第 3 站 · 3月27日 · NAGOYA

Japanese大奖赛

领奖台

  • 1Kimi ANTONELLIMercedes
  • 2Oscar PIASTRIMcLaren
  • 3Charles LECLERCFerrari

3月29日星期日 · UTC 05:00
正赛结果

赛果回顾。

#车手车队积分起步顺位+/−时间FL
P1
ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI
Mercedes
25
P1
1:32.432
1:32.432
P2
PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI
McLaren
18
P3
+1
+13.722s
1:32.996
P3
LECLERCCharles LECLERC
Ferrari
15
P4
+1
+15.270s
1:32.634
P4
RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL
Mercedes
12
P2
-2
+15.754s
1:32.549
P5
NORRISLando NORRIS
McLaren
10
P5
+23.479s
1:33.208
P6
HAMILTONLewis HAMILTON
Ferrari
8
P6
+25.037s
1:32.777
P7
GASLYPierre GASLY
Alpine F1 Team
6
P7
+32.340s
1:33.691
P8
VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPEN
Red Bull
4
P11
+3
+32.677s
1:33.552
P9
LAWSONLiam LAWSON
RB F1 Team
2
P14
+5
+50.180s
1:34.230
P10
OCONEsteban OCON
Haas F1 Team
1
P12
+2
+51.216s
1:34.256
P11
HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG
Audi
P13
+2
+52.280s
1:33.732
P12
HADJARIsack HADJAR
Red Bull
P8
-4
+56.154s
1:33.837
P13
BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO
Audi
P9
-4
+59.078s
1:34.164
P14
LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD
RB F1 Team
P10
-4
+59.848s
1:34.314
P15
SAINZCarlos SAINZ
Williams
P16
+1
+65.008s
1:34.514
P16
COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO
Alpine F1 Team
P15
-1
+65.773s
1:34.512
P17
PEREZSergio PEREZ
Cadillac F1 Team
P19
+2
+92.453s
1:35.637
P18
ALONSOFernando ALONSO
Aston Martin
P21
+3
+1 LAP
1:36.221
P19
BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS
Cadillac F1 Team
P20
+1
+1 LAP
1:36.269
P20
ALBONAlexander ALBON
Williams
P17
-3
+2 LAPS
1:33.427
DNF
STROLLLance STROLL
Retired
Aston Martin
P22
1:37.217
DNF
BEARMANOliver BEARMAN
Retired
Haas F1 Team
P18
1:35.604
天气干地
气温18.6°C
赛道温度34.1°C
湿度52%
风速2 km/h
AI正赛分析

赛后复盘。

Kimi Antonelli masters Suzuka chaos to become F1's youngest championship leader.
The 2026 Japanese Grand Prix will be remembered as a coming-of-age moment for Kimi Antonelli, though it began in disaster. From pole position, the Mercedes driver suffered excessive wheelspin, plunging to sixth by the first corner as Oscar Piastri capitalized to lead the field. For the first third of the race, Piastri looked in control, while the Mercedes duo of Antonelli and George Russell struggled to regain ground, with Russell notably choosing to pit early in an attempt to undercut the leaders. The race narrative shifted violently on lap 22 when a heavy shunt for Oliver Bearman brought out the Safety Car. While Russell and the front-runners had already compromised their strategy by stopping early, Antonelli and Lewis Hamilton were the primary beneficiaries, executing a 'cheap' pit stop that vaulted the young Italian into the effective lead. Following the restart, Antonelli displayed veteran poise, managing his pace to build a comfortable gap. Behind him, the battle for the final podium spots was intense, with Charles Leclerc ultimately holding off a charging George Russell to secure third, cementing a day of mixed fortunes for the Silver Arrows.
策略
This race was won and lost in the pit lane, primarily dictated by the lap 22 Safety Car. The strategic landscape was split between those who pitted early, like George Russell, hoping to undercut the leaders on hard tires, and those like Antonelli who extended their first stint on the Mediums. When the caution period neutralized the field, the 'gamblers' who had stayed out—specifically Antonelli—were effectively gifted a free pit stop. This decimated the advantage built by early stoppers, leaving drivers like Russell frustrated as they fell behind those who had lucked into the perfect pit window. It was a classic example of track position and timing overriding raw pace at the historic Suzuka Circuit.
关键时刻
第 1 圈
Antonelli drops from pole to P6
A sluggish start opened the door for Oscar Piastri to seize the lead, completely changing the tactical outlook of the race.
第 22 圈
Safety Car deployed for Ollie Bearman crash
The critical turning point; Antonelli, who had yet to pit, gained a 'free' stop and emerged at the front of the field, fundamentally altering the race result.
第 53 圈
Chequered flag
Antonelli crosses the line to secure back-to-back victories, vaulting him into the lead of the Drivers' Championship.
当日最佳车手
Kimi Antonelli
Fans voted for Antonelli for his resilience in recovering from a disastrous start to drive a flawless, calculated race that ultimately secured him the championship lead.
AI 车手之选
Liam Lawson
Starting from 14th on the grid, Lawson executed a masterful race to climb into the points and finish 9th, demonstrating excellent tire management and race craft.
正赛数据

