ROUND 7 · 6月14日 · BARCELONA

Barcelonaグランプリ

Lewis HAMILTONが2番グリッドから優勝

2026 Barcelona Grand Prixの結果:Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunyaでのレース順位、表彰台、予選、ファステストラップ、ピットストップ、セクタータイム、さらにAI予測のスコアを掲載。2026年6月14日。

AIの予測結果

AIは勝者を外しました。

結果AI予測
  1. P1HAMILTONLewis HAMILTONFerrariRussellGeorge Russell外れ
  2. P2RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELLMercedesHamiltonLewis Hamilton外れ
  3. P3NORRISLando NORRISMcLarenAntonelliKimi Antonelli外れ
的中率 25%
天候AI予測ドライ · 気温 34°C · 路面温度 52°C実際降雨なし · 気温 30.5°C · 路面温度 50.3°C
予想精度

スコアカード

予想精度
予想 vs 実績
項目予想実績結果
マージン4.2s19.56s
天候drydry
気温34°31°
セーフティカーno (0)no
VSCyesyes
レッドフラッグnono
完走扱い2014
予想
優勝
表彰台0%
TOP 1070%
コンストラクター
ファステストラップ
FLチーム
優勝+FL
ポール・トゥ・ウィン
最初のピット
最後のピット
ピット速度
チーム予想9/16 件の的中
直接対決8/11
展望5/10

あなたの番

次戦: United States GP

予想締切まで

00日
00時間
00分
00秒

キーモーメント

Lewis Hamilton masters the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya to clinch a commanding victory as Mercedes secures a 1-2 finish.

  1. 1周目George Russell holds the lead from pole position, with Lewis Hamilton immediately slotting into second as the pair pull clear of the pack.Established the Mercedes dominance early, setting the tone for a strategic battle between the teammates.
  2. 16周目Charles Leclerc retires from the race after a promising start.Removed a significant contender from the fight for the podium, opening the door for Lando Norris and Max Verstappen to capitalize.
  3. 20周目Kimi Antonelli, running strongly in the top three, suffers a terminal mechanical failure.Cruelly denied the young driver a potential podium and forced the field to navigate a virtual safety car period.
  4. 35周目Lewis Hamilton makes a decisive push on fresh rubber, extending his gap to George Russell significantly.Secured the strategic advantage, allowing Hamilton to manage tire degradation in clean air while Russell struggled with pace.
  5. 65周目Lewis Hamilton takes the checkered flag, crossing the line 19.5 seconds ahead of George Russell.Cemented an emphatic victory for the seven-time champion in front of the Spanish crowd.
チームメイト対決

直接対決

ドライバーリザルト

Colapinto outqualified Gasly and has shown consistent pace throughout the Barcelona weekend, suggesting a slight edge in race trim.

Despite a difficult weekend for the team, Alonso consistently demonstrates superior race management and experience compared to his teammate.

Hulkenberg secured a significantly higher qualifying position and has established himself as the more reliable race performer within the team.

In a battle at the back of the grid, Perez has shown marginally better qualifying pace and speed throughout the sessions compared to Bottas.

Hamilton starts P2 while Leclerc starts P10; the performance disparity shown in qualifying this weekend is significant.

Bearman outperformed Ocon in qualifying and has shown more consistent lap times during practice sessions.

Norris qualified higher (P4) than Piastri (P7) and has displayed slightly better race pace consistency in recent rounds.

Starting from pole position, Russell has the track position and experience advantage over his rookie teammate.

Lawson has a strong qualifying advantage and typically converts his experience into better race management.

Verstappen’s championship pedigree and superior race pace make him the clear favorite to finish ahead of his teammate.

Sainz outperformed Albon in qualifying and generally shows higher consistency in race conditions.

ウィークエンド

  1. セッションリプレイリプレイを見るラップごとの順位、ギャップ、フラッグ情報
    AIレース予想

    予想の結論

    ポールポジション予想

    Antonelli has demonstrated superior qualifying extraction and championship momentum, winning three consecutive races heading into this weekend. Despite George Russell's strength in practice, Antonelli's ability to maximize tire preparation in the final qualifying segment gives him the slight edge for pole position.

