라운드 15 · 9월 26일 · BAKU

Azerbaijan그랑프리Baku

George RUSSELL 폴 포지션 우승

2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix 결과: Baku City Circuit 서킷의 전체 레이스 분류, 포디움, 예선, 패스티스트 랩, 피트 스톱 및 섹터 타임, 그리고 AI 예측 적중률을 확인하세요. 2026년 9월 26일.

AI 예측

AI가 적중했습니다.

결과AI 예측
  1. P1RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELLMercedesRussellGeorge Russell적중
  2. P2VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPENRed Bull RacingLeclercCharles Leclerc실패
  3. P3HADJARIsack HADJARRed Bull RacingPiastriOscar Piastri실패
정확도 59%
날씨AI 예보Dry · 기온 25°C · 트랙 42°C실제맑음 · 기온 26.3°C · 트랙 43.4°C
예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차3.8s0.2s
트랙 상태drydry
온도25°26°
세이프티 카yes (1)yes (2)
VSCnono
레드 플래그nono
완주 분류2015
예측
우승자
포디움33%
TOP 1060%
컨스트럭터
패스티스트 랩
FL 팀
우승 + FL
폴 투 윈
첫 피트스톱
피트 속도
팀 예측32/44 적중
H2H6/11
전망3/8

당신의 차례

다음 레이스: United States GP

예측 마감까지

00일
00시간
00분
00초
AI 대비 성적 확인

주요 순간

George Russell clings on by two tenths over charging Max Verstappen to claim a dramatic Baku victory amid double Safety Car chaos.

  1. 1랩Oscar Piastri makes a sharp launch from third on the grid to dive past Charles Leclerc into Turn 1, slotting into second behind pole-sitter George Russell.Piastri acted as a buffer between Russell and the rest of the field, allowing the Mercedes driver to break away cleanly into clean air.
  2. 5랩Max Verstappen completes an aggressive opening sequence from P8 on the grid, overtaking Lewis Hamilton, Lando Norris, and Charles Leclerc before being let through by Red Bull team-mate Isack Hadjar into third.Put Verstappen directly into the podium fight early on, setting up an extended duel with Piastri for second position.
  3. 29랩Alexander Albon loses control of his Williams and crashes into the barriers, prompting race control to deploy the first Safety Car.Instantly erased George Russell's comfortable 11-second lead and triggered a flurry of pit stops across the pack.
  4. 36랩Moments after Verstappen overtakes Piastri for second, Franco Colapinto locks up heavily into Turn 1, triggering a three-car pileup that eliminates team-mate Pierre Gasly and McLaren's Lando Norris.A second Safety Car was immediately deployed, neutralizing the race and handing Verstappen a direct opportunity to attack Russell for the victory.
  5. 40랩Oscar Piastri locks his brakes while battling Isack Hadjar into Turn 1, sailing down the escape road and plummeting from fourth to 15th.Ended McLaren's hopes of scoring points and elevated Hadjar to an unchallenged third-place podium finish.
  6. 51랩Russell repels a final DRS assault from Verstappen after a late yellow flag for Valtteri Bottas's crash prevents a last-gasp overtake, crossing the line just 0.196s ahead.Secured Russell's third Grand Prix win of the season and denied Verstappen his first victory of 2026 in a photo-finish.
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

Russell has commanded the timing sheets all weekend and starts from pole position with clean air, while Antonelli must battle through heavy midfield traffic from P16 following his Q1 crash.

Leclerc holds key track position from the front row at a circuit where he historically excels, giving him strategic control over Hamilton who starts four places behind in P6.

Piastri starts on the clean side of row two after an exceptionally tidy qualifying effort and possesses the straight-line efficiency to defend track position over Norris.

Hadjar secured a crucial four-place grid advantage in P4 on clean air, forcing Verstappen to navigate potential early DRS trains and midfield skirmishes from eighth on the grid.

Gasly displayed upper-midfield pace throughout practice, has proven pedigree at Baku, and starts three positions ahead of Colapinto.

Sainz comfortably led Williams into Q3 to take P9, whereas Albon begins down in 13th without the benefit of clean air in the opening stint.

Bearman is a proven specialist around the Baku street circuit and lines up in P11 with the strategic advantage of starting ahead of Ocon.

Lawson carries strong race rhythm and sharper execution from his recent top-tier outings, holding a three-place grid cushion over Lindblad.

Bortoleto has maintained a consistent edge over Hulkenberg through every practice session and qualifying, giving him the upper hand in a closely matched intra-team fight.

Despite both drivers carrying heavy power-unit penalties to the rear of the field, Alonso's superior race craft and tyre management contrast sharply with Stroll's error-strewn weekend.

Perez holds an exceptional historical affinity for Baku and outpaced Bottas by more than 1.6 seconds in qualifying, providing a clear performance delta heading into the race.

레이스 위켄드

  1. 세션 다시보기리플레이 보기랩별 포지션, 갭 및 플래그
    AI 예측

    최종 예측.

    예상 폴 포지션

    Russell demonstrated supreme single-lap pace across practice, topping FP1 and FP2 while looking exceptionally stable through the technical castle section. Mercedes holds an aerodynamic efficiency and straight-line speed advantage that will prove decisive along Baku's two-kilometer waterfront straight in Q3.

    날씨 예보DRY
    기온24°C
    노면 온도36°C
    비0%
    바람22 km/h
    레이스 주요 상황
    Red Flag
    yes
    깜짝 탈락
    Liam Lawson
    Q2 탈락: Despite showing top-seven pace in FP1, Lawson struggled for front-end bite on soft compounds in FP3 and faces elimination amid high track evolution and tight midfield margins.
    퀵 스탯
    폴 포지션 격차0.088
    추가 예측
    Q1 1위Max Verstappen (0.114s)
    Q2 1위George Russell (0.076s)
    우승 컨스트럭터Mercedes
    퀄리파잉 결과

    결과.

    #드라이버팀Q1Q2Q3
    P1
    RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL
    Mercedes
    43.6151:43.615
    43.4621:43.462
    42.5261:42.526
    P2
    LECLERCCharles LECLERC
    Ferrari
    44.3601:44.360
    43.7801:43.780
    43.3631:43.363
    P3
    PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI
    McLaren
    45.0141:45.014
    43.8141:43.814
    43.3641:43.364
    P4
    HADJARIsack HADJAR
    Red Bull Racing
    44.1611:44.161
    43.8801:43.880
    43.5001:43.500
    P5
    NORRISLando NORRIS
    McLaren
    44.5711:44.571
    44.0201:44.020
    43.6721:43.672
    P6
    HAMILTONLewis HAMILTON
    Ferrari
    44.2601:44.260
    44.0371:44.037
    43.8581:43.858
    P7
    GASLYPierre GASLY
    Alpine
    44.4891:44.489
    44.1061:44.106
    44.0471:44.047
    P8
    VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPEN
    Red Bull Racing
    44.0411:44.041
    43.7061:43.706
    44.0811:44.081
    P9
    SAINZCarlos SAINZ
    Williams
    45.1041:45.104
    44.6291:44.629
    44.5661:44.566
    P10
    COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO
    Alpine
    45.1061:45.106
    44.6831:44.683
    44.9631:44.963
    P11
    BEARMANOliver BEARMAN아웃 Q2
    Haas F1 Team
    45.2281:45.228
    44.7751:44.775
    –
    P12
    LAWSONLiam LAWSON아웃 Q2
    Racing Bulls
    45.5351:45.535
    44.8601:44.860
    –
    P13
    ALBONAlexander ALBON아웃 Q2
    Williams
    45.0311:45.031
    45.0011:45.001
    –
    P14
    OCONEsteban OCON아웃 Q2
    Haas F1 Team
    45.0391:45.039
    45.0161:45.016
    –
    P15
    LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD아웃 Q2
    Racing Bulls
    45.3811:45.381
    45.1061:45.106
    –
    P16
    ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI아웃 Q1
    Mercedes
    45.5041:45.504
    –
    –
    P17
    BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO아웃 Q1
    Audi
    45.7991:45.799
    –
    –
    P18
    HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG아웃 Q1
    Audi
    45.9201:45.920
    –
    –
    P19
    ALONSOFernando ALONSO아웃 Q1
    Aston Martin
    46.5931:46.593
    –
    –
    P20
    PEREZSergio PEREZ아웃 Q1
    Cadillac
    46.6581:46.658
    –
    –
    P21
    STROLLLance STROLL아웃 Q1
    Aston Martin
    47.3371:47.337
    –
    –
    P22
    BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS아웃 Q1
    Cadillac
    48.2901:48.290
    –
    –
    날씨드라이
    기온24.4°C
    노면 온도38.1°C
    습도69%
    바람1.7 km/h
    예측 정확도

    스코어카드.

    예측 정확도
    예측 vs 실제
    지표예측값실제값결과
    탈락 예측Q2Q2
    격차0.09s0.74s
    트랙 상태drydry
    온도24°24°
    레드 플래그yesno
    예측
    폴 포지션
    Q1 최속
    Q2 최속
    TOP 540%
    컨스트럭터
    팀 예측9/11 적중
    H2H9/11
    팀메이트 배틀

    헤드투헤드.

    드라이버결과

    Russell has commanded the Baku weekend across practice, leading both FP1 and FP2 and out-qualifying Antonelli's pace in every dry trial run.

    Despite Hamilton's strong FP3 showing, Leclerc has an unmatched qualifying pedigree around Baku's technical street complex and consistently extracts ultimate one-lap speed in Q3.

    Norris leads the teammate qualifying battle 9–5 this season and proved his peak one-lap pace with pole in the previous round, giving him the edge in the decisive shootout.

    Verstappen paced FP3 and has held a massive half-second-plus single-lap advantage over Hadjar throughout all practice sessions in Azerbaijan.

    Gasly has been exceptionally quick in Baku, placing P7 in FP2 and P6 in FP3 while holding a commanding season qualifying head-to-head advantage over Colapinto.

    Lawson outpaced Lindblad in all three practice sessions this weekend and possesses superior street-circuit qualifying execution.

    Bearman leads the season qualifying head-to-head 9–4 and carries proven confidence around the tight Baku walls, edging Ocon in final practice.

    Bortoleto finished ahead of Hulkenberg in all three Baku practice sessions, showing immediate comfort with braking into 90-degree street corners.

    Sainz has dominated Williams' qualifying duel 10–3 this season and was nearly half a second clear of Albon in the crucial FP3 qualifying simulations.

    Alonso holds a 10–2 season qualifying record against Stroll and consistently finds the limit earlier on low-grip street layouts.

    Perez has historically excelled around Baku and held a clear several-tenths margin over Bottas across every practice session this weekend.

    AI 퀄리파잉 분석

    리포트.

