AustrianグランプリSpielberg
2026 Austrian Grand Prixの結果:Red Bull Ringでのレース順位、表彰台、予選、ファステストラップ、ピットストップ、セクタータイム、さらにAI予測のスコアを掲載。2026年6月28日。
AIの予測結果
AIの予測が的中しました。
- P1RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELLMercedesRussellGeorge Russell的中
- P2VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPENRed Bull RacingLeclercCharles Leclerc外れ
- P3ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLIMercedesHamiltonLewis Hamilton外れ
スコアカード
あなたの番
次戦: United States GP
予想締切まで
結果とAI予測の比較
キーモーメント
George Russell masterfully defends the Red Bull Ring to claim a hard-fought Austrian victory for Mercedes.
- 1周目George Russell holds the lead from pole position at the start.Established the foundation for a controlled race pace throughout the afternoon.
- 13周目Lewis Hamilton pits for the first time, diverging from the front-running strategy.Dropped him into traffic, forcing a multi-stop recovery drive that ultimately compromised his podium chances.
- 43周目Lewis Hamilton makes his final pit stop for Hard tires.Locked him into a recovery mission to secure P5 rather than fighting for the lead.
- 71周目George Russell crosses the finish line.Confirmed the victory, successfully managing a 1.611s gap over a surging Max Verstappen.
直接対決
Gasly has consistently outperformed Colapinto in qualifying and carries more experience on the Red Bull Ring, giving him a distinct advantage for race management.
Despite a difficult qualifying for the team, Alonso's superior race craft and ability to manage car limitations give him the edge over Stroll.
Bortoleto has shown sharper pace throughout the weekend sessions compared to Hulkenberg and is well-positioned to convert that into a better finishing position.
It is a tight battle at the back, but Perez has marginally better qualifying pace and recent form compared to Bottas.
While Leclerc starts ahead on the grid, Hamilton's recent race-winning momentum and superior tire management make him the favorite to move forward.
Bearman has demonstrated better single-lap pace and consistency this weekend, putting him in a stronger position to lead the Haas duo.
Norris continues to be the lead McLaren driver this season; his race pace consistency is generally superior at a technical circuit like Spielberg.
Starting from Pole Position gives Russell a massive tactical advantage to control the race from the front, while the rookie Antonelli deals with the pressure of the lead pack.
Lawson has been consistently ahead on the timing sheets this weekend and possesses the experience required to maintain position in the midfield battle.
Verstappen is the clear lead driver at his home circuit and possesses significantly higher race pace and experience than Hadjar.
Sainz outqualified Albon and historically manages race stints better in traffic, which is critical at the Red Bull Ring.
ウィークエンド
- セッションリプレイリプレイを見るラップごとの順位、ギャップ、フラッグ情報AIレース予想
予想の結論
ポールポジション予想P1RussellGeorge RussellMercedes72%P2AntonelliKimi AntonelliMercedes68%P3PiastriOscar PiastriMcLaren61%Russell has shown blistering one-lap pace throughout the weekend, topping both FP1 and FP3 with consistent sector times. His ability to manage the sensitive tires in the high-temperature conditions at the Red Bull Ring gives him the edge over the field.
