Spanish大奖赛Madrid
2026 Spanish Grand Prix 比赛结果:Madring 站正赛全记录、领奖台、排位赛、最快单圈、进站与分段用时,以及我们的 AI 预测得分情况。日期:2026年9月13日。
预测结论
AI 未预测到胜者。
- P1ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLIMercedesNorrisLando Norris未命中
- P2VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPENRed Bull RacingAntonelliKimi Antonelli未命中
- P3NORRISLando NORRISMcLarenVerstappenMax Verstappen未命中
得分板。
轮到你了
下一站: United States GP
锁定倒计时
结果对比 AI 预测
关键时刻
Kimi Antonelli capitalizes on a crucial Virtual Safety Car mix-up to claim victory at Madrid's inaugural Spanish Grand Prix.
- 第 1 圈A chaotic start at the Madring sees Lando Norris hold pole position while Kimi Antonelli and Max Verstappen run wide, resulting in Antonelli cutting corners and later yielding position.Set an intense tone for the opening laps and kept the front-running order tightly packed before strategy took over.
- 第 6 圈Lewis Hamilton suffers a sudden brake malfunction entering Turn 5, brushing the barrier and forcing an early retirement.Robbed Ferrari of a strong potential podium challenge and heavily hurt his championship standing.
- 第 16 圈A Virtual Safety Car is deployed right after race leader Lando Norris passes pit entry, trapping him out for another slow-speed lap.Triggered a massive strategic swing, allowing Kimi Antonelli and the following pack to pit for a cheap stop while Norris fell down the order.
- 第 48 圈Charles Leclerc finally pits from the lead after long holding out on hard tires hoping for a full Safety Car.Handed the net lead back to Kimi Antonelli, dropping Leclerc down to a lonely fourth place at the checkered flag.
车手对决。
Lando Norris starts from pole position on a tight new street circuit where overtaking is extremely difficult, giving him a massive strategic advantage over Piastri in P7.
Kimi Antonelli starts on the front row in P2 with stellar championship momentum, whereas George Russell has ground to make up from P6.
Max Verstappen starts safely up on the second row in P3, holding a significant pace and grid advantage over teammate Liam Lawson in P8.
Lewis Hamilton narrowly out-qualified Leclerc to start P4, and his steady racecraft should keep him ahead on a track where passing is tough.
Franco Colapinto delivered a strong qualifying performance to start in the top ten at P9, well ahead of Pierre Gasly down in P14.
Arvid Lindblad lines up inside the top ten at P10, providing a solid cushion over the teammate who starts back in P15.
Nico Hulkenberg starts just ahead of Bortoleto in P11 and brings vast experience to defend track position on Madring's narrow layout.
Esteban Ocon starts from P13, while Oliver Bearman is forced to start from the back after missing qualifying due to a heavy FP3 crash.
Alexander Albon starts one spot ahead of home favorite Carlos Sainz in P16, giving him the slight track-position edge in a tight Williams intra-team battle.
Fernando Alonso starts from P18, whereas Lance Stroll is heavily penalized and starting from the back of the grid.
Sergio Perez out-qualified Valtteri Bottas and starts in P19, holding a slight grid advantage at the tail end of the field.
比赛周末
- 赛事回放观看回放单圈排名、时间差与旗语AI预测
最终预测。
杆位预测P1AntonelliKimi AntonelliMercedes77%P2LeclercCharles LeclercFerrari68%P3PiastriOscar PiastriMcLaren64%Kimi Antonelli has dominated the weekend practice sessions, topping both FP2 and FP3, and carries exceptional momentum with 7 wins this season.
天气预测DRY气温24°C赛道温度41°C降雨10%风速12 km/h赛道事件红旗yes#车手车队信心信心指数P4NorrisLando NorrisMcLaren61%P5VerstappenMax VerstappenRed Bull Racing58%P6RussellGeorge RussellMercedes55%P7HamiltonLewis HamiltonFerrari52%P8LawsonLiam LawsonRed Bull Racing48%P9HulkenbergNico HulkenbergAudi44%P10BortoletoGabriel BortoletoAudi41%冷门出局Pierre GaslyQ2 阶段出局: Despite showing flashes of pace, traffic and track evolution catch out Alpine in a tight midfield battle during Q2.快速数据杆位差距0.166更多预测Q1最快Kimi Antonelli (0.241s)Q2最快Kimi Antonelli (0.183s)冠军车队Mercedes排位赛结果赛果回顾。
#车手车队Q1Q2Q3P1NORRISLando NORRISMcLaren33.4691:33.46932.8731:32.87331.8241:31.824P2ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLIMercedes33.2671:33.26732.5911:32.59131.8351:31.835P3VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPENRed Bull Racing33.3811:33.38132.4311:32.43131.9641:31.964P4HAMILTONLewis HAMILTONFerrari33.5311:33.53132.7101:32.71032.0131:32.013P5LECLERCCharles LECLERCFerrari33.5321:33.53232.7551:32.75532.0191:32.019P6RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELLMercedes33.2111:33.21132.8501:32.85032.1491:32.149P7PIASTRIOscar PIASTRIMcLaren33.8291:33.82933.2041:33.20432.2941:32.294P8LAWSONLiam LAWSONRed Bull Racing33.3101:33.31032.7801:32.78032.3161:32.316P9COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTOAlpine33.9631:33.96333.0381:33.03832.9031:32.903P10LINDBLADArvid LINDBLADRacing Bulls34.3401:34.34033.2041:33.20433.0411:33.041P11HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG退赛 Q2Audi34.4171:34.41733.2231:33.223–P12BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO退赛 Q2Audi33.9861:33.98633.3881:33.388–P13OCONEsteban OCON退赛 Q2Haas F1 Team34.6671:34.66733.6671:33.667–P14GASLYPierre GASLY退赛 Q2Alpine34.2461:34.24633.7531:33.753–P15TSUNODAYuki TSUNODA嘉宾退赛 Q2Racing Bulls34.3111:34.31134.0841:34.084–P16ALBONAlexander ALBON退赛 Q2Williams35.3071:35.30735.5321:35.532–P17SAINZCarlos SAINZ退赛 Q1Williams35.3121:35.312––P18ALONSOFernando ALONSO退赛 Q1Aston Martin35.3881:35.388––P19PEREZSergio PEREZ退赛 Q1Cadillac35.9131:35.913––P20BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS退赛 Q1Cadillac38.0111:38.011––天气干地气温30.8°C赛道温度53.8°C湿度18%风速1.2 km/h预测准确率得分板。
预测准确率预测 vs 实际指标预测值实际值结果淘汰预测Q2Q2赛道状况drydry温度24°31°红旗yesno预测判断杆位Q1 最快Q2 最快前 580%车队车队预测7/9 次预测对决5/11队友对决车手对决。
车手比赛结果Gasly holds a strong 9–3 qualifying head-to-head advantage this season and shows superior one-lap execution consistency.
Alonso dominates the intra-team qualifying battle 10–2 and consistently extracts more single-lap speed from the car.
Hulkenberg has shown slightly better qualifying pace through practice sessions this weekend at Madrid.
Perez edged out his teammate in FP3 and has a marginal historical edge in tightly contested qualifying margins.
Leclerc has consistently showcased blistering one-lap speed in practice sessions, securing top-two times leading into qualifying.
Bearman leads the season qualifying head-to-head 9–4 and has maintained a consistent upper hand over Ocon.
Norris leads the internal qualifying battle 8–5 and historically converts crucial qualifying sessions with precision.
Antonelli has dominated practice sessions at Madrid, topping FP2 and FP3 while leading the championship standings.
Lawson showed stronger pace in FP3 and holds the upper hand in the season qualifying head-to-head.
Verstappen remains Red Bull's ultimate qualifying benchmark despite a challenging overall season form index.
Sainz commands a dominant 10–2 qualifying record over Albon this season and brings immense experience to single-lap runs.