    天気予報DRY
    気温32°C
    路面温度52°C
    雨0%
    風12 km/h
    レースインシデント
    赤旗
    yes
    番狂わせの敗退
    Carlos Sainz
    Q1で敗退: The Williams car continues to struggle with high-speed downforce balance, and Sainz has been unable to find a qualifying window in this session, leading to an early exit.
    クイックスタッツ
    ポールタイム差0.120
    その他の予想
    Q1最速George Russell (0.280s)
    Q2最速Kimi Antonelli (0.180s)
    優勝コンストラクターMercedes
    予選結果

    結果

    #ドライバーチームQ1Q2Q3
    P1
    RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL
    Mercedes
    15.7171:15.717
    15.2281:15.228
    14.6791:14.679
    P2
    HAMILTONLewis HAMILTON
    Ferrari
    15.6251:15.625
    15.4181:15.418
    14.7431:14.743
    P3
    ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI
    Mercedes
    15.9771:15.977
    15.2951:15.295
    14.9981:14.998
    P4
    NORRISLando NORRIS
    McLaren
    16.2871:16.287
    15.3611:15.361
    15.0011:15.001
    P5
    VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPEN
    Red Bull
    16.3521:16.352
    15.4841:15.484
    15.0211:15.021
    P6
    HADJARIsack HADJAR
    Red Bull
    16.4271:16.427
    15.7541:15.754
    15.0771:15.077
    P7
    PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI
    McLaren
    16.1381:16.138
    15.5181:15.518
    15.0901:15.090
    P8
    LAWSONLiam LAWSON
    RB F1 Team
    16.6731:16.673
    15.5851:15.585
    16.5421:16.542
    P9
    HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG
    Audi
    16.0661:16.066
    15.7681:15.768
    16.6571:16.657
    DNF
    LECLERCCharles LECLERCOUT Q2
    Ferrari
    15.9641:15.964
    15.2811:15.281
    –
    P11
    LINDBLADArvid LINDBLADOUT Q2
    RB F1 Team
    16.4251:16.425
    15.8401:15.840
    –
    P12
    BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETOOUT Q2
    Audi
    16.6161:16.616
    16.0011:16.001
    –
    P13
    COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTOOUT Q2
    Alpine F1 Team
    16.5901:16.590
    16.1911:16.191
    –
    P14
    GASLYPierre GASLYOUT Q2
    Alpine F1 Team
    16.5991:16.599
    16.2611:16.261
    –
    P15
    BEARMANOliver BEARMANOUT Q2
    Haas F1 Team
    16.5711:16.571
    16.3891:16.389
    –
    P16
    SAINZCarlos SAINZOUT Q2
    Williams
    16.8811:16.881
    17.8271:17.827
    –
    P17
    OCONEsteban OCONOUT Q1
    Haas F1 Team
    17.0731:17.073
    –
    –
    P18
    ALBONAlexander ALBONOUT Q1
    Williams
    17.4241:17.424
    –
    –
    P19
    PEREZSergio PEREZOUT Q1
    Cadillac F1 Team
    17.5451:17.545
    –
    –
    P20
    BOTTASValtteri BOTTASOUT Q1
    Cadillac F1 Team
    17.7571:17.757
    –
    –
    P21
    STROLLLance STROLLOUT Q1
    Aston Martin
    18.7581:18.758
    –
    –
    P22
    ALONSOFernando ALONSOOUT Q1
    Aston Martin
    18.8151:18.815
    –
    –
    天候ドライ
    気温30.7°C
    路面温度50.2°C
    湿度28%
    風2.3 km/h
    予想精度

    スコアカード

    予想精度
    予想 vs 実績
    項目予想実績結果
    脱落予想Q1Q2
    天候drydry
    気温32°31°
    レッドフラッグyesyes
    予想
    ポールポジション
    Q1最速
    Q2最速
    TOP 560%
    コンストラクター
    チーム予想11/11 件の的中
    直接対決6/11
    チームメイト対決

    直接対決

    ドライバーリザルト

    Gasly showed stronger pace in FP3, and his experience at this circuit typically allows him to extract more from the car in a single-lap qualifying push.

    Alonso consistently maintains a performance advantage over Stroll, especially in qualifying conditions where his technical feedback aids setup.

    Hulkenberg has displayed superior single-lap pace in both FP2 and FP3, positioning him as the more reliable qualifier for the team.

    Bottas has generally looked more comfortable with the car setup throughout the weekend sessions compared to Perez, who has struggled for pace.

    Leclerc has been a constant presence in the top three during practice, showing a distinct qualifying advantage over Hamilton this weekend.

