s3.3s+24.8s

1L122.5s2.5s+25.1s

PEREZSergio PEREZ

1L124.2s4.2s+26.3s

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

179 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

PÉNALITÉS

SC / VSC

L12CAR 10 (GAS) TIME 1:26.055 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 10 15:17:40

L23CAR 12 (ANT) TIME 1:22.049 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 20 15:31:08

L26CAR 12 (ANT) TIME 1:22.677 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 25 15:38:00

L26CAR 43 (COL) TIME 1:25.027 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 24 15:37:47

L29CAR 12 (ANT) TIME 1:22.055 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 28 15:42:07

L29BLACK AND WHITE FLAG FOR CAR 12 (ANT) - TRACK LIMITS

QUALIFICATIONS

TERMINÉ43% DE PRÉCISION

samedi 13 juin · 14:00 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

POLE PRÉDITE

P1Kimi AntonelliMercedes

72%

P2George RussellMercedes

67%

P3Lando NorrisMcLaren

58%

Antonelli has demonstrated superior qualifying extraction and championship momentum, winning three consecutive races heading into this weekend. Despite George Russell's strength in practice, Antonelli's ability to maximize tire preparation in the final qualifying segment gives him the slight edge for pole position.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY32°Cair52°Cpiste0%12 km/h

Drapeau Rougeyes

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

PiastriOscar Piastri

McLaren

53%

LeclercCharles Leclerc

48%

HamiltonLewis Hamilton

42%

Red Bull Racing

37%

14%

P15

13%

P16

ÉLIMINATION SURPRISE

Carlos Sainz

Out en Q1 — The Williams car continues to struggle with high-speed downforce balance, and Sainz has been unable to find a qualifying window in this session, leading to an early exit.

STATS EXPRESS

MARGE DE LA POLE0.120

Q1 PLUS RAPIDEGeorge Russell (0.280s)

Q2 PLUS RAPIDEKimi Antonelli (0.180s)

CONSTRUCTEUR VAINQUEURMercedes

PRÉDICTIONS ÉQUIPE

ÉQUIPE

LES DEUX EN Q3

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P13

P14

Gasly showed stronger pace in FP3, and his experience at this circuit typically allows him to extract more from the car in a single-lap qualifying push.

P21

P22

Alonso consistently maintains a performance advantage over Stroll, especially in qualifying conditions where his technical feedback aids setup.

P12

Hulkenberg has displayed superior single-lap pace in both FP2 and FP3, positioning him as the more reliable qualifier for the team.

P19

P20

Bottas has generally looked more comfortable with the car setup throughout the weekend sessions compared to Perez, who has struggled for pace.

DNF

Leclerc has been a constant presence in the top three during practice, showing a distinct qualifying advantage over Hamilton this weekend.

P15

P17

Bearman set stronger times in the earlier sessions, suggesting he has adapted better to the car's balance on this technical circuit.

Norris topped the timing charts in FP2 and holds a slight edge in single-lap explosive pace, which is critical for this qualifying session.

P1Leader

Russell has dominated the practice sessions, topping FP1 and FP3 with consistent speed, marking him as the clear favorite for Mercedes.

P11

Lindblad has shown improved progression and pace through FP2 and FP3, suggesting he is finding more rhythm as the weekend evolves.

Verstappen remains the undisputed lead driver for Red Bull, consistently outpacing Hadjar across all practice sessions.

P16

P18

Despite a tight battle in practice, Sainz's race-weekend experience is expected to provide the edge needed to edge out Albon in a high-pressure qualifying lap.

RÉSULTATS DES QUALIFICATIONS

Les résultats.

1:SS.ms

#PILOTEQ1Q2Q3

15.7171:15.717

15.2281:15.228

14.6791:14.679

15.6251:15.625

15.4181:15.418

14.7431:14.743

LECLERCCharles LECLERCOUT Q2

LINDBLADArvid LINDBLADOUT Q2

BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETOOUT Q2

COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTOOUT Q2

GASLYPierre GASLYOUT Q2

BEARMANOliver BEARMANOUT Q2

SAINZCarlos SAINZOUT Q2

OCONEsteban OCONOUT Q1

17.0731:17.073

ALBONAlexander ALBONOUT Q1

P18

17.4241:17.424

P19

PEREZSergio PEREZOUT Q1

17.5451:17.545

BOTTASValtteri BOTTASOUT Q1

P20

17.7571:17.757

STROLLLance STROLLOUT Q1

18.7581:18.758

ALONSOFernando ALONSOOUT Q1

P22

18.8151:18.815

MÉTÉOSEC

MÉTÉOSEC30.7°Cair50.2°Cpiste28%2.3 km/h

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

50 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

PÉNALITÉS

DRAPEAUX ROUGES

BLACK AND WHITE FLAG FOR CAR 44 (HAM) - DRIVING UNNECESSARILY SLOWLY (16:06:31)