AI排位赛分析赛后复盘。
Lando Norris snatches a stunning maiden pole position at the inaugural Madring circuit, pipping Kimi Antonelli by a razor-thin margin in a frantic qualifying showdown.The historic first-ever Formula 1 qualifying session at the newly minted Madring circuit delivered intense drama from the outset. Q1 immediately crushed local expectations as home favorites Carlos Sainz and Fernando Alonso failed to escape the drop zone, exiting alongside Alexander Albon, Sergio Perez, and Valtteri Bottas in a tightly compressed bottom field. As the session progressed into Q2, track evolution accelerated rapidly, catching out several seasoned campaigners. Audi’s Nico Hulkenberg and Gabriel Bortoleto fell just short of the top-ten shootout, while Esteban Ocon and Pierre Gasly were similarly left stranded. Emerging talents like Alpine's Franco Colapinto and Racing Bulls rookie Arvid Lindblad capitalized brilliantly, squeezing their cars into Q3 against the odds. The pole shootout in Q3 was a masterclass in tension. Lewis Hamilton initially laid down the marker with a sensational provisional lap for Ferrari, leaving Mercedes' title leader Kimi Antonelli and Red Bull's Max Verstappen chasing. However, the final runs saw the track at its absolute peak. Antonelli fired in a stellar effort to temporarily seize control, only for Lando Norris to pull off a sensational final-gasp masterclass in his McLaren, snatching pole position by a razor-thin margin.策略Teams faced a massive challenge mastering the technical layout and rapid track evolution of the Madring circuit, where finding clean air was paramount. With no red flags interrupting the flow, strategists heavily focused on fine-tuning tire preparation windows and timing final runs to catch the peak grip of the asphalt. The importance of a well-managed out-lap could not be overstated, as traffic management dictated who had optimal tire temperatures for their flying laps. While some teams struggled with balance over the curbing, those who prioritized a late run in Q3—most notably McLaren and Mercedes—reaped the ultimate rewards as the track rubbered in.关键时刻Q1Home heroes Carlos Sainz and Fernando Alonso suffer shock Q1 exits, bowing out early alongside Alexander Albon and the Cadillac pair.Stunned the local Spanish crowd and set up a tense, unpredictable atmosphere for the rest of the session.Q2Franco Colapinto and Arvid Lindblad punch above their weight to sneak into Q3, while Nico Hulkenberg and Gabriel Bortoleto narrowly miss out for Audi.Highlighted tight midfield margins and rewarded rookie and satellite team resilience.Q3Lewis Hamilton sets a blistering provisional pace in the opening Q3 runs before Lando Norris and Kimi Antonelli trade blows on the final attempts.Triggered a thrilling multi-team pole battle resolved only in the dying seconds of the session.AI 车手之选Franco ColapintoExtracting maximum performance from the Alpine package to secure a brilliant Q9 starting berth in a hyper-competitive midfield.AI 预测回顾Our predictions achieved a modest 38% overall accuracy score, correctly anticipating key midfield shakeups like Pierre Gasly's Q2 elimination but underestimating the late-session pole charge from McLaren.命中: Accurately pinpointed Pierre Gasly's surprise elimination in Q2 amidst the fierce midfield traffic.失误: Predicted a Mercedes pole position for Kimi Antonelli, missing Lando Norris's breathtaking final-sector surge that snatched pole for McLaren. - 赛事回放观看回放单圈排名、时间差与旗语AI预测
最终预测。
排位赛后领奖台预测P1NorrisLando NorrisMcLaren67%P2AntonelliKimi AntonelliMercedes58%P3VerstappenMax VerstappenRed Bull Racing44%Starting from pole position around the tight and twisty Madring layout, Norris holds the decisive track position advantage on a circuit where overtaking is extremely difficult. McLaren demonstrated exceptional high-temperature tire management and race pace, giving Norris the tools to control the tempo from Turn 1.