    Bearman set stronger times in the earlier sessions, suggesting he has adapted better to the car's balance on this technical circuit.

    Norris topped the timing charts in FP2 and holds a slight edge in single-lap explosive pace, which is critical for this qualifying session.

    Russell has dominated the practice sessions, topping FP1 and FP3 with consistent speed, marking him as the clear favorite for Mercedes.

    Lindblad has shown improved progression and pace through FP2 and FP3, suggesting he is finding more rhythm as the weekend evolves.

    Verstappen remains the undisputed lead driver for Red Bull, consistently outpacing Hadjar across all practice sessions.

    Despite a tight battle in practice, Sainz's race-weekend experience is expected to provide the edge needed to edge out Albon in a high-pressure qualifying lap.

    AI予選分析

    レース分析

    George Russell charges to Barcelona pole as Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc crashes out of Q3 shootout.
    The Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya delivered a high-stakes qualifying session today, defined by track evolution and the crushing disappointment of a late red flag. The session began with a tight midfield battle in Q1, where the Williams and Alpine cars struggled to match the rapid track progression. Lance Stroll provided an early moment of tension when he dipped into the gravel, though the Aston Martin driver managed to rejoin, narrowly avoiding a session-halting incident early on. As the field transitioned into Q2, the margins tightened significantly, leaving no room for error. The track surface, baking under 31°C heat, became increasingly fast, forcing teams to prioritize tire preparation and traffic management. While the top contenders navigated the session smoothly, the tension boiled over in Q3. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc, having shown blistering pace throughout the day, looked poised to challenge for the front row before a significant accident at Turn 4 brought out the red flags. With the session curtailed, George Russell capitalized on his earlier strong pace to secure pole position, narrowly fending off Lewis Hamilton and Kimi Antonelli in a nail-biting conclusion to the day.
    戦略
    Qualifying strategy in Barcelona was dictated entirely by track evolution. With the surface temperatures hovering over 50°C, the track grip improved with every passing minute, making late-session track position the ultimate currency. Teams faced the classic dilemma: pushing early to bank a safe lap or saving tires for a final, high-grip assault in the dying moments. Traffic management proved to be the Achilles' heel for several teams. With the short run to Turn 1 and the critical nature of the final sector, engineers were glued to their GPS data, desperately trying to find clear air for their drivers. The red flag in Q3 ultimately neutralized the final track-evolution spike, rewarding those who had banked a representative time earlier in the segment.
    ハイライト
    Q1
    Lance Stroll goes off-track into the gravel trap, narrowly avoiding a major incident.
    While he continued, the incident disrupted early Q1 rhythm for the midfield pack.
    Q2
    Track evolution accelerates rapidly, catching out several midfield runners.
    Track temperatures climbed, shifting the balance and making the final push laps critical for the top 10 cut.
    Q3
    Charles Leclerc suffers a heavy crash at Turn 4, triggering a red flag.
    Leclerc was unable to set a competitive time, locking him into tenth while the grid order for the top nine was decided prior to the stoppage.
    AIの注目ドライバー
    Isack Hadjar
    Hadjar continues to impress in his debut season, extracting maximum performance from his Red Bull to secure P6, comfortably keeping pace with more experienced rivals.
    AI予想レビュー
    Our prediction yielded a mixed bag, correctly identifying the Mercedes dominance and the environmental conditions, though the final pole order shifted from our expectations.
    的中: We correctly identified the high probability of a red flag and successfully predicted the constructor winner, as Mercedes maintained superior downforce efficiency throughout the session.
    外れ: We incorrectly predicted Kimi Antonelli for pole position, as George Russell outperformed him in the decisive Q3 moments, and we also misjudged the round of elimination for Carlos Sainz, who bowed out in Q1 rather than Q2.
  2. セッションリプレイリプレイを見るラップごとの順位、ギャップ、フラッグ情報
    AIレース予想

    予想の結論

    予選終了後
    表彰台予想

    Russell converted pole position into a strong qualifying performance, and with the Mercedes showing superior high-speed corner stability, he is well-placed to manage the race from the front. His tire management in the clean air will be crucial given the high track temperatures forecast for Barcelona.