    George Russell seizes a commanding Baku pole by over seven tenths as title rival Kimi Antonelli suffers a shock Q1 crash.
    Following a brief delay for track cleaning after the earlier junior support races, qualifying around the unforgiving Baku City Circuit delivered drama almost immediately in Q1. Runaway championship leader Kimi Antonelli misjudged his entry into Turn 1, striking the inside concrete wall and instantly destroying his front-left track rod. Though the Italian pleaded over team radio to limp back to the pits, race engineer Peter Bonnington ordered him to park up, leaving the crestfallen title leader consigned to 16th on the grid. At the lower end of the timesheets, Audi endured a dismal double exit with Gabriel Bortoleto and Nico Hulkenberg finishing 17th and 18th, while Fernando Alonso and Sergio Perez were also cut from the running. With Kimi Antonelli sidelined, Q2 saw the midfield fight intensify as track evolution ramped up significantly. Williams made headlines through an inspired performance by Carlos Sainz, who placed the FW48 into Q3 for the very first time in 2026. The mood was sharply contrasted on the other side of the Williams garage, however, where Alexander Albon voiced immense frustration at being left without a tow along the 2.2-kilometer straight, tumbling out in 13th. In the final seconds, Franco Colapinto produced a heroic effort to snatch 10th away from Haas driver Oliver Bearman by less than a tenth, joining Pierre Gasly in the shootout and eliminating Liam Lawson, Esteban Ocon, and Arvid Lindblad. Q3 proved to be a masterclass in precision from George Russell. While Oscar Piastri initially held provisional pole on early runs, Russell found another gear in Sector 2 and down the waterfront straight, unleashing a relentless benchmark to capture pole position by a decisive 0.74-second margin over Charles Leclerc. Oscar Piastri fell just 0.001s shy of the Monegasque to take third, narrowly clear of Isack Hadjar, who delivered a stellar fourth place on his return to the cockpit. The final moments descended into frustration for McLaren and Red Bull Racing; Lando Norris locked up heavily into Turn 3 and took to the runoff, causing a yellow flag that forced FP3 pacesetter Max Verstappen to abort his lap, condemning the reigning four-time champion to eighth behind Lewis Hamilton and Pierre Gasly.
    전략
    Slipstreaming along Baku's two-kilometer main straight remained the central tactical battle throughout qualifying. Teams attempted to choreograph staggered releases to offer high-speed aerodynamic tows into Turn 1, though doing so carried immense risks of tripping over traffic in the tight technical sections from Turn 7 through Turn 12. Williams demonstrated how delicate the balance can be: Carlos Sainz capitalized on clean air and effective terminal velocity, while Alexander Albon lost crucial hundredths after finding himself exposed without a draft on his deciding flyer. Track evolution also played a substantial role as the track cleaned up and ambient temperatures stabilized at 24°C. Drivers favored multiple warm-up laps on the soft compounds to combat front-tire graining and lock-ups into Baku's 90-degree corners. While Mercedes timed their final runs perfectly to capitalize on maximum rubber and clean air, Red Bull Racing and McLaren paid the ultimate tactical price when Lando Norris's late lock-up in Sector 1 trapped following cars behind a yellow flag, completely preventing Max Verstappen from converting his practice potential.
    주요 순간
    Q1
    Championship leader Kimi Antonelli clips the inside barrier at Turn 1, snapping his front-left suspension and parking in the Turn 7 runoff, ending his qualifying session prematurely.
    Leaves Kimi Antonelli stranded in 16th position on the grid and heaps pressure onto George Russell as the lone Mercedes representative.
    Q2
    Alexander Albon complains bitterly over team radio about the lack of a slipstream from Williams team-mate Carlos Sainz on his final Q2 flyer.
    Alexander Albon is knocked out in P13, whereas Carlos Sainz successfully secures Williams' first Q3 appearance of the season.
    Q2
    Franco Colapinto delivers a clutch last-second lap to leapfrog Haas's Oliver Bearman by less than a tenth of a second.
    Oliver Bearman is eliminated in P11 alongside Liam Lawson, while Franco Colapinto joins Pierre Gasly to secure a double Q3 berth for Alpine.
    Q3
    Lando Norris suffers a heavy front-axle lock-up under braking into Turn 3 and skates into the escape road on his final push lap.
    Restricts Lando Norris to fifth on the grid and triggers localized yellow flags that ruin flying laps behind him.
    Q3
    Max Verstappen is forced to lift off in Sector 1 due to the yellow flags brought out by Lando Norris's excursion.
    Aborts Max Verstappen's attempt to challenge for the front row, dropping the FP3 pacesetter down to eighth as George Russell seals pole ahead of Charles Leclerc.
    AI 선정 드라이버
    Isack Hadjar
    Returning to action after missing three races with a wrist fracture, Isack Hadjar delivered a sensational qualifying effort to secure fourth on the grid, soundly outqualifying Red Bull Racing team-mate Max Verstappen.
    AI 예측 검토
    Our qualifying model achieved a solid 62% accuracy score, correctly forecasting George Russell's pole triumph, the dry 24°C conditions, and Liam Lawson's Q2 elimination.
    적중: Accurately identifying George Russell to take pole position for Mercedes, anticipating that the car's low-drag aerodynamic efficiency and front-end stability across Baku's tricky layout would prove unbeatable.
    실패: Predicting a red flag stoppage based on Baku's historic incident rates; while Kimi Antonelli suffered a terminal crash in Q1 and Lando Norris visited the escape road in Q3, marshals managed both situations under local yellows without stopping the clock.
  2. 세션 다시보기리플레이 보기랩별 포지션, 갭 및 플래그
    AI 예측

    최종 예측.

    퀄리파잉 종료 후
    예상 포디움

    Russell has commanded the Baku weekend from the opening session, topping FP1, FP2, and securing pole position with a resounding lap. With the Mercedes package excelling in straight-line efficiency and high-speed stability, he is ideally positioned to control the race from Turn 1 to the chequered flag.

    주말 동안 모델의 예측이 정교해졌습니다. 초기 버전은 27%를 기록했고, Lights Out 22시간 전에 확정된 최종 버전은 59%를 기록했습니다.

    날씨 예보DRY
    기온25°C
    노면 온도42°C
    비0%
    바람16 km/h
    레이스 주요 상황
    Safety Car
    ×1yes
    VSC
    ×0no
    Red Flag
    no
    관전 포인트
    ◆
    George Russell's dominant pace: Russell swept the competitive timing sheets in FP1, FP2, and qualifying, demonstrating superior top-end straight-line speed on Baku's 2.2 km straight.
    ◆
    Kimi Antonelli's recovery drive (+8 positions): Starting from P16 following his Q1 crash, Antonelli will exploit Mercedes' class-leading straight-line speed, powerful DRS slipstreams, and superior race pace to slice through the midfield into the points.
    ◆
    Max Verstappen's charge (+3 positions): After topping FP3 and exhibiting competitive long-run pace, Verstappen will use Red Bull's low-drag configuration to pass Gasly, Hamilton, and teammate Hadjar into the top five.
    ◆
    Aston Martin back-of-the-grid penalties: Alonso and Stroll were relegated to the rear of the field following heavy power unit component penalties exceeding seasonal allocations, leaving them exposed to severe traffic and reliability concerns.
    이변 가능성
    Oscar Piastri
    If Piastri gains an early slipstream tow into Turn 1 or benefits from an undercut window during a mid-race safety car, McLaren's tyre preservation could allow him to snatch the lead from Russell.
    퀵 스탯
    우승 격차3.8
    완주20
    추가 예측
    패스티스트 랩George Russell
    우승 컨스트럭터Mercedes
    FL 컨스트럭터Mercedes
    피트 전략
    첫 피트인Oliver Bearman
    마지막 피트인Fernando Alonso
    최단 피트스톱Red Bull Racing
    예측
    항목
    확률
    선택
    Will a retirement (DNF) occur on the very first lap of the race?
    63%
    예
    Will Lance Stroll suffer a DNF or fail to finish the race classification?
    31%
    아니오
    Will there be more than 1 safety car deployment during the race?
    78%
    예
    Will the fastest lap of the race be set by the eventual race winner?
    56%
    예
    Will there be a lead change within the final 10 laps of the race?
    38%
    아니오
    Will the pole sitter convert their position into a Grand Prix victory?
    34%
    아니오
    Will the WDC points gap between P1 (Andrea Kimi Antonelli) and P2 (George Russell) shrink by the end of the weekend?
    46%
    아니오
    Will a driver outside the top 3 teams in the Constructors' Championship finish on the podium?
    42%
    아니오
    펀 픽(Fun Picks)
    카테고리
    베팅
    확률
    콜
    혼돈
    Will at least one driver enter the Turn 3 escape road and execute a reverse or spin-turn to rejoin during the race?
    74%
    예
    방송
    Will the live international race broadcast feature a beauty cutaway of the Flame Towers illuminated over the Baku skyline during the race?
    88%
    예
    야생동물
    Will the live international race broadcast capture a stray cat roaming near the trackside barriers or runoff areas during the race?
    31%
    예
    AI 레이스 분석

    리포트.

    George Russell clings on by two tenths over charging Max Verstappen to claim a dramatic Baku victory amid double Safety Car chaos.
    George Russell produced a masterclass in composure on the streets of Baku, surviving unrelenting late-race pressure from Max Verstappen to clinch his third victory of the 2026 season by a razor-thin 0.196 seconds. From lights out, Russell converted his commanding pole position into an immediate lead, while behind him Oscar Piastri made a sharp getaway to depose Charles Leclerc for second. Russell quickly checked out at the front, building a commanding 11-second cushion as Piastri spent the opening stint furiously fending off a charging Verstappen, who had stormed through from eighth on the grid with surgical overtakes on Lewis Hamilton, Lando Norris, and Leclerc. The race was turned on its head on Lap 29 when Alexander Albon crashed his Williams into the barriers, wiping out Russell's comfortable margin and triggering the afternoon's first Safety Car. The leading runners dove into the pits for fresh rubber, but the subsequent restart on Lap 36 brought total bedlam. Franco Colapinto locked up into Turn 1 and speared into Alpine team-mate Pierre Gasly, with the collision violently collecting Norris and instantly ending all three drivers' races. Verstappen, having just slipped past Piastri for second before the yellows waved, found himself glued to Russell's gearbox for a second restart and a frantic final dash to the chequered flag. Over the closing laps, Verstappen threw everything at the Mercedes, clipping the outside barrier in his pursuit and keeping within DRS range along Baku's 2.2-kilometer flat-out blast. Piastri cracked under the pressure behind them, locking up on Lap 40 and dropping down the order to finish 14th. Up front, a yellow flag in the final sector caused by Valtteri Bottas crashing his Cadillac curtailed Verstappen's last-gasp passing attempt, enabling Russell to cross the finish line by two tenths. An elated Isack Hadjar marked his return from injury with a stellar drive to third to complete a Red Bull double podium, while championship leader Kimi Antonelli staged a stellar damage-limitation drive from 16th to fifth behind Leclerc.
    전략
    The Azerbaijan Grand Prix was dictated by high medium-compound degradation and the disruptive timing of the two mid-race Safety Cars. The vast majority of the front-runners elected to start on the medium tyre to maintain flexibility around Baku's generous pit window. While Russell managed his opening stint from the lead, tyre wear began biting the chasing pack around Lap 12, creating distinct pace differentials between cars caught in dirty air—notably Verstappen behind Piastri—and those in clean air. Albon's crash on Lap 29 shattered what would have otherwise been straightforward one-stop medium-to-hard strategies. Mercedes, Red Bull, and Ferrari were granted cheap pit stops under Safety Car conditions to bolt on soft tyres for a high-intensity sprint to the end. When Colapinto's Lap 36 crash extended the neutralised running, tyre life was preserved even further, ensuring that Russell and Verstappen had sufficient grip to push flat-out on soft rubber all the way to the flag without suffering the classic Baku thermal cliff.
    주요 순간
    1 랩
    Oscar Piastri makes a sharp launch from third on the grid to dive past Charles Leclerc into Turn 1, slotting into second behind pole-sitter George Russell.
    Piastri acted as a buffer between Russell and the rest of the field, allowing the Mercedes driver to break away cleanly into clean air.
    5 랩
    Max Verstappen completes an aggressive opening sequence from P8 on the grid, overtaking Lewis Hamilton, Lando Norris, and Charles Leclerc before being let through by Red Bull team-mate Isack Hadjar into third.
    Put Verstappen directly into the podium fight early on, setting up an extended duel with Piastri for second position.
    29 랩
    Alexander Albon loses control of his Williams and crashes into the barriers, prompting race control to deploy the first Safety Car.
    Instantly erased George Russell's comfortable 11-second lead and triggered a flurry of pit stops across the pack.
    36 랩
    Moments after Verstappen overtakes Piastri for second, Franco Colapinto locks up heavily into Turn 1, triggering a three-car pileup that eliminates team-mate Pierre Gasly and McLaren's Lando Norris.
    A second Safety Car was immediately deployed, neutralizing the race and handing Verstappen a direct opportunity to attack Russell for the victory.
    40 랩
    Oscar Piastri locks his brakes while battling Isack Hadjar into Turn 1, sailing down the escape road and plummeting from fourth to 15th.
    Ended McLaren's hopes of scoring points and elevated Hadjar to an unchallenged third-place podium finish.
    51 랩
    Russell repels a final DRS assault from Verstappen after a late yellow flag for Valtteri Bottas's crash prevents a last-gasp overtake, crossing the line just 0.196s ahead.
    Secured Russell's third Grand Prix win of the season and denied Verstappen his first victory of 2026 in a photo-finish.
    오늘의 드라이버
    Max Verstappen
    Verstappen earned 26.6% of the fan vote after an electrifying charge from eighth on the grid to second, slicing through top contenders in the opening laps and hunting down race winner George Russell until the very last meter.
    AI 선정 드라이버
    Kimi Antonelli
    Starting down in P16 after a heavy crash in qualifying, the championship leader kept his composure in an attrition-heavy race, slicing cleanly through the midfield to salvage P5 and preserve his title lead.
    AI 예측 검토
    Our prediction model achieved an overall accuracy score of 0.59, successfully predicting the race winner, constructor winner, dry weather conditions, and zero red flags while underestimating mid-pack chaos.
    적중: Correctly predicting George Russell to convert his pole position into the race victory for Mercedes, maintaining the pace superiority he demonstrated across practice and qualifying sessions.
    실패: Forecasting a double top-six finish for McLaren (Piastri P3, Norris P4); instead, Norris was taken out in the Lap 36 Turn 1 crash and Piastri suffered a late lock-up to tumble down to P14, leaving McLaren completely empty-handed.