CAR 55 (SAI) TIME 1:18.173 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 2 LAP 6 16:08:58

CAR 23 (ALB) TIME 1:20.269 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 9 LAP 6 16:09:43

CAR 18 (STR) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 6 16:10:41 (PIT)

CHEQUERED FLAG

CAR 27 (HUL) TIME 1:16.922 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 9 LAP 9 16:30:27

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

POLE

Q1 PLUS RAPIDE

Q2 PLUS RAPIDE

TOP 560%

PRONOSTIC ÉLIMINÉSQ1 / Q2

CONSTRUCTEUR

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE32° / 31°

DRAPEAU ROUGEyes / yes

ÉCURIES11/11

FACE-À-FACE6/11

ANALYSE IA DES QUALIFICATIONS

Le débriefing.

George Russell charges to Barcelona pole as Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc crashes out of Q3 shootout.

The Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya delivered a high-stakes qualifying session today, defined by track evolution and the crushing disappointment of a late red flag. The session began with a tight midfield battle in Q1, where the Williams and Alpine cars struggled to match the rapid track progression. Lance Stroll provided an early moment of tension when he dipped into the gravel, though the Aston Martin driver managed to rejoin, narrowly avoiding a session-halting incident early on. As the field transitioned into Q2, the margins tightened significantly, leaving no room for error. The track surface, baking under 31°C heat, became increasingly fast, forcing teams to prioritize tire preparation and traffic management. While the top contenders navigated the session smoothly, the tension boiled over in Q3. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc, having shown blistering pace throughout the day, looked poised to challenge for the front row before a significant accident at Turn 4 brought out the red flags. With the session curtailed, George Russell capitalized on his earlier strong pace to secure pole position, narrowly fending off Lewis Hamilton and Kimi Antonelli in a nail-biting conclusion to the day.

MOMENTS CLÉS

Lance Stroll goes off-track into the gravel trap, narrowly avoiding a major incident.

While he continued, the incident disrupted early Q1 rhythm for the midfield pack.

Track evolution accelerates rapidly, catching out several midfield runners.

Track temperatures climbed, shifting the balance and making the final push laps critical for the top 10 cut.

Charles Leclerc suffers a heavy crash at Turn 4, triggering a red flag.

Leclerc was unable to set a competitive time, locking him into tenth while the grid order for the top nine was decided prior to the stoppage.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Isack Hadjar

Hadjar continues to impress in his debut season, extracting maximum performance from his Red Bull to secure P6, comfortably keeping pace with more experienced rivals.

STRATÉGIE

Qualifying strategy in Barcelona was dictated entirely by track evolution. With the surface temperatures hovering over 50°C, the track grip improved with every passing minute, making late-session track position the ultimate currency. Teams faced the classic dilemma: pushing early to bank a safe lap or saving tires for a final, high-grip assault in the dying moments. Traffic management proved to be the Achilles' heel for several teams. With the short run to Turn 1 and the critical nature of the final sector, engineers were glued to their GPS data, desperately trying to find clear air for their drivers. The red flag in Q3 ultimately neutralized the final track-evolution spike, rewarding those who had banked a representative time earlier in the segment.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

Our prediction yielded a mixed bag, correctly identifying the Mercedes dominance and the environmental conditions, though the final pole order shifted from our expectations.

JUSTE : We correctly identified the high probability of a red flag and successfully predicted the constructor winner, as Mercedes maintained superior downforce efficiency throughout the session.

FAUX : We incorrectly predicted Kimi Antonelli for pole position, as George Russell outperformed him in the decisive Q3 moments, and we also misjudged the round of elimination for Carlos Sainz, who bowed out in Q1 rather than Q2.

DONNÉES DES QUALIFICATIONS

Les données.