    週末を通じてモデルの予想が洗練されました:初期バージョンは22%、最終版は22時間前に確定して25%でした。

    天気予報DRY
    気温34°C
    路面温度52°C
    雨0%
    風12 km/h
    レースインシデント
    セーフティカー
    ×0no
    VSC
    ×1yes
    赤旗
    no
    注目ポイント
    ◆
    High track temperatures affecting tire life
    ◆
    Mercedes front-row lockout pace
    ◆
    Ferrari's significant aerodynamic upgrade package impact
    波乱の可能性
    Lewis Hamilton
    With Ferrari's major aerodynamic package, Hamilton could bridge the gap to the Mercedes early on and leverage superior long-run degradation to snatch the lead mid-race.
    クイックスタッツ
    優勝タイム差4.2
    完走扱い20
    その他の予想
    ファステストラップGeorge Russell
    優勝コンストラクターMercedes
    FLコンストラクターMercedes
    ピット戦略
    最初のピットインSergio Perez
    最後のピットインGeorge Russell
    最速ピットストップMcLaren
    チーム予想
    チーム
    トップ3
    トップ6
    ポイント
    フィニッシュ
    Mercedes
    ✓
    ✓
    ✓
    ✓
    Ferrari
    –
    –
    ✓
    ✓
    McLaren
    –
    –
    ✓
    ✓
    Red Bull Racing
    –
    ✓
    ✓
    ✓
    予想
    項目
    確率
    判定
    Will either Haas driver (Bearman or Ocon) finish in the points (Top 10)?
    42%
    いいえ
    Will Charles Leclerc record a DNF?
    26%
    いいえ
    Will any driver from outside the top 3 Constructor teams finish on the podium?
    22%
    いいえ
    Will the pole-sitter go on to win the race?
    71%
    はい
    Will the race winner also set the fastest lap of the race?
    68%
    はい
    Will there be a classified first-lap incident resulting in a yellow flag or debris in Turn 1?
    63%
    はい
    Will there be more than one safety car deployment during the race?
    28%
    いいえ
    Will there be a lead change in the final 10 laps?
    14%
    いいえ
    Will the total number of classified finishers be 17 or fewer?
    37%
    いいえ
    Will the WDC points gap between P1 and P2 shrink after this race?
    34%
    いいえ
    ファン予想
    カテゴリー
    予想
    確率
    決定
    放送
    Will the world feed broadcast cut to a skyline shot featuring the Sagrada Familia during the race?
    92%
    あり
    カオス
    Will at least one driver be forced into the Turn 1 runoff area during the opening lap chaos?
    75%
    あり
    野生動物
    Will a driver report 'bugs on my visor' over team radio during the race?
    55%
    あり
    AIレース分析