프랙티스

  • 프랙티스 1가장 빠른 기록: George RUSSELLAI 빗나감
  • 프랙티스 2가장 빠른 기록: George RUSSELLAI 빗나감
  • 프랙티스 3가장 빠른 기록: Max VERSTAPPENAI 빗나감

프리 프랙티스 1

AI 예측

최종 예측.

예상 패스티스트 랩

Antonelli has dominated the 2026 campaign with eight victories, and the Mercedes W17 package holds an exceptional average finish of P3.5 on street tracks. Antonelli typically hits the ground running right from the opening practice runs.

날씨 예보DRY
기온24°C
노면 온도36°C
비6%
바람18 km/h
추가 예측
가장 빠른 컨스트럭터Mercedes
우승 격차0.370sec
예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차0.37s0.4s
트랙 상태drydry
온도24°29°
예측
최속
TOP 580%
컨스트럭터
H2H6/11
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

Colapinto has demonstrated superior recent form and adaptability on street circuits, outpacing Gasly across multiple sessions in Spain and carrying strong historical confidence around Baku.

Alonso holds a dominant 10–2 qualifying head-to-head advantage over Stroll and consistently finds the limit faster on low-grip street surfaces during opening practice runs.

Hulkenberg's veteran experience provides immediate braking confidence into Baku's heavy deceleration zones, giving him the edge in baseline lap time during a dusty FP1 session.

Perez has an exceptional historical affinity for Baku's 90-degree corners and traction demands, enabling him to extract early lap pace more comfortably than Bottas.

Leclerc is the Baku lap record holder with unmatched qualifying pedigree at this venue, routinely extracting peak one-lap pace right out of the box in opening practice.

Bearman possesses an outstanding track record at Baku across junior categories and F1, backing up his 9–4 qualifying head-to-head advantage over Ocon with strong single-lap street circuit commitment.

Norris enters the weekend in stronger recent form and typically dials in his qualifying baseline earlier in the weekend than Piastri, leading their season qualifying matchup 9–5.

Russell topped the FP1 timesheets at the previous round in Spain and tends to establish an aggressive baseline pace early on street tracks while Antonelli focuses on steady circuit acclimatization.

Lindblad showed scintillating early weekend speed in Spain by running top-seven in opening practices, and his sharp one-lap aggression gives him a slight edge over Lawson in FP1.

Verstappen remains Red Bull's undisputed benchmark and adapts instantly to the low-downforce demands of Baku, easily outpacing Hadjar on initial baseline runs.

Sainz leads their head-to-head qualifying battle 10–3 this season and consistently demonstrates superior single-lap execution on street circuits from the opening laps.

AI FP1 분석

리포트.