天気予報DRY気温33°C路面温度52°C雨10%風12 km/hレースインシデント赤旗yes#ドライバーチーム自信度自信度P4NorrisLando NorrisMcLaren57%P5HamiltonLewis HamiltonFerrari49%P6VerstappenMax VerstappenRed Bull Racing47%P7LeclercCharles LeclercFerrari42%P8HadjarIsack HadjarRed Bull Racing38%P9LindbladArvid LindbladRacing Bulls33%P10LawsonLiam LawsonRacing Bulls29%番狂わせの敗退Charles LeclercQ2で敗退: With the field separated by mere hundredths, a minor lock-up in the high-heat conditions and traffic congestion on the short lap will leave him narrowly missing the top 10 shootout.クイックスタッツポールタイム差0.082その他の予想Q1最速Kimi Antonelli (0.110s)Q2最速George Russell (0.090s)優勝コンストラクターMercedes予選結果結果
#ドライバーチームQ1Q2Q3P1RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELLMercedes07.3981:07.39806.9791:06.97906.1131:06.113P2LECLERCCharles LECLERCFerrari07.5431:07.54307.0301:07.03006.3491:06.349P3HAMILTONLewis HAMILTONFerrari07.2901:07.29006.9941:06.99406.4081:06.408P4ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLIMercedes07.0831:07.08306.7631:06.76306.4141:06.414P5VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPENRed Bull07.4071:07.40707.1831:07.18306.4751:06.475P6NORRISLando NORRISMcLaren07.2591:07.25906.8971:06.89706.5021:06.502P7PIASTRIOscar PIASTRIMcLaren07.4871:07.48706.8901:06.89006.5111:06.511P8HADJARIsack HADJARRed Bull07.4081:07.40807.0861:07.08606.6321:06.632P9LAWSONLiam LAWSONRB F1 Team07.3851:07.38507.1361:07.13606.9551:06.955P10LINDBLADArvid LINDBLADRB F1 Team07.5491:07.54907.1551:07.15507.0071:07.007P11GASLYPierre GASLYOUT Q2Alpine F1 Team08.0381:08.03807.2231:07.223–P12BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETOOUT Q2Audi08.0351:08.03507.2931:07.293–P13BEARMANOliver BEARMANOUT Q2Haas F1 Team08.0611:08.06107.5231:07.523–P14HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERGOUT Q2Audi08.0661:08.06607.6111:07.611–P15OCONEsteban OCONOUT Q2Haas F1 Team08.2311:08.23107.8171:07.817–P16COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTOOUT Q2Alpine F1 Team07.8941:07.89408.1711:08.171–P17SAINZCarlos SAINZOUT Q1Williams08.2521:08.252––P18ALBONAlexander ALBONOUT Q1Williams08.5091:08.509––P19PEREZSergio PEREZOUT Q1Cadillac F1 Team08.9451:08.945––P20BOTTASValtteri BOTTASOUT Q1Cadillac F1 Team09.0301:09.030––P21ALONSOFernando ALONSOOUT Q1Aston Martin09.9421:09.942––P22STROLLLance STROLLOUT Q1Aston Martin10.3631:10.363––天候ドライ気温33.3°C路面温度51.9°C湿度25%風1.2 km/h予想精度スコアカード
予想精度予想 vs 実績項目予想実績結果脱落予想Q2not eliminatedマージン0.08s0.15s天候drydry気温33°33°レッドフラッグyesno予想ポールポジションQ1最速Q2最速TOP 560%コンストラクターチーム予想11/11 件の的中直接対決6/11チームメイト対決直接対決
ドライバーリザルトGasly has shown a clear improvement curve across FP2 and FP3, overtaking Colapinto in the final practice session to establish a setup advantage.
Despite the team's overall struggle with pace, Alonso continues to show superior technical consistency and experience compared to Stroll in practice sessions.
Hulkenberg edged out Bortoleto in the FP3 classification, demonstrating better single-lap extraction capability ahead of qualifying.
Perez has struggled significantly with pace throughout the weekend, trailing Bottas consistently in the available practice data.
Hamilton enters the session with stronger momentum and consistent top-5 pace in practice, while Leclerc has struggled to find a comparable rhythm this weekend.
Bearman has outpaced Ocon in every practice session this weekend, showing better adaptation to the Red Bull Ring's characteristics.
Piastri has been the more consistent of the two McLarens across all three practice sessions, showing a strong one-lap pace advantage.
While Russell claimed P1 in FP3, Antonelli's pace in FP1 and FP2 was sensational; his raw speed gives him a slight edge for a high-stakes qualifying lap.
Lawson has demonstrated superior progression through the weekend, finishing ahead of Lindblad in both FP2 and FP3.
Verstappen remains the clear team leader and has comfortably outperformed Hadjar in every practice session this weekend.
Sainz managed to edge ahead of Albon in the final practice session, suggesting a slight setup advantage heading into qualifying.
AI予選分析レース分析
George Russell masterclasses the Red Bull Ring as Mercedes secures supreme qualifying formThe Styrian mountains played host to a qualifying session defined by extreme heat and suffocating tension. With track temperatures soaring above 50°C, tire management and cooling became the primary hurdles for the field. Q1 saw immediate drama as the tight margins of the Red Bull Ring claimed victims early; Sergio Perez, unable to find a rhythm in his Cadillac, suffered a surprise exit alongside his teammate Valtteri Bottas, leaving the American team searching for answers. As the session progressed into Q2, the margins became razor-thin. The track evolution was evident, with the circuit rubbering in rapidly, but traffic management became a chaotic game of chicken in the final sector. While the front-runners navigated the congestion cleanly, Pierre Gasly and the Audi duo of Gabriel Bortoleto and Nico Hulkenberg fell just short, unable to squeeze into the top ten shootout. In Q3, the battle for pole turned into a high-stakes duel. Mercedes, having shown consistent balance all weekend, threw down the gauntlet. George Russell delivered a clinical 1:07.398 to secure pole position, narrowly fending off the Ferrari duo of Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. Kimi Antonelli continued his remarkable rookie campaign, grabbing a stellar P4, ensuring that both Mercedes cars remain firmly in the fight for the race win.戦略Qualifying strategy in Spielberg was entirely dictated by tire thermal degradation and traffic windows. With the short lap length, getting a clear run without interference from slow-moving cars on cool-down laps was the primary objective for every engineer. Teams opted for shorter, aggressive stints rather than long runs, prioritizing a 'hero lap' on fresh softs. The high track temperature meant that preparation laps were critical; drivers had to balance warming the rubber without cooking the core surface. Those who pushed too hard in the final sector often paid the price with a snap of oversteer, illustrating why the margins were so tight.ハイライトQ1Sergio Perez eliminated in Q1A massive shock as the Cadillac driver fails to escape the bottom five, struggling with balance in the sweltering heat.Q2Midfield traffic bottlenecksDrivers like Pierre Gasly and the Audi pair lose crucial tenths, failing to bridge the gap to the Q3 shootout.Q3Russell versus the FerrarisGeorge Russell nails his final flying lap to deny Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton pole position.AIの注目ドライバーKimi AntonelliSecuring P4 on such a technical circuit in his rookie season shows maturity and pace that few expected this early in the year.AI予想レビューOur prediction correctly identified the pole sitter and the overall team pecking order, though the individual driver spread proved more volatile than anticipated.的中: We correctly predicted George Russell on pole and the dominant performance of Mercedes, as well as the high-temperature conditions impacting the session.外れ: We predicted Charles Leclerc would be eliminated in Q2, but he defied that expectation to secure a brilliant P2 on the front row. - セッションリプレイリプレイを見るラップごとの順位、ギャップ、フラッグ情報AIレース予想
予想の結論
予選終了後表彰台予想P1RussellGeorge RussellMercedes67%P2LeclercCharles LeclercFerrari56%P3HamiltonLewis HamiltonFerrari49%Russell secured pole position and has shown the strongest race pace on long runs throughout the weekend. With the Mercedes W17 performing well in the high-speed sections and stability over kerbs, he is best positioned to lead from the front.
週末を通じてモデルの予想が洗練されました:初期バージョンは41%、最終版は22時間前に確定して78%でした。
天気予報DRY気温24°C路面温度39°C雨25%風12 km/hレースインシデントセーフティカー×1yesVSC×1yes赤旗no#ドライバーチーム自信度自信度P4AntonelliKimi AntonelliMercedes43%P5VerstappenMax VerstappenRed Bull Racing39%P6NorrisLando NorrisMcLaren37%P7PiastriOscar PiastriMcLaren34%P8HadjarIsack HadjarRed Bull Racing28%P9LawsonLiam LawsonRacing Bulls26%P10LindbladArvid LindbladRacing Bulls22%注目ポイント◆High track temperatures increasing thermal degradation◆Mercedes power advantage on the climb to Turn 3◆Risk of Turn 8 and Turn 10 incidents causing race interruptions波乱の可能性Max VerstappenStarting P5 after his qualifying crash, Verstappen could utilize a 'soft-start' strategy to gain track position early, forcing leaders to defend and potentially opening the door for an undercut victory.