    レース分析

    Lewis Hamilton masters the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya to clinch a commanding victory as Mercedes secures a 1-2 finish.
    The 2026 Barcelona Grand Prix began with high expectations for Mercedes, locking out the front row with George Russell on pole and Lewis Hamilton alongside. When the lights went out, Russell initially controlled the pace, but it soon became evident that Hamilton’s tire management and race craft were in a league of their own this weekend. While Russell battled to maintain grip on a rapidly heating track, Hamilton surgically navigated the high-speed corners of the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, methodically building a substantial lead that would ultimately stretch to nearly 20 seconds. The race was not without its drama, particularly for the home-crowd favorites and the younger contingent. The early retirement of Charles Leclerc on lap 16 stifled the Ferrari challenge, and the heartbreaking DNF for Kimi Antonelli on lap 20—who looked poised to challenge for the podium—triggered a virtual safety car that bunched the field. However, once racing resumed, the Mercedes duo remained untouchable. Behind them, Lando Norris put in a stellar recovery drive to snatch the final step of the podium, while Max Verstappen fought hard for P4, though he could never quite bridge the gap to the front-runners. Ultimately, this was a tactical masterclass by Hamilton, who turned his P2 grid slot into a dominant win. While Russell took home a respectable P2, the gap in performance at the end of the race highlighted just how perfectly Hamilton played the long game with his tire strategy, leaving his teammate and the rest of the field to fight for the scraps.
    戦略
    The race was defined by the high track temperatures, which turned the grand prix into a war of attrition. Mercedes played their cards perfectly, with Hamilton managing his stints to maintain a 'tire delta' over Russell, which proved decisive in the final phase of the race. The undercut/overcut battles were neutralized by the sheer pace of the W17, but those who pushed too hard in the middle stints—such as the midfield runners struggling with excessive wear—paid the price in the final 10 laps. Strategy calls were also heavily impacted by the mid-race VSC. Teams that managed to pivot their stop windows capitalized on the reduced speed to save time, though the high degradation meant that keeping the hard compound alive until the final laps was the only way to avoid a 'cliff' in performance. Mercedes' decision to extend Hamilton’s second stint allowed him the tire life advantage needed to comfortably manage the gap in the final sprint to the finish.
    ハイライト
    1周目
    George Russell holds the lead from pole position, with Lewis Hamilton immediately slotting into second as the pair pull clear of the pack.
    Established the Mercedes dominance early, setting the tone for a strategic battle between the teammates.
    16周目
    Charles Leclerc retires from the race after a promising start.
    Removed a significant contender from the fight for the podium, opening the door for Lando Norris and Max Verstappen to capitalize.
    20周目
    Kimi Antonelli, running strongly in the top three, suffers a terminal mechanical failure.
    Cruelly denied the young driver a potential podium and forced the field to navigate a virtual safety car period.
    35周目
    Lewis Hamilton makes a decisive push on fresh rubber, extending his gap to George Russell significantly.
    Secured the strategic advantage, allowing Hamilton to manage tire degradation in clean air while Russell struggled with pace.
    65周目
    Lewis Hamilton takes the checkered flag, crossing the line 19.5 seconds ahead of George Russell.
    Cemented an emphatic victory for the seven-time champion in front of the Spanish crowd.
    ドライバー・オブ・ザ・デイ
    Lewis Hamilton
    Fans voted for Hamilton due to his clinical overtaking maneuvers at the start and his peerless ability to manage tire degradation, which allowed him to pull away from the field and secure a dominant win.
    AIの注目ドライバー
    Lando Norris
    Starting from P4, Norris drove a mature, calculated race to secure the final podium spot, managing his McLaren's pace perfectly amidst the intense heat and traffic.
    AI予想レビュー
    Our prediction struggled significantly, achieving an overall accuracy score of 0.24, largely due to misjudging the battle between the Mercedes drivers.
    的中: We correctly predicted the Virtual Safety Car and identified the overall dominance of Mercedes, correctly forecasting a 1-2 for the team.
    外れ: We incorrectly predicted George Russell to win and missed the podium order, failing to anticipate Lewis Hamilton’s superior race-pace management that ultimately decided the win.

フリー走行

  • フリー走行1最速: George RUSSELLAI不正解
  • フリー走行2最速: Lando NORRISAI不正解
  • フリー走行3最速: George RUSSELLAI不正解

フリー走行1

AIレース予想

予想の結論

最速予想

Fresh off a dominant streak of three consecutive wins, the championship leader will likely lead the initial pace-setting in FP1 to maintain his momentum.

天気予報DRY
気温24°C
路面温度48°C
雨0%
風12 km/h
その他の予想
最速コンストラクターMercedes
優勝タイム差0.284sec
予想精度

スコアカード

予想精度
予想 vs 実績
項目予想実績結果
マージン0.28s0.2s
天候drydry
気温24°29°
予想
最速
TOP 560%
コンストラクター
直接対決5/11
チームメイト対決

直接対決

ドライバーリザルト

Gasly possesses superior experience at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, which is crucial for building a base setup in FP1.

Alonso is a master of this technical circuit and consistently extracts more raw pace from the car in early practice sessions.

Hulkenberg’s reputation as a qualifying specialist often carries over into single-lap pace during practice sessions.

Perez has struggled with consistency and qualifying pace this season, while Bottas typically provides a more stable baseline in practice.

Leclerc remains one of the fastest drivers on the grid over a single lap, which is usually reflected in his FP1 pace.

Ocon’s experience with car development and setup feedback gives him a slight edge over the rookie Bearman in initial FP1 runs.

Norris continues to act as the primary benchmark for the team, generally finding the limit of the car earlier in the weekend.

Antonelli is currently the hottest driver in the field, displaying immense confidence and raw pace that has consistently outmatched Russell in recent rounds.

Lawson has significantly more F1 experience and understands the nuances of track evolution better than the rookie Lindblad.

Verstappen is the clear team leader and dominant force at this circuit, unlikely to be outpaced by his teammate in any session.

Sainz possesses a higher peak performance ceiling and adapts quickly to car setup changes, which is beneficial on a technical track like Barcelona.