天气预测DRY气温32°C赛道温度49°C降雨0%风速9 km/h赛道事件安全车×1yesVSC×1yes红旗no#车手车队信心信心指数P4HamiltonLewis HamiltonFerrari39%P5RussellGeorge RussellMercedes37%P6LeclercCharles LeclercFerrari34%P7PiastriOscar PiastriMcLaren36%P8LawsonLiam LawsonRed Bull Racing31%P9ColapintoFranco ColapintoAlpine28%P10LindbladArvid LindbladRacing Bulls26%观赛看点◆Track position and Turn 1 layout: With only 200m from pole to the braking zone of Turn 1 and tight concrete barriers lining the Madring street sectors, passing in dirty air is exceptionally difficult, heavily rewarding front-row starters.◆Extreme thermal degradation: Ambient temperatures reaching 32°C and track surface temperatures nearing 50°C will trigger heavy thermal stress on the tires, particularly through the 24% banked Turn 12 'La Monumental'.◆High neutralization probability: As an inaugural street race featuring tight walls and minimal runoff, any collision will immediately bring out a Safety Car or VSC, favoring drivers who manage stints flexibly.爆冷潜力Max VerstappenIf front-row starters Norris and Antonelli aggressively squeeze each other into Turn 1, Verstappen could dive down the inside from P3 to claim track position and dictate race strategy from the lead.快速数据获胜优势2.1完赛排名20更多预测最快圈速Kimi Antonelli冠军车队McLaren最快圈车队Mercedes进站策略最先进站Yuki Tsunoda最后进站Fernando Alonso最快进站Red Bull Racing车队预测车队前三名前六名积分完赛McLaren––✓✓Mercedes–✓✓✓Ferrari–✓✓✓Red Bull Racing––✓✓Alpine–––✓Racing Bulls––✓✓Audi–––✓Haas F1 Team–––✓Williams–––✓Aston Martin–––✓Cadillac–––✓预测分析盘口概率预测Will Lance Stroll fail to finish (DNF) the race due to reliability or incident?37%否Will a driver from outside the top 3 Constructor teams (Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren) finish on the podium?28%否Will there be more than 1 Safety Car deployed during the race at the debut Madring circuit?72%是Will a first-lap incident occur that brings out a safety car or red flag?64%是Will an incident at the 24% banked La Monumental turn cause a race neutralization?61%是Will the polesitter convert their grid position into a race victory at Madring's inaugural Grand Prix?58%是Will the WDC points gap between P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli and P2 George Russell shrink by the end of this weekend?46%否Will the race winner also set the fastest lap of the race?41%否Will there be a lead change within the final 10 laps of the race?34%否趣味预测类别投注概率选择转播Will the international broadcast show a cutaway of Madrid's famous 'El Oso y el Madroño' bear and strawberry tree statue during the race?65%是混乱事件Will a safety car be deployed following an incident at Madring's high-speed La Monumental corner during the race?58%是 ✗文化Will the broadcast capture a fan wearing a traditional Madrileño Chulapo flat cap in the grandstands during the race?45%是AI正赛分析赛后复盘。
Kimi Antonelli capitalizes on a crucial Virtual Safety Car mix-up to claim victory at Madrid's inaugural Spanish Grand Prix.Formula 1’s debut at Madrid's tight, unforgiving Madring circuit delivered a tactical chess match rather than an overtaking thriller. Pole-sitter Lando Norris made a clean getaway when the lights went out, though a chaotic first lap saw fierce battling behind him as Kimi Antonelli and Max Verstappen navigated the narrow street layout, with Antonelli briefly cutting corners before giving positions back. Early drama struck Ferrari on Lap 6 when Lewis Hamilton suffered a sudden brake failure into Turn 5, brushing the barriers and forcing a premature retirement that dashed his podium hopes. For the first stint, Norris looked entirely in control, managing a comfortable gap at the front. However, the race was flipped on its head on Lap 16 when a Virtual Safety Car was deployed just moments after Norris had flashed past the pitlane entry. While chasing cars dived straight into the pits for fresh rubber, Norris was forced to complete a full lap at delta speeds before pitting next time around, compounded by a sluggish service from McLaren. As Charles Leclerc elected to stay out on a high-risk long stint hoping for a full safety car neutralization, Antonelli inherited control of the race. Once Leclerc finally pitted on Lap 48, Antonelli cruised to his eighth victory of the season. Max Verstappen drove a stellar recovery to finish second, while an incensed yet resilient Norris salvaged the final step of the podium ahead of Leclerc and George Russell.