クイックスタッツ優勝タイム差4.8完走扱い20その他の予想ファステストラップGeorge Russell優勝コンストラクターMercedesFLコンストラクターMercedesピット戦略最初のピットインLance Stroll最後のピットインCharles Leclerc最速ピットストップMcLarenチーム予想チームトップ3トップ6ポイントフィニッシュMercedes–✓✓✓Ferrari✓✓✓✓McLaren––✓✓Red Bull Racing––✓✓Racing Bulls––✓✓Alpine–––✓Audi–––✓Haas F1 Team–––✓Williams–––✓Cadillac–––✓Aston Martin–––✓予想項目確率判定Will Fernando Alonso retire from the race?34%いいえWill Kimi Antonelli be classified as a DNF in the Austrian Grand Prix?28%いいえWill more than 3 drivers receive a time penalty for track limit violations?82%はいWill there be a first-lap incident resulting in a yellow flag or debris?68%はいWill there be a change in the race lead during the final 10 laps?44%いいえWill there be more than 1 Safety Car deployment?38%いいえWill the race winner start from pole position?58%はいWill the race winner also set the fastest lap of the race?52%はいWill the WDC points gap between P1 and P2 shrink after this race?48%いいえWill a driver from a team outside the top 3 (Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren) finish on the podium?22%いいえファン予想カテゴリー予想確率決定放送Will the international broadcast feed show the giant steel bull statue in the infield at least three times during the race?85%ありカオスWill at least one car shed a piece of carbon fiber debris after aggressively clattering over the yellow 'sausage kerbs' at the final corner?75%あり文化Will the TV director cut to a shot of a fan vigorously shaking a traditional Austrian cowbell in the grandstands within the first ten laps?95%ありAIレース分析レース分析
George Russell masterfully defends the Red Bull Ring to claim a hard-fought Austrian victory for Mercedes.George Russell produced a masterclass in Spielberg, commanding the Austrian Grand Prix from lights out to the checkered flag. Starting from pole, Russell was unflappable, managing his tire thermal degradation expertly on a track that reached 34°C. While the Mercedes W17 displayed supreme confidence, the race was far from a procession; Max Verstappen, starting from a challenging P5, executed a brilliant recovery drive, slicing through the field to apply immense pressure on the leader in the closing stages. Despite Verstappen closing the gap to within two seconds, Russell’s poise ensured the Mercedes remained out of reach. Behind the leaders, the race was a tactical chess match. Rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli underscored Mercedes' dominance by securing a stellar P3, holding off a charging pack. Further down, the midfield was defined by aggressive, divergent strategies. Drivers like Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc attempted to manipulate tire life with multi-stop gambles, but the degradation proved too severe for unconventional approaches, leaving them to scrap for minor points while the front-runners solidified their positions.戦略The race was defined by the handling of tire thermal degradation in the sweltering Austrian heat. The front-runners opted for a consistent two-stop strategy, which proved optimal for maintaining track position. In contrast, teams further back, notably Ferrari with Lewis Hamilton, attempted aggressive multi-stop strategies involving Soft compounds. While this created temporary speed advantages, the high degradation rates meant these drivers inevitably fell back into the 'DRS train' formations, struggling to overtake cars on fresher, more durable rubber. Mercedes' decision to keep Russell on a conventional strategy while maximizing the car's high-speed efficiency was the winning move. They successfully avoided the pitfalls of the undercut, allowing them to dictate the pace of the race without being forced into defensive tire saving.ハイライト1周目George Russell holds the lead from pole position at the start.Established the foundation for a controlled race pace throughout the afternoon.13周目Lewis Hamilton pits for the first time, diverging from the front-running strategy.Dropped him into traffic, forcing a multi-stop recovery drive that ultimately compromised his podium chances.43周目Lewis Hamilton makes his final pit stop for Hard tires.Locked him into a recovery mission to secure P5 rather than fighting for the lead.71周目George Russell crosses the finish line.Confirmed the victory, successfully managing a 1.611s gap over a surging Max Verstappen.ドライバー・オブ・ザ・デイMax VerstappenFans voted for Verstappen for his remarkable charge from P5 on the grid, overcoming a difficult qualifying session to push the race leader until the very final lap.AIの注目ドライバーKimi AntonelliIn only his first season, Antonelli displayed immense maturity, maintaining top-tier pace to secure a podium finish alongside his teammate in a high-pressure environment.AI予想レビューWe achieved a solid 0.73 accuracy score, correctly identifying the winner and the constructor's strength, though the intensity of the race exceeded our safety car expectations.的中: We perfectly predicted George Russell as the race winner and accurately forecasted the dominant performance of the Mercedes team.外れ: We incorrectly predicted a Safety Car intervention; the race remained green throughout, which disrupted our expected tire strategy timelines and ultimately saw Kimi Antonelli take the podium spot we had reserved for Lewis Hamilton.
フリー走行
- フリー走行1最速: Kimi ANTONELLIAI不正解
- フリー走行2最速: Kimi ANTONELLIAI不正解
- フリー走行3最速: George RUSSELLAI不正解
フリー走行1
予想の結論
Coming off a win in Barcelona, Hamilton is showing championship-level form and Ferrari's package is performing exceptionally well in high-temperature conditions.
FP1 結果
スコアカード
直接対決
Gasly's extensive experience at the Red Bull Ring gives him a slight edge in setting up the car quickly during the limited FP1 session.
Despite recent struggles, Alonso's ability to extract performance from a sub-optimal car in early practice sessions remains superior to Stroll's.