AI FP1 分析

レース分析

George Russell asserts dominance in opening Barcelona practice as young guns take center stage
Free Practice 1 at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya proved to be an intriguing exercise in balancing team data collection with a mandate for rookie exposure. George Russell set the pace early, utilizing Mercedes’ aerodynamic efficiency to navigate the circuit’s demanding high-speed sweepers, finishing with a commanding 1:16.363. Oscar Piastri secured the second spot for McLaren, signaling that while the Woking team may have had a quiet start to the weekend, their chassis remains highly competitive in high-downforce trim. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc rounded out the top three, though the team was noticeably focused on longer-run evaluation rather than pure qualifying snapshots. The session was particularly notable for the influx of fresh talent, with Leonardo Fornaroli delivering a standout performance to finish P5 in the McLaren. His ability to slot immediately into the top half of the field suggests both the car's inherent drivability and the growing readiness of the junior generation. Conversely, it was a frustrating morning for Williams, whose technical gremlins underscored the precarious nature of practice sessions when reliability failures strike, leaving them on the back foot for the remainder of the weekend's setup work.
戦略
The data from FP1 confirms that tire degradation will be the primary variable for Sunday’s race strategy. Track temperatures and the abrasive nature of the Barcelona surface are already inducing significant wear, particularly on the soft compounds. Teams are expected to shift focus toward multi-stop strategies, with heavy emphasis on rear-axle management during the long-run simulations. While Mercedes currently holds the edge in raw pace, the race outcome will likely be determined by who can manage the thermal degradation through Turn 3 and the final sector best during the high-fuel stints.
ハイライト
RUN1
Session start and rookie takeover
Multiple teams fielded mandatory rookie drivers (including Leonardo Fornaroli and Paul Aron), leading to varied run programs and a slightly disjointed start to setup evaluation.
RUN2
George Russell's benchmark pace
George Russell asserted Mercedes' control on the circuit, breaking into the 1:16s early and maintaining a consistent advantage that highlights Mercedes' efficiency through the long corners.
RUN3
Williams reliability drama
Williams suffered severe issues with both drivers; Carlos Sainz delayed in the pit lane with restart issues and Luke Browning confined to the garage, severely limiting their data collection.
RUN4
Tire degradation analysis
Drivers reported high degradation levels, confirming that thermal management of the Pirelli rubber will be the defining tactical constraint for the Sunday Grand Prix.
AIの注目ドライバー
Leonardo Fornaroli
In his debut F1 event session, Fornaroli showcased remarkable composure and pace, finishing a stellar P5 and proving he can extract immediate performance from the McLaren MCL40.
AI予想レビュー
Our weekend prediction correctly identified Mercedes as a force to be reckoned with, but the FP1 leaderboard highlighted a few surprises in the rookie ranks that deviated from our standard grid expectations.
的中: Our assessment of Mercedes' strength at this circuit was validated by George Russell's P1, aligning with our expectation of their aero efficiency advantage.
外れ: We did not account for the impact of mandatory rookie sessions, which shuffled the order and meant drivers like Kimi Antonelli did not participate in FP1, affecting our comparative analysis of the championship leaders.

フリー走行2

AIレース予想

予想の結論

最速予想

After topping the FP1 timesheets with a strong setup in the morning, Russell is expected to maintain his momentum and fine-tune his qualifying pace for the afternoon session.

天気予報DRY
気温24°C
路面温度39°C
雨12%
風14 km/h
その他の予想
最速コンストラクターMercedes
優勝タイム差0.180sec
予想精度

スコアカード

予想精度
予想 vs 実績
項目予想実績結果
マージン0.18s0.01s
天候drydry
気温24°29°
予想
最速
TOP 580%
コンストラクター
直接対決7/11
チームメイト対決

直接対決

ドライバーリザルト

Colapinto showed superior pace in FP1 and carries better recent momentum into the second session.

Despite a slow FP1, Alonso's experience at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya typically allows him to extract more performance in FP2.

Hulkenberg remains the consistent benchmark for the team, particularly in refining setup for single-lap pace.

Perez has higher peak speed potential and will be looking to reset his form after recent difficult weekends.

Leclerc is exceptionally strong in Friday practice sessions and usually optimizes his one-lap pace better than Hamilton at this circuit.

Bearman looked significantly more comfortable during the opening session and is building confidence rapidly.

Piastri is currently showing more consistency and confidence in his race craft compared to Norris.

Russell topped FP1 and is currently maximizing the Mercedes package more effectively than his rookie teammate.