MEILLEURS TEMPS PAR SECTEUR

MEILLEUR SS1

21.828

Max VERSTAPPEN

MEILLEUR SS2

30.008

Lewis HAMILTON

MEILLEUR SS3

22.715

George RUSSELL

MEILLEURS SECTEURS PERSONNELS

#PILOTES1S2S3

21.84930.11522.715 2

21.87330.00822.849 3

PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI

21.90030.25522.720 4

21.82830.18422.875 5

NORRISLando NORRIS

21.92830.23722.772

ESSAIS LIBRES 3

TERMINÉ55% DE PRÉCISION

samedi 13 juin · 10:30 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

PLUS RAPIDE PRÉDIT

P1Kimi AntonelliMercedes

72%

P2George RussellMercedes

64%

P3Lando NorrisMcLaren

58%

Despite a slower start in Friday's practice sessions, the championship leader typically finds the extra tenths in FP3 qualifying simulations as the track rubbers in.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY32°Cair53°Cpiste0%9 km/h

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

PiastriOscar Piastri

McLaren

52%

LeclercCharles Leclerc

49%

34%

23%

P12

HamiltonLewis Hamilton

14%

P17

13%

P18

11%

P19

CONSTRUCTEUR LE PLUS RAPIDEMercedes

MARGE DE VICTOIRE0.284sec

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P14+1.946s

+1.904sP13

Gasly possesses greater experience in finding the limit of the car during final practice, and while Colapinto has been competitive, Gasly typically ramps up performance on Saturday.

P22+4.424s

+3.817sP20

Despite a difficult start to the weekend, Alonso's ability to extract extra pace in qualifying simulations usually gives him the edge over Stroll in FP3.

P9+1.282s

+1.348sP11

Hulkenberg is a renowned one-lap specialist and is likely to refine his setup to edge out the rookie Bortoleto as the track grip improves.

P19+3.012s

+4.283sP21

Perez has struggled significantly with pace at this circuit so far this weekend, whereas Bottas has maintained a relatively steadier performance.

P5+0.702s

+0.243sP3

Leclerc has shown superior one-lap pace throughout the opening practice sessions in Barcelona and historically favors this circuit's technical layout.

P17+2.712s

+2.361sP16

Bearman has outpaced Ocon in both practice sessions this weekend, indicating a better comfort level with the car balance at this track.

P2+0.214s

+0.246sP4

Norris topped the FP2 timesheets and has been the more consistent force for McLaren; he is favored to maintain that momentum in FP3.

P1Leader

+0.821sP7

Russell demonstrated sharper single-lap pace in FP2 and has the experience to optimize his setup ahead of the crucial qualifying hour.

P12+1.645s

+1.341sP10

Lindblad showed impressive pace in FP2 by finishing P7, outperforming Lawson, and will look to carry that confidence into Saturday.

P6+0.755s

+1.005sP8

Verstappen remains the clear team leader and benchmark; his ability to maximize the car's potential in FP3 is consistently superior to his teammate.

P15+2.051s

+2.733sP18

Sainz has shown a distinct pace advantage over Albon in the opening sessions and will be determined to put in a strong performance at his home Grand Prix.

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

PLUS RAPIDE

TOP 580%

CONSTRUCTEUR

MARGE0.28s / 0.21s

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE32° / 32°

FACE-À-FACE8/11

ANALYSE IA FP3

Le débriefing.

George Russell surges to the top in final practice as Mercedes and Ferrari prepare for a strategic tire battle in Barcelona.

The final practice session at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya provided a tactical masterclass, with teams balancing the desperate need for qualifying pace against the harsh reality of the 2026 tire degradation levels. George Russell’s P1 lap set the tone for Mercedes, appearing to have found the 'sweet spot' in car balance that eluded them in earlier sessions, though teammate Kimi Antonelli remained curiously buried in P7, likely prioritizing high-fuel, race-trim optimization over glory runs. Ferrari continues to be the dark horse of the weekend. Charles Leclerc’s P3 finish, combined with strong long-run data, suggests that their significant upgrade package is effectively managing thermal degradation—a critical factor on this abrasive track. With the 2026 regulations placing a premium on hybrid energy deployment and mechanical grip, the battle between the Mercedes' raw pace and Ferrari’s stability is set to define the starting grid. Meanwhile, the midfield remains incredibly tight, with the gap from P7 to P12 separated by less than a second, setting the stage for a chaotic qualifying session.

MOMENTS CLÉS

RUN1

George Russell sets the benchmark with a 1:15.679

Confirmed Mercedes' single-lap turn of pace on the soft compound, signaling a strong recovery from Friday's setup struggles.

RUN2

Charles Leclerc maintains Ferrari's competitive edge

Ferrari's third-place finish confirms their upgrade package is yielding results, particularly regarding tire longevity in high ambient temperatures.

RUN3

Max Verstappen struggles to break the top five

Red Bull's persistent balance issues in the high-speed third sector suggest they may have to compromise qualifying performance for race-day stability.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Oscar Piastri

Securing P2 in a closely fought session demonstrates his ability to extract maximum performance from the McLaren, keeping him right on the heels of the leaders.

STRATÉGIE

The data from FP3 reaffirms that Barcelona will be a mandatory two-stop race. High track temperatures—hovering around 52°C—are chewing through the tires, with lateral loads in the long-radius corners forcing engineers to prioritize cooling over pure aerodynamic downforce. Expect teams to lean heavily on the medium-to-hard compounds during the race, as the soft tire is already showing signs of rapid degradation after only a few laps. Track evolution remains minimal due to the high-abrasion nature of the surface, meaning the 'rubbering in' effect is less pronounced than at other circuits. The race will likely be won by whoever can optimize their ERS (Energy Recovery System) harvesting in the 'quieter' moments of the track to ensure they have enough electrical boost to defend on the main straight.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

The prediction correctly identified Mercedes as a front-runner, though the specific order of the drivers was inverted compared to the actual session results.

JUSTE : We correctly identified Mercedes' dominant single-lap pace and the critical nature of tire degradation at this circuit.

FAUX : We anticipated Kimi Antonelli to dominate P1, but he finished P7, likely indicating the team shifted him to long-run testing while Russell focused on qualifying simulation.

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

44 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

DRAPEAUX ROUGES

CAR 11 (PER) TIME 1:28.210 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 9 LAP 6 12:38:16

CAR 23 (ALB) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 2 LAP 4 12:51:41 (PIT)

CAR 10 (GAS) TIME 1:17.998 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 3 12:56:37

RED FLAG

CAR 6 (HAD) TIME 12:24.973 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 13:11:43

CAR 5 (BOR) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 2 LAP 11 13:27:02 (PIT)

ESSAIS LIBRES 2

TERMINÉ53% DE PRÉCISION

vendredi 12 juin · 15:00 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

PLUS RAPIDE PRÉDIT

P1George RussellMercedes

67%

P2Oscar PiastriMcLaren

54%

P3Charles LeclercFerrari

48%

After topping the FP1 timesheets with a strong setup in the morning, Russell is expected to maintain his momentum and fine-tune his qualifying pace for the afternoon session.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY24°Cair39°Cpiste12%14 km/h

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

Red Bull Racing

42%

AntonelliKimi Antonelli

HamiltonLewis Hamilton

29%

Racing Bulls

27%

P10

24%

P11

21%

P12

P19

CONSTRUCTEUR LE PLUS RAPIDEMercedes

MARGE DE VICTOIRE0.180sec

DUELS ÉQUIPIERS

Face-à-face.

P15+1.625s

+1.834sP16

Colapinto showed superior pace in FP1 and carries better recent momentum into the second session.

P22+4.033s

+3.860sP21

Despite a slow FP1, Alonso's experience at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya typically allows him to extract more performance in FP2.

P11+1.508s

+1.185sP8

Hulkenberg remains the consistent benchmark for the team, particularly in refining setup for single-lap pace.

P20+3.835s

+2.799sP18

Perez has higher peak speed potential and will be looking to reset his form after recent difficult weekends.

P9+1.205s

+0.373sP4

Leclerc is exceptionally strong in Friday practice sessions and usually optimizes his one-lap pace better than Hamilton at this circuit.

P12+1.519s

+2.112sP17

Bearman looked significantly more comfortable during the opening session and is building confidence rapidly.

P3+0.057s

LeaderP1

Piastri is currently showing more consistency and confidence in his race craft compared to Norris.

P2+0.009s

+0.589sP5

Russell topped FP1 and is currently maximizing the Mercedes package more effectively than his rookie teammate.

P13+1.541s

+0.985sP7

Lawson has a clear experience advantage and showed better pace in the opening practice session.

P6+0.895s

+1.248sP10

Verstappen is the dominant force at this circuit and will be focusing on race simulation pace, where he rarely falters.

P14+1.594s

+3.364sP19

Sainz has displayed a stronger comfort level with the car balance at Barcelona so far this weekend.

PRÉCISION DES PRÉDICTIONS

Le tableau des scores.