策略The race was entirely defined by the timing of the Lap 16 Virtual Safety Car. Teams tracking a standard one-stop strategy scrambled as the VSC pit window opened up. Mercedes timed Antonelli's stop to perfection, whereas McLaren's poor timing—calling Norris in just after he missed the pit lane entry under the initial trigger—cost them crucial seconds and track position. Meanwhile, Ferrari's gamble to leave Charles Leclerc out on a lengthy alternative hard-tyre stint ultimately failed to net a full safety car, forcing a late race stop that dropped him off the podium.关键时刻第 1 圈A chaotic start at the Madring sees Lando Norris hold pole position while Kimi Antonelli and Max Verstappen run wide, resulting in Antonelli cutting corners and later yielding position.Set an intense tone for the opening laps and kept the front-running order tightly packed before strategy took over.第 6 圈Lewis Hamilton suffers a sudden brake malfunction entering Turn 5, brushing the barrier and forcing an early retirement.Robbed Ferrari of a strong potential podium challenge and heavily hurt his championship standing.第 16 圈A Virtual Safety Car is deployed right after race leader Lando Norris passes pit entry, trapping him out for another slow-speed lap.Triggered a massive strategic swing, allowing Kimi Antonelli and the following pack to pit for a cheap stop while Norris fell down the order.第 48 圈Charles Leclerc finally pits from the lead after long holding out on hard tires hoping for a full Safety Car.Handed the net lead back to Kimi Antonelli, dropping Leclerc down to a lonely fourth place at the checkered flag.当日最佳车手Max VerstappenFans voted Max Verstappen Driver of the Day after he bounced back from an early opening-lap scuffle, managed a first-lap position swap with composure, and extracted maximum performance from his Red Bull to secure a brilliant P2 finish.AI 车手之选Kimi AntonelliThe Mercedes youngster kept his nose clean through early chaos and executed a flawless tactical race, seizing every opportunistic opening to maximize his championship lead.AI 预测回顾Our pre-race predictions achieved an overall accuracy score of 0.29, correctly anticipating dry weather conditions and a neutralisation phase, but getting heavily derailed by the chaotic VSC dynamics and unexpected grid shifts.命中: We correctly predicted the deployment of a Virtual Safety Car neutralization and accurately pegged the dry conditions with track temperatures hovering near 50°C.失误: We missed the podium order completely—projecting Lando Norris to win from pole rather than factoring in the cruel VSC timing that dropped him to third, while also overestimating the total number of classified finishers.
练习赛
- 第一次练习赛最快圈速: George RUSSELLAI 预测失误
- 第二次练习赛最快圈速: Kimi ANTONELLIAI 预测失误
- 第三次练习赛最快圈速: Kimi ANTONELLIAI 预测正确
自由练习赛 1
最终预测。
Andrea Kimi Antonelli has dominated the season form index and Mercedes has shown exceptional pace out of the box in practice sessions.
FP1结果。
得分板。
车手对决。
Pierre Gasly holds a 9-3 qualifying head-to-head advantage over Colapinto this season and brings consistent one-lap execution to the brand-new Madring layout.
Alonso dominates their intra-team qualifying battle 10-2 and will adapt quickly to the technical demands of the new Madrid circuit.
Bortoleto holds a slight 7-6 edge in their qualifying head-to-head and has shown strong adaptability on unfamiliar tracks.
Perez matches Bottas closely across the season but edges past in early-weekend session progression data.
Hamilton's strong recency-weighted form and Leclerc's historical over-rating bias tilt this tightly contested Ferrari battle toward Lewis in FP1.
Bearman leads Ocon 9-4 in qualifying head-to-heads and consistently extracts strong single-lap pace early in weekends.
Norris leads their qualifying battle 8-5 and generally demonstrates superior initial pace finding on green track surfaces.
Championship leader Antonelli has been stellar in session pace and holds a 7-6 head-to-head advantage over Russell.
Lawson leads 6-5 head-to-head and brings valuable experience in setting up cars quickly on brand-new circuits.