George Russell sets Baku FP1 benchmark for Mercedes as hydraulic failure halts Kimi Antonelli
The opening practice hour at the Baku City Circuit unfolded in typically chaotic fashion on an extraordinarily green, dusty track surface, but it was George Russell who mastered the treacherous conditions to stamp Mercedes' authority on the timesheets. Posting a 1:45.387 on the soft Pirelli compound with 20 minutes remaining—aided by a helpful aerodynamic slipstream behind Fernando Alonso along the 2.2-kilometre main straight—George Russell pulled four-tenths clear of reigning champion Max Verstappen. Max Verstappen had earlier wrestled with brake imbalance that caused his Red Bull RB22 to pull violently to the right, yet the Dutchman recovered to log a 1:45.787. Scuderia Ferrari looked quietly menacing right behind them, with Charles Leclerc slotting into third just 0.004s shy of Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton trailing by only three-hundredths in fourth, both showing compliant ride quality and formidable low-speed rotation through the old city castle section without leaning on extreme engine modes. Behind the headline pace, reliability gremlins and cooling headaches disrupted several garages. Mercedes experienced a bittersweet hour as championship leader Kimi Antonelli posted a blistering 1:46.265 on hard tyres before grinding to an abrupt halt at Turn 7 with a terminal hydraulic loss on his first soft-tyre out-lap, limiting him to fifth and just nine laps of running. Williams also hit early trouble when Carlos Sainz returned to the pit lane with his rear brake assembly smouldering, cutting into evaluation time for the Grove outfit's newly delivered aerodynamic upgrade package. Meanwhile, McLaren endured a compromised morning with upgraded bodywork; Oscar Piastri battled severe brake vibrations to salvage sixth, while Lando Norris ended up 14th after losing track time to an emergency structural fix on his car's bargeboards. Red Bull's returning Isack Hadjar completed only eight laps before power unit issues consigned him to 20th. Midfield honours belonged firmly to Racing Bulls, whose mechanical traction out of Baku's repetitive 90-degree corners enabled Liam Lawson and rookie Arvid Lindblad to capture seventh and eighth, split by less than two-tenths. Gabriel Bortoleto rounded out the top ten for Audi despite teammate Nico Hulkenberg triggering a late Virtual Safety Car stoppage. With multiple drivers exploring the runoff areas at Turns 1, 3, and 4 amidst gusty breezes off the Caspian Sea, the session confirmed that low-drag aerodynamic efficiency and braking stability will dictate this weekend's competitive hierarchy.
전략
The FP1 data from Baku underlines high track evolution and sharp thermal sensitivity on rear tyres under hard traction. Despite the dusty opening surface, the hard Pirelli compound demonstrated robust operating stability, as evidenced by Kimi Antonelli clocking competitive front-running laps on the white-walled tyre prior to his stoppage. Conversely, the soft tyre exhibited front-left graining during early push laps followed by rear thermal degradation across extended stints, signaling that teams may treat the soft purely as a qualifying compound rather than a viable first-stint option for the Grand Prix. With two Virtual Safety Car interventions during an opening practice hour, neutralization vulnerability remains an overwhelming factor for race strategy. Teams will lean toward a nominal medium-to-hard one-stop strategy, prioritizing clean air and tyre conservation. Ferrari and Mercedes currently appear best equipped on long-run tyre preservation, though Ferrari's baseline pace on harder compounds indicates they may hold a strategic tyre-deg advantage over Red Bull if high ambient temperatures persist.
주요 순간
RUN1
Widespread braking issues strike the dusty circuit early as Carlos Sainz pits with smoking rear brakes and Isack Hadjar suffers severe brake-pulling before retiring with an engine problem
Severely compromised baseline setup programs for both Williams and Red Bull Racing on an exceptionally low-grip track surface
RUN2
Kimi Antonelli sets the early pace on hard Pirelli tyres (1:46.265) before pulling off at Turn 7 with hydraulic failure, triggering the day's first Virtual Safety Car
Sidelined the championship leader after just nine laps, halting critical soft-compound evaluation and high-fuel run data collection for Mercedes
RUN3
Max Verstappen and George Russell both take to the escape roads at Turns 1 and 3 on soft tyre runs before George Russell punches in a session-topping 1:45.387 aided by a tow from Fernando Alonso
Secured a 0.400s cushion atop the timing boards over Max Verstappen and established Mercedes' immediate straight-line efficiency in Baku
RUN4
Nico Hulkenberg grinds to a halt in his Audi in the closing minutes, initiating a second Virtual Safety Car that curtails late-session simulation laps
Truncated high-fuel continuous laps across the grid and left teams with fragmented long-run telemetry ahead of FP2
AI 선정 드라이버
Liam Lawson
Liam Lawson extracted exceptional baseline performance from the Racing Bulls chassis, finishing P7 and leading the tight midfield pack ahead of established front-running machinery.
AI 예측 검토
Our FP1 model correctly identified Mercedes' pace supremacy and placed George Russell at the very sharp end of the timesheets, but mechanical misfortune severely skewed our projected order.
적중: Accurately identifying George Russell's benchmark speed, as he seized fastest-lap honours with a 1:45.387, while also correctly anticipating Ferrari's close proximity to the front through Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc.
실패: Forecasting Kimi Antonelli to top the classification and Lando Norris to reach third, as a hydraulic failure confined Antonelli to fifth after only nine laps, while structural bargeboard issues dropped Norris to 14th.

프리 프랙티스 2

AI 예측

최종 예측.

예상 패스티스트 랩

After familiarization in FP1, Antonelli is poised to unleash Mercedes' dominant low-drag aerodynamic efficiency during the qualifying simulations in FP2.

날씨 예보DRY
기온27°C
노면 온도44°C
비0%
바람18 km/h
추가 예측
가장 빠른 컨스트럭터Mercedes
우승 격차0.218sec
예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차0.22s0.55s
트랙 상태drydry
온도27°29°
예측
최속
TOP 580%
컨스트럭터
H2H7/11
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

While Russell topped FP1, Antonelli has consistently demonstrated the benchmark single-lap progression as track grip rubbers in, leading championship form and topping qualifying simulation runs in recent FP2 sessions.

Leclerc is a perennial specialist around the Baku City Circuit, possessing unmatched confidence through the castle section and 90-degree technical complexes during low-fuel twilight runs.

Norris typically holds back engine modes in FP1 before unleashing McLaren's true qualifying pace in FP2, backed by a superior season qualifying head-to-head record over Piastri.

Verstappen showcased immediate front-running pace in FP1 with P2 and holds a massive experience and raw single-lap pace delta over Hadjar on demanding street circuits.

Lawson carries excellent recent momentum and edged Lindblad in the opening session, showing greater stability under heavy braking zones that define Baku's first two sectors.

Gasly has a strong historical affinity for Baku and retains an overwhelming season qualifying advantage over Colapinto, making him the safer bet when soft tires are fitted for qualifying simulations.

Ocon found an immediate baseline setup comfort in FP1 to finish comfortably inside the top ten, carrying cleaner execution on low-fuel runs into the cooler evening session.

Hulkenberg's veteran poise on low-downforce street venues enables him to optimize braking markers and mechanical traction better as track temperatures drop in FP2.

Sainz holds a dominant 10-3 single-lap head-to-head advantage over Albon this season and immediately set the faster benchmark for the team during FP1.

Alonso leads the intra-team battle 10-2 this year and extracts the absolute maximum from a difficult car on low-fuel simulation runs compared to Stroll.

Perez has historically been the most successful driver in Baku history, and his natural feel for precision braking near the barriers gives him the edge over Bottas in FP2.

AI FP2 분석

리포트.