Hulkenberg is a master of the 'flying lap' in early sessions and will likely be more efficient in finding the optimal line immediately.
Bottas has shown slightly better consistency in adapting to the Cadillac's difficult handling characteristics during recent Friday sessions.
Hamilton enters Austria with significant momentum and confidence after his win in Barcelona, whereas Leclerc is currently fighting to regain his composure.
Bearman has demonstrated higher raw single-lap pace in recent outings compared to the more experienced Ocon.
Norris typically excels at finding the limit on the first run of the weekend, giving him a fractional advantage over Piastri.
Coming off a dominant display in Barcelona where he topped almost every practice session, Russell is currently the driver to beat at Mercedes.
Lindblad has been the standout performer in the RB entry recently, showing a better aptitude for the short, technical nature of circuits like Spielberg.
Verstappen is a home favorite and consistently sets the pace in FP1; he is unlikely to be outpaced by his teammate here.
Albon has a stronger understanding of the Williams car's current setup window, which is crucial for maximizing track time in FP1.
レース分析
フリー走行2
予想の結論
Following his victory in Barcelona and Ferrari's strong current momentum, Hamilton is likely to leverage the team's superior tire management to top the timesheet at the power-sensitive Red Bull Ring.
FP2 結果
スコアカード
直接対決
Gasly's superior experience at the Red Bull Ring and consistency in practice sessions gives him the edge over the younger Colapinto.
Alonso remains the clear team leader in pace, consistently outperforming Stroll in both practice and qualifying despite recent car struggles.
Bortoleto has shown impressive recent one-lap pace in practice sessions, giving him the slight edge over Hulkenberg in FP2 trim.
Perez is currently struggling significantly with confidence and pace, while Bottas provides a more stable baseline for the team.
Fresh off a win in Barcelona, Hamilton is currently operating at a higher peak of confidence and precision compared to Leclerc.
Bearman has demonstrated sharper single-lap speed in recent practice sessions compared to the more race-pace-focused Ocon.
Norris continues to lead the McLaren charge with consistent top-tier performances, particularly in high-grip FP2 qualifying simulations.
Russell's experience and consistent setups make him the safer bet for pure pace during the critical FP2 qualifying simulation.
Lindblad has punched above his weight in recent practice sessions, showing a natural aptitude for the short Red Bull Ring lap.
The clear #1 driver at his home event, Verstappen's pace advantage over rookie teammate Hadjar is significant.
Sainz's technical feedback and superior single-lap execution typically place him ahead of Albon in Friday practice runs.
レース分析
フリー走行3
予想の結論
Antonelli has topped both Friday practice sessions with significant pace, demonstrating superior comfort with the car's setup on the technical Red Bull Ring layout.
FP3 結果
スコアカード
直接対決
Gasly has shown slightly more stable performance across the opening two sessions compared to Colapinto, who has been more volatile.
Both drivers are struggling for pace, but Alonso's extensive experience is more likely to yield a setup breakthrough in FP3.
Bortoleto looked more comfortable in the car during FP2, showing a slight edge in single-lap pace.
Perez has struggled significantly with pace throughout Friday, while Bottas has managed to stay closer to the midfield pack.
Hamilton has demonstrated stronger and more consistent pace in this weekend's sessions compared to Leclerc.
Bearman has consistently outpaced Ocon throughout both FP1 and FP2, suggesting a better setup confidence.
Piastri has been the standout performer at McLaren this weekend, showing stronger single-lap pace in both sessions.
Antonelli has dominated the weekend so far, topping both FP1 and FP2 with superior pace compared to Russell.
Lawson showed an encouraging improvement in FP2 pace, giving him the momentum heading into the final practice session.
Verstappen remains the clear leader at Red Bull, maintaining a significant pace advantage over rookie teammate Hadjar.
Albon has been the more consistent of the two Williams drivers throughout the weekend sessions thus far.
レース分析
Austrian Grand Prix 予想に関するよくある質問
- 2026 Austrian Grand Prix (Spielberg) の優勝予想は?
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- 2026 Austrian Grand Prix (Spielberg) の表彰台予想は?
- P1: George Russell。P2: Charles Leclerc。P3: Lewis Hamilton。
- 2026 Austrian Grand Prix (Spielberg) のポールポジション予想は?
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Austrian Grand Prix の予想においてAIが考慮する要素は?
- High track temperatures increasing thermal degradation. Mercedes power advantage on the climb to Turn 3.