Verstappen's unmatched ability to find the limit immediately on new tracks gives him the edge in opening practice.
Sainz commands a 10-2 qualifying advantage over Albon and will be exceptionally motivated on home soil at the new Madrid track.
赛后复盘。
自由练习赛 2
最终预测。
George Russell topped FP1 and carries strong Mercedes pace into the afternoon qualifying simulations at the Madring.
FP2结果。
得分板。
车手对决。
Gasly holds a strong 9-3 qualifying head-to-head advantage over his teammate this season and consistently edges out single-lap pace in practice sessions.
Alonso dominates the internal head-to-head at Aston Martin (10-2) and maintains a significant performance edge over Stroll across all practice conditions.
Hulkenberg showed superior pace in FP1 at Madrid and brings vast experience to extract quick single-lap times during FP2 simulations.
Perez has shown slightly better adaptation in recent sessions, and Bottas suffers from a heavy historical model over-rating bias in performance projections.
Leclerc edges the season qualifying battle 7-6 and showed stronger outright pace in the opening practice session at the Madrid circuit.
Bearman leads 9-4 in their qualifying head-to-head battle this season, giving him the edge in extracting one-lap qualifying simulations.
Norris leads the intra-team qualifying battle 8-5 and posted a quicker time in FP1, establishing himself as the benchmark McLaren driver for FP2.
Russell topped the timesheets in FP1 at Madrid and typically shines in high-fuel and low-fuel practice pace evaluations.
Lindblad outpaced Lawson in FP1 and benefits from an under-rating correction factor that points to strong upward momentum in practice performance.
Verstappen remains Red Bull's primary talisman and showed competitive speed in FP1, outperforming team benchmark expectations.
Sainz holds a commanding 10-2 qualifying advantage over Albon this season and comfortably led the Williams intra-team battle in FP1.
赛后复盘。
自由练习赛 3
最终预测。
After topping FP2 and showing exceptional pace throughout the weekend, Antonelli is well-positioned to lead the final practice session for Mercedes.
FP3结果。
得分板。
车手对决。
Gasly maintains a commanding 9-3 qualifying head-to-head advantage this season and consistently superior single-lap pace in the Alpine.
Alonso dominates their intra-team battle (10-2) and Stroll suffers from a severe performance over-rating bias in modeling.
Bortoleto holds a narrow 7-6 advantage over Hulkenberg this season and has shown slightly better adaptation on new circuits.
Bottas carries a heavy negative systemic bias in performance tracking, giving Perez the edge in extracting FP3 lap time.
Leclerc showed stellar one-lap speed by finishing inside the top three in both Friday practice sessions at the Madring.
Bearman leads their qualifying head-to-head 9-4 and has been the stronger single-lap performer for Haas throughout the year.
Norris leads their seasonal qualifying duel 8-5 and boasts superior overall form index metrics heading into Saturday.
Antonelli topped FP2 at the Madring and leads the championship momentum with phenomenal recent form.
Lawson holds a 6-5 head-to-head edge and maintains slight seniority in extracting peak performance during high-stakes practice sessions.
Verstappen retains a definitive raw pace advantage over his rookie teammate across practice sessions despite Red Bull's fluctuating form.
Sainz commands a crushing 10-2 qualifying record over Albon and excels heavily in one-lap qualifying simulations.
赛后复盘。
Spanish Grand Prix 预测常见问题
- 谁被预测将赢得 2026 Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid)?
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- 2026 Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid) 的领奖台预测是什么?
- P1: Lando Norris。P2: Kimi Antonelli。P3: Max Verstappen。
- 谁被预测将夺得 2026 Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid) 的杆位?
- Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
- AI 在进行 Spanish Grand Prix 预测时权衡哪些因素?
- Track position and Turn 1 layout: With only 200m from pole to the braking zone of Turn 1 and tight concrete barriers lining the Madring street sectors, passing in dirty air is exceptionally difficult, heavily rewarding front-row starters.. Extreme thermal degradation: Ambient temperatures reaching 32°C and track surface temperatures nearing 50°C will trigger heavy thermal stress on the tires, particularly through the 24% banked Turn 12 'La Monumental'..