PLUS RAPIDE

TOP 580%

CONSTRUCTEUR

MARGE0.18s / 0.01s

CONDITIONSdry / dry

TEMPÉRATURE24° / 29°

FACE-À-FACE7/11

ANALYSE IA FP2

Le débriefing.

McLaren asserts dominance as Norris edges out Russell in tight Barcelona FP2 showdown.

Friday's FP2 session at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya signaled a potential shift in the competitive order, with McLaren firmly establishing themselves as a primary threat to Mercedes. Lando Norris topped the timesheets with a 1:15.426, narrowly edging out George Russell by just 0.009s, while Oscar Piastri confirmed the team's strength by securing third. The session confirmed that McLaren has successfully ironed out the inconsistencies seen in previous rounds, with both drivers looking comfortable on both qualifying and race simulations. Conversely, the mood at Red Bull and Mercedes was more tempered. Max Verstappen spent much of the session audibly frustrated with his car's lack of grip, unable to challenge for the top three and finishing nearly nine-tenths off Norris. Meanwhile, Kimi Antonelli, returning to the cockpit after sitting out FP1, found himself half a second adrift of the pace, citing balance issues. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc kept the prancing horse in the mix with a respectable fourth, though the team still appears to be chasing the setup window on this demanding, high-abrasion circuit.

MOMENTS CLÉS

RUN1

Liam Lawson's gearbox failure

Triggered a Virtual Safety Car early in the session, severely limiting long-run data collection for Racing Bulls.

RUN2

Max Verstappen's struggle with balance

The Red Bull driver reported significant grip issues, finishing P6 and highlighting ongoing difficulties with the car's setup compared to McLaren and Mercedes.

RUN3

Lando Norris sets the benchmark

Norris' 1:15.426 on soft tires proved unbeatable, confirming McLaren's resurgence and strong one-lap pace.

RUN4

Kimi Antonelli's technical frustrations

The championship leader struggled with car balance and traffic, finishing 0.5s off the pace, suggesting Mercedes has work to do to regain their competitive edge.

CHOIX PILOTE IA

Oscar Piastri

Piastri's consistency throughout the session was striking; finishing just 0.057s behind his teammate, he effectively neutralized the Mercedes threat and proved his own podium-contention capability.

STRATÉGIE

The data from FP2 points toward a high-degradation race, with the abrasive track surface and high temperatures stressing the C2/C3/C4 tyre compounds. Teams struggled with front-left tyre longevity, particularly in the long, high-speed Turn 3 and the final sector. While a two-stop strategy remains the standard prediction for Sunday, the lack of long-run data from drivers like Liam Lawson and Valtteri Bottas—both hampered by mechanical issues—means the full impact of tyre degradation on race pace remains slightly uncertain. Expect teams to prioritize low-deg setups, likely sacrificing some single-lap pace to protect the front axle for the race distance.

RÉVISION PRONOSTIC IA

We correctly identified the top teams, but our confidence in a Mercedes lock-out was thwarted by McLaren's unexpected pace leap.

JUSTE : We correctly anticipated the tight gap at the front, with the top three drivers separated by less than a tenth of a second.

FAUX : We overestimated Kimi Antonelli’s dominance; his struggle with car balance saw him finish P5, failing to challenge for the P1 finish we predicted.

INCIDENTS & PÉNALITÉS

52 ÉVÉNEMENTS

TOURS SUPPRIMÉS

PÉNALITÉS

SC / VSC

CAR 63 (RUS) TIME 2:02.240 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 3 LAP 3 17:09:26

CAR 12 (ANT) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 6 17:11:35 (PIT)

VSC DEPLOYED

VSC ENDING

CAR 18 (STR) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 9 LAP 12 17:32:20

CAR 63 (RUS) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 2 LAP 11 17:31:51 (PIT)

ESSAIS LIBRES 1

TERMINÉ37% DE PRÉCISION

vendredi 12 juin · 11:30 UTC

PRÉDICTIONS IA

Le choix.

PLUS RAPIDE PRÉDIT

P1Kimi AntonelliMercedes

67%

P2Charles LeclercFerrari

59%

P3Lewis HamiltonFerrari

53%

Fresh off a dominant streak of three consecutive wins, the championship leader will likely lead the initial pace-setting in FP1 to maintain his momentum.

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY

MÉTÉO PRÉVUEDRY24°Cair48°Cpiste0%12 km/h

#PILOTEÉQUIPECONFCONFIANCE

Red Bull Racing

48%

RussellGeorge Russell

17%

P15

Racing Bulls

16%

P16