George Russell spearheads commanding Mercedes 1-2 in disrupted Baku second practice
Mercedes stamped undeniable authority over Thursday afternoon practice at the Baku City Circuit, with George Russell completing a clean sweep of the opening day's sessions. The British driver lowered the ultimate benchmark to a blistering 1:43.347 on soft tyres, outpacing his teammate Kimi Antonelli by 0.552s. Antonelli produced a remarkable recovery to secure second place after sitting out the early phase in the garage while mechanics concluded a power unit swap prompted by an FP1 hydraulic issue. The Silver Arrows appeared completely hooked up along Baku's high-speed avenues, pairing supreme top-end straight-line speed with planted stability through the technical 90-degree corners. Red Bull Racing and Scuderia Ferrari found themselves firmly on the back foot trying to respond to the Brackley team's pace. Max Verstappen salvaged third position with a 1:44.174, over eight-tenths adrift of George Russell, while vocalizing acute frustration over rear-axle bounce that later culminated in an off-track excursion and spin at Turn 15. Ferrari duo Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton settled into fourth and fifth, separated by two-tenths but both over 1.1 seconds off the summit. McLaren, having rolled out new floor and bodywork upgrades alongside a refreshed H-Wing configuration on their MCL40, focused heavily on correlation work with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri finishing sixth and eighth respectively, split by a rapid Pierre Gasly in the low-drag Alpine. The session was interrupted early when Racing Bulls newcomer Arvid Lindblad misjudged the tight Turn 8 entry at the castle section, clipping the barrier and sustaining heavy suspension damage that brought out the red flag. Shortly after the green flag was restored, Haas suffered a blow when Oliver Bearman broke down with a power unit failure before completing a timed lap. Amid fluctuating track temperatures as the sun dipped behind the Caspian shoreline, Mercedes proved equally untouchable once attention turned to race simulations, cementing an ominous baseline heading into qualifying.
전략
The race simulation data gathered during FP2 indicates that the medium compound (C4) will be the pivotal tyre for the Azerbaijan Grand Prix. Mercedes completed their long-run stints on the medium tyre, with George Russell averaging sub-1:48 lap times—comfortably clear of the field. In contrast, Ferrari and Red Bull leaned towards soft-compound evaluations on heavier fuel loads, where graining and thermal degradation quickly became problematic through the rear axle across five-lap windows. Baku remains a classic street circuit one-stop affair, favoring a Medium-to-Hard strategy to minimize pit exposure around narrow run-off zones. With track evolution accelerating as rubber builds on the dusty seaside asphalt, tire thermal management during the cooling long run down Neftchilar Avenue will dictate front-locking tendencies into Turn 1. Teams that can keep front tyre temperatures alive without overheating the rears through the Castle complex will enjoy a decisive strategic upper hand.
주요 순간
RUN1
Max Verstappen establishes the early medium-compound benchmark at 1:45.115 but reports severe ride problems, complaining his rear axle is lifting off the ground.
Exposed Red Bull's ongoing mechanical platform stiffness and compliance challenges over the bumpy Baku street surface.
RUN2
Racing Bulls rookie Arvid Lindblad clips the inside barrier entering Turn 8 and hits the wall again at Turn 9, triggering a red flag stoppage.
Halted track running for over ten minutes and severely compromised high-fuel run schedules across the entire paddock.
RUN3
Following an engine change after FP1 hydraulic problems, Kimi Antonelli takes to the track for the restart while Oliver Bearman suffers an immediate power unit failure exiting the pit lane.
Ended Haas's running with Oliver Bearman prematurely while allowing Kimi Antonelli to salvage crucial setup data.
RUN4
George Russell posts a 1:43.347 on Pirelli soft tyres after an initial 1:43.759 benchmark, with Kimi Antonelli slotting into second place at 1:43.899.
Cemented an ominous Mercedes advantage over the rest of the field, creating a half-second cushion over all rivals.
AI 선정 드라이버
Pierre Gasly
Pierre Gasly extracted maximum efficiency from Alpine's slippery aero kit to secure seventh, finishing within two-hundredths of Lando Norris and outpacing Oscar Piastri's upgraded McLaren.
AI 예측 검토
Our FP2 prediction delivered strong accuracy at the top of the timing sheets, nailing the Mercedes 1-2 lockout and predicting exact positions for Charles Leclerc and Isack Hadjar.
적중: Accurately projecting George Russell to top FP2 ahead of Kimi Antonelli in P2, correctly anticipating Mercedes' street circuit performance advantage.
실패: Expecting Lando Norris to take P3 on single-lap pace, whereas McLaren's upgrade evaluation programme left him down in P6 while Max Verstappen secured third.

프리 프랙티스 3

AI 예측

최종 예측.

예상 패스티스트 랩

Russell swept both FP1 and FP2 with commanding pace and low-drag straightline efficiency, establishing himself as the clear benchmark around Baku.

날씨 예보DRY
기온24°C
노면 온도35°C
비6%
바람16 km/h
추가 예측
가장 빠른 컨스트럭터Mercedes
우승 격차0.178sec
예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차0.18s0.1s
트랙 상태drydry
온도24°25°
예측
최속
TOP 560%
컨스트럭터
H2H7/11
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

Russell has dominated the timesheets this weekend by topping both FP1 and FP2, demonstrating supreme confidence on Baku's heavy-braking street layout over Antonelli.

Verstappen comfortably held a multi-tenth advantage over Hadjar across Friday's single-lap simulations and possesses vastly superior track mastery around Baku's unforgiving barriers.

Leclerc is a proven Baku qualifying specialist and outpaced Hamilton in both opening practice sessions as he extracts the maximum out of the Ferrari in low-downforce trim.

Norris rebounded strongly in FP2 to edge Piastri in low-fuel qualifying simulations, building momentum on soft compound single-lap runs where his qualifying record remains superior.

Gasly showed exceptional one-lap pace by vaulting to P7 in FP2, consistently pulling clear of Colapinto through Baku's technical middle sector.

Ocon looked settled from the outset with top-10 finishes in both Friday sessions, while Bearman struggled to hook up a clean lap and trailed by over a second in FP2.

Lawson has comfortably outperformed his rookie teammate across FP1 and FP2, utilizing his greater street circuit experience to brake later and carry speed into Turn 1 and Turn 3.

Bortoleto edged Hulkenberg in both FP1 and FP2, demonstrating sharper turn-in response and confidence through the 90-degree corners in the Audi.

Albon moved ahead of Sainz in FP2 as the Williams low-drag package suited his driving style on the 2.2 km main straight, setting him up well for FP3 qualifying prep.

Perez has historically been at his best around Baku's streets and convincingly beat Bottas by nearly a full second in FP2's soft-tire performance runs.

Alonso holds a commanding 10-2 qualifying head-to-head advantage over Stroll this season and consistently extracts lap time from the Aston Martin when margins are razor-thin.

AI FP3 분석

리포트.

Max Verstappen denies George Russell a Baku practice sweep with a dramatic late slipstream flyer in gusty FP3.
Free Practice 3 at the Baku City Circuit delivered a high-stakes, wind-swept preview of qualifying as Max Verstappen broke George Russell's monopoly on top spot. Mercedes had arrived as the benchmark after dominating Thursday's running, and Russell wasted little time establishing an imposing 1:44.021 during the soft-tyre qualifying simulations. However, tricky Caspian coastal winds gusting up to 50 km/h wreaked havoc across the circuit, unsettling chassis balance and forcing both Russell and teammate Kimi Antonelli to flirt with disaster in the Turn 1 and Turn 7 escape roads. Despite vocally lamenting that his Red Bull was jumping over track ripples and numb through Turn 16, Verstappen pieced together a stunning final sector with a potent double slipstream to snatch P1 by just 0.099s. The battle at the sharp end tightened substantially compared to Thursday, with just 0.111s separating the top three drivers. Scuderia Ferrari firmly entered the podium fight as Lewis Hamilton executed a clean late lap to take P3 with a 1:44.033, edging out Kimi Antonelli and teammate Charles Leclerc. Ferrari's mechanical grip in the low-speed 90-degree sequences looked sharp, though both SF-26s appeared susceptible to sudden crosswinds under high-speed braking. Meanwhile, McLaren endured a lukewarm session; Oscar Piastri struggled with front-end vibrations and low confidence on turn-in to finish seventh, with Lando Norris closely following in eighth, both nearly a second adrift of the outright pace. Down the order, Alpine emerged as the undisputed star of the midfield. Pierre Gasly delivered an exceptional lap to take P6 with a 1:44.637, legitimately out-qualifying both McLarens on outright pace thanks to Alpine's slippery, low-drag aerodynamic specification. Teammate Franco Colapinto rounded out the top ten behind Isack Hadjar, who recovered solidly to ninth on his return to the Red Bull cockpit. Conversely, Aston Martin endured another disastrous morning: Fernando Alonso languished in 20th, while Lance Stroll clipped the Turn 1 barrier early on, ending his running on the spot and cementing a steep uphill battle for the Silverstone-based outfit.
전략
FP3 confirmed that high track evolution and unpredictable Caspian wind gusts make Baku an aerodynamic minefield. Pirelli's soft compound provided maximum bite for single-lap qualifying simulations, but rapid thermal degradation and graining along the rears were already evident by the end of push laps. This strongly indicates that the soft tyre will be discarded early during Sunday's Grand Prix, cementing a conventional medium-to-hard one-stop strategy as the baseline, provided neutralization periods allow clean pit windows. Mercedes and Ferrari still appear to hold the most repeatable, well-mannered long-run platforms on high fuel, where tyre preservation through the tight Castle section (Turns 8–12) is vital. However, Red Bull's blistering top speed and tow efficiency mean that track position gained in qualifying will be fiercely defendable on the 2.2 km full-throttle blast to the line. With midfield margins razor-thin—covered by less than half a second from P10 to P17—timing the tow down the main straight in Q2 and Q3 will be just as crucial as outright mechanical balance.
주요 순간
RUN1
Lance Stroll clips the inside wall at Turn 1, sustaining front-end suspension damage that curtails Aston Martin's session after just nine laps.
Leaves Aston Martin completely devoid of critical low-fuel data and compound evaluation on one side of the garage heading straight into qualifying.
RUN2
Sudden 50 km/h coastal wind gusts sweep along the Caspian waterfront straight, triggering multiple runoff escapes and a brief Virtual Safety Car to clear a blown tree branch.
Disrupted early mid-session run plans and left front-runners battling unpredictable aero balance into heavy braking zones.
RUN3
George Russell survives a heavy front-axle lockup straight on into the Turn 7 escape road, narrowly brushing the barriers after logging a 1:44.021.
Exposed the razor-thin margin between optimal tyre temperatures and outright lockups into Baku's 90-degree corners.
RUN4
Max Verstappen hooks up a massive tow down the 2.2 km main straight to produce a 1:43.922, edging George Russell by 0.099 seconds just before the chequered flag.
Broke Mercedes' stranglehold over the weekend's timing sheets and proved that straight-line drafting will be the decisive factor in qualifying.
AI 선정 드라이버
Pierre Gasly
Pierre Gasly extracted maximum efficiency from Alpine's low-drag setup to split the front-runners and finish sixth, outpacing both factory McLarens by over a tenth.
AI 예측 검토
Our FP3 forecast demonstrated outstanding precision across the top 10, correctly predicting the exact classification positions for Lewis Hamilton (P3), Charles Leclerc (P5), Oscar Piastri (P7), Isack Hadjar (P9), and Franco Colapinto (P10).
적중: Precisely predicting Lewis Hamilton to finish in third position (P3) with a calibrated understanding of Ferrari's single-lap progression relative to Mercedes.
실패: Projecting Max Verstappen in fourth position, underestimating his ability to salvage P1 with a tow after wrestling persistent balance issues throughout the session.
FAQ

Azerbaijan Grand Prix 예상 FAQ

2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix (Baku) 우승 예상자는?
George Russell (Mercedes)
2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix (Baku) 포디움 예상 결과는?
P1: George Russell. P2: Charles Leclerc. P3: Oscar Piastri.
2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix (Baku) 폴 포지션 예상자는?
George Russell (Mercedes)
Azerbaijan Grand Prix 예상 시 AI가 고려하는 요소는?
George Russell's dominant pace: Russell swept the competitive timing sheets in FP1, FP2, and qualifying, demonstrating superior top-end straight-line speed on Baku's 2.2 km straight.. Kimi Antonelli's recovery drive (+8 positions): Starting from P16 following his Q1 crash, Antonelli will exploit Mercedes' class-leading straight-line speed, powerful DRS slipstreams, and superior race pace to slice through the midfield into the points..
방법론예측 생성 방식: 데이터, 지표, 그리고 변조 불가능한 공개 기록.방법론 읽기
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