Lawson has a clear experience advantage and showed better pace in the opening practice session.

Verstappen is the dominant force at this circuit and will be focusing on race simulation pace, where he rarely falters.

Sainz has displayed a stronger comfort level with the car balance at Barcelona so far this weekend.

AI FP2 分析

レース分析

McLaren asserts dominance as Norris edges out Russell in tight Barcelona FP2 showdown.
Friday's FP2 session at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya signaled a potential shift in the competitive order, with McLaren firmly establishing themselves as a primary threat to Mercedes. Lando Norris topped the timesheets with a 1:15.426, narrowly edging out George Russell by just 0.009s, while Oscar Piastri confirmed the team's strength by securing third. The session confirmed that McLaren has successfully ironed out the inconsistencies seen in previous rounds, with both drivers looking comfortable on both qualifying and race simulations. Conversely, the mood at Red Bull and Mercedes was more tempered. Max Verstappen spent much of the session audibly frustrated with his car's lack of grip, unable to challenge for the top three and finishing nearly nine-tenths off Norris. Meanwhile, Kimi Antonelli, returning to the cockpit after sitting out FP1, found himself half a second adrift of the pace, citing balance issues. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc kept the prancing horse in the mix with a respectable fourth, though the team still appears to be chasing the setup window on this demanding, high-abrasion circuit.
戦略
The data from FP2 points toward a high-degradation race, with the abrasive track surface and high temperatures stressing the C2/C3/C4 tyre compounds. Teams struggled with front-left tyre longevity, particularly in the long, high-speed Turn 3 and the final sector. While a two-stop strategy remains the standard prediction for Sunday, the lack of long-run data from drivers like Liam Lawson and Valtteri Bottas—both hampered by mechanical issues—means the full impact of tyre degradation on race pace remains slightly uncertain. Expect teams to prioritize low-deg setups, likely sacrificing some single-lap pace to protect the front axle for the race distance.
ハイライト
RUN1
Liam Lawson's gearbox failure
Triggered a Virtual Safety Car early in the session, severely limiting long-run data collection for Racing Bulls.
RUN2
Max Verstappen's struggle with balance
The Red Bull driver reported significant grip issues, finishing P6 and highlighting ongoing difficulties with the car's setup compared to McLaren and Mercedes.
RUN3
Lando Norris sets the benchmark
Norris' 1:15.426 on soft tires proved unbeatable, confirming McLaren's resurgence and strong one-lap pace.
RUN4
Kimi Antonelli's technical frustrations
The championship leader struggled with car balance and traffic, finishing 0.5s off the pace, suggesting Mercedes has work to do to regain their competitive edge.
AIの注目ドライバー
Oscar Piastri
Piastri's consistency throughout the session was striking; finishing just 0.057s behind his teammate, he effectively neutralized the Mercedes threat and proved his own podium-contention capability.
AI予想レビュー
We correctly identified the top teams, but our confidence in a Mercedes lock-out was thwarted by McLaren's unexpected pace leap.
的中: We correctly anticipated the tight gap at the front, with the top three drivers separated by less than a tenth of a second.
外れ: We overestimated Kimi Antonelli’s dominance; his struggle with car balance saw him finish P5, failing to challenge for the P1 finish we predicted.

フリー走行3

AIレース予想

予想の結論

最速予想

Despite a slower start in Friday's practice sessions, the championship leader typically finds the extra tenths in FP3 qualifying simulations as the track rubbers in.

天気予報DRY
気温32°C
路面温度53°C
雨0%
風9 km/h
その他の予想
最速コンストラクターMercedes
優勝タイム差0.284sec
予想精度

スコアカード

予想精度
予想 vs 実績
項目予想実績結果
マージン0.28s0.21s
天候drydry
気温32°32°
予想
最速
TOP 580%
コンストラクター
直接対決8/11
チームメイト対決

直接対決

ドライバーリザルト

Gasly possesses greater experience in finding the limit of the car during final practice, and while Colapinto has been competitive, Gasly typically ramps up performance on Saturday.

Despite a difficult start to the weekend, Alonso's ability to extract extra pace in qualifying simulations usually gives him the edge over Stroll in FP3.

Hulkenberg is a renowned one-lap specialist and is likely to refine his setup to edge out the rookie Bortoleto as the track grip improves.

Perez has struggled significantly with pace at this circuit so far this weekend, whereas Bottas has maintained a relatively steadier performance.

Leclerc has shown superior one-lap pace throughout the opening practice sessions in Barcelona and historically favors this circuit's technical layout.

Bearman has outpaced Ocon in both practice sessions this weekend, indicating a better comfort level with the car balance at this track.

Norris topped the FP2 timesheets and has been the more consistent force for McLaren; he is favored to maintain that momentum in FP3.

Russell demonstrated sharper single-lap pace in FP2 and has the experience to optimize his setup ahead of the crucial qualifying hour.

Lindblad showed impressive pace in FP2 by finishing P7, outperforming Lawson, and will look to carry that confidence into Saturday.

Verstappen remains the clear team leader and benchmark; his ability to maximize the car's potential in FP3 is consistently superior to his teammate.

Sainz has shown a distinct pace advantage over Albon in the opening sessions and will be determined to put in a strong performance at his home Grand Prix.

AI FP3 分析

レース分析

George Russell surges to the top in final practice as Mercedes and Ferrari prepare for a strategic tire battle in Barcelona.
The final practice session at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya provided a tactical masterclass, with teams balancing the desperate need for qualifying pace against the harsh reality of the 2026 tire degradation levels. George Russell’s P1 lap set the tone for Mercedes, appearing to have found the 'sweet spot' in car balance that eluded them in earlier sessions, though teammate Kimi Antonelli remained curiously buried in P7, likely prioritizing high-fuel, race-trim optimization over glory runs. Ferrari continues to be the dark horse of the weekend. Charles Leclerc’s P3 finish, combined with strong long-run data, suggests that their significant upgrade package is effectively managing thermal degradation—a critical factor on this abrasive track. With the 2026 regulations placing a premium on hybrid energy deployment and mechanical grip, the battle between the Mercedes' raw pace and Ferrari’s stability is set to define the starting grid. Meanwhile, the midfield remains incredibly tight, with the gap from P7 to P12 separated by less than a second, setting the stage for a chaotic qualifying session.
戦略
The data from FP3 reaffirms that Barcelona will be a mandatory two-stop race. High track temperatures—hovering around 52°C—are chewing through the tires, with lateral loads in the long-radius corners forcing engineers to prioritize cooling over pure aerodynamic downforce. Expect teams to lean heavily on the medium-to-hard compounds during the race, as the soft tire is already showing signs of rapid degradation after only a few laps. Track evolution remains minimal due to the high-abrasion nature of the surface, meaning the 'rubbering in' effect is less pronounced than at other circuits. The race will likely be won by whoever can optimize their ERS (Energy Recovery System) harvesting in the 'quieter' moments of the track to ensure they have enough electrical boost to defend on the main straight.
ハイライト
RUN1
George Russell sets the benchmark with a 1:15.679
Confirmed Mercedes' single-lap turn of pace on the soft compound, signaling a strong recovery from Friday's setup struggles.
RUN2
Charles Leclerc maintains Ferrari's competitive edge
Ferrari's third-place finish confirms their upgrade package is yielding results, particularly regarding tire longevity in high ambient temperatures.
RUN3
Max Verstappen struggles to break the top five
Red Bull's persistent balance issues in the high-speed third sector suggest they may have to compromise qualifying performance for race-day stability.
AIの注目ドライバー
Oscar Piastri
Securing P2 in a closely fought session demonstrates his ability to extract maximum performance from the McLaren, keeping him right on the heels of the leaders.
AI予想レビュー
The prediction correctly identified Mercedes as a front-runner, though the specific order of the drivers was inverted compared to the actual session results.
的中: We correctly identified Mercedes' dominant single-lap pace and the critical nature of tire degradation at this circuit.
外れ: We anticipated Kimi Antonelli to dominate P1, but he finished P7, likely indicating the team shifted him to long-run testing while Russell focused on qualifying simulation.
FAQ

Barcelona Grand Prix 予想に関するよくある質問

2026 Barcelona Grand Prix の優勝予想は?
George Russell (Mercedes)
2026 Barcelona Grand Prix の表彰台予想は?
P1: George Russell。P2: Lewis Hamilton。P3: Kimi Antonelli。
2026 Barcelona Grand Prix のポールポジション予想は?
Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
Barcelona Grand Prix の予想においてAIが考慮する要素は?
High track temperatures affecting tire life. Mercedes front-row lockout pace.
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