核心数据。

赛段最快时间
第 S1 赛段最快
33.662
Kimi ANTONELLI
第 S2 赛段最快
40.919
Charles LECLERC
第 S3 赛段最快
17.578
George RUSSELL
超车
218 次超车
总计
218
超车王
49
Liam LAWSON
被超最多
18
Gabriel BORTOLETO
最佳超车手
1LAW
49
2HUL
17
3BOR
13
4OCO
12
5HAD
11
轮胎策略
MEDIUM
HARD
SOFT
113274053
P1ANTONELLI
M
H
1×
P2PIASTRI
M
H
1×
P3LECLERC
M
H
1×
P4RUSSELL
M
H
1×
P5NORRIS
M
H
1×
P6HAMILTON
M
H
1×
P7GASLY
M
H
1×
P8VERSTAPPEN
M
H
1×
P9LAWSON
M
H
1×
P10OCON
M
H
1×
事故与罚单
49 个事件
删除圈数
7
处罚
1
SC / VSC
1
L4CAR 18 (STR) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 1 14:15:19
L12CAR 87 (BEA) TIME 1:37.790 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 11 14:31:24
L15BLACK AND WHITE FLAG FOR CAR 41 (LIN) - MOVING UNDER BRAKING
L21CAR 11 (PER) TIME 1:38.735 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 20 14:46:19
L22SAFETY CAR DEPLOYED
L26LAPPED CARS MAY NOW OVERTAKE THE SAFETY CAR: 77
观看回放

3月28日星期六 · UTC 06:00
排位赛结果

赛果回顾。

#车手车队Q1Q2Q3
P1
ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI
Mercedes
30.0351:30.035
29.0481:29.048
28.7781:28.778
P2
RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL
Mercedes
29.9671:29.967
29.6861:29.686
29.0761:29.076
P3
PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI
McLaren
30.2001:30.200
29.4511:29.451
29.1321:29.132
P4
LECLERCCharles LECLERC
Ferrari
29.9151:29.915
29.3031:29.303
29.4051:29.405
P5
NORRISLando NORRIS
McLaren
30.4011:30.401
29.7951:29.795
29.4091:29.409
P6
HAMILTONLewis HAMILTON
Ferrari
30.3091:30.309
29.5891:29.589
29.5671:29.567
P7
GASLYPierre GASLY
Alpine F1 Team
30.5841:30.584
29.8741:29.874
29.6911:29.691
P8
HADJARIsack HADJAR
Red Bull
30.6621:30.662
30.1041:30.104
29.9781:29.978
P9
BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO
Audi
30.3591:30.359
29.9901:29.990
30.2741:30.274
P10
LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD
RB F1 Team
30.7811:30.781
30.1091:30.109
30.3191:30.319
P11
VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPEN退赛 Q2
Red Bull
30.5191:30.519
30.2621:30.262
P12
OCONEsteban OCON退赛 Q2
Haas F1 Team
30.9151:30.915
30.3091:30.309
P13
HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG退赛 Q2
Audi
30.3581:30.358
30.3871:30.387
P14
LAWSONLiam LAWSON退赛 Q2
RB F1 Team
30.6571:30.657
30.4951:30.495
P15
COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO退赛 Q2
Alpine F1 Team
30.9311:30.931
30.6271:30.627
P16
SAINZCarlos SAINZ退赛 Q2
Williams
30.9271:30.927
31.0331:31.033
P17
ALBONAlexander ALBON退赛 Q1
Williams
31.0881:31.088
P18
BEARMANOliver BEARMAN退赛 Q1
Haas F1 Team
31.0901:31.090
P19
PEREZSergio PEREZ退赛 Q1
Cadillac F1 Team
32.2061:32.206
P20
BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS退赛 Q1
Cadillac F1 Team
32.3301:32.330
P21
ALONSOFernando ALONSO退赛 Q1
Aston Martin
32.6461:32.646
P22
STROLLLance STROLL退赛 Q1
Aston Martin
32.9201:32.920
天气干地
气温16.5°C
赛道温度29.7°C
湿度52%
风速1.7 km/h
事故与罚单
26 个事件
删除圈数
1
处罚
1
CHEQUERED FLAG
CHEQUERED FLAG
CAR 41 (LIN) TIME 1:31.537 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 18 15:50:40
BLACK AND WHITE FLAG FOR CAR 44 (HAM) - DRIVING UNNECESSARILY SLOWLY IN PIT EXIT ROAD
CHEQUERED FLAG
AI排位赛分析

赛后复盘。

Mercedes locks out the front row at Suzuka as Max Verstappen suffers a shock Q2 elimination.
The 2026 Japanese Grand Prix qualifying session at Suzuka will be remembered as a seismic shift in the status quo. The drama began early in the session as the field grappled with the high-speed demands of the figure-of-eight circuit. Q1 delivered immediate shockwaves, with Carlos Sainz and Oliver Bearman failing to make the cut, leaving both scrambling for a solution as their teams struggled to find the necessary rhythm on the C3 soft compound tires. The real earthquake occurred in Q2, where Max Verstappen—the standard-bearer for dominance at this venue for years—was eliminated in 11th. The Dutchman was audibly frustrated over the team radio, describing his Red Bull as 'undrivable' and struggling with mid-corner instability. With the six-car elimination rule in effect, his failure to reach Q3 opened the door for a chaotic and unpredictable pole shootout. In Q3, the battle for the top spot intensified between the Mercedes and McLaren drivers. While Charles Leclerc initially looked poised to snatch pole position, a costly error at the exit of the Spoon curve on his final push lap dropped him to fourth. Kimi Antonelli, capitalizing on the car's improved high-speed balance, threaded the needle perfectly to claim pole position, leading a Mercedes front-row lockout with George Russell alongside him. Oscar Piastri put in a stellar performance to secure third, ensuring the McLaren threat remains very real for Sunday’s race.
策略
Qualifying strategy at Suzuka was dominated by tire preparation and traffic management, particularly in the rapid sector one 'S' curves. With the introduction of the C1, C2, and C3 tire range, teams struggled to find the optimal window for the softest compound, leading to significant track evolution throughout the session. Drivers who prioritized a 'cool-down' lap to reset tire temperatures before their final flying effort gained a distinct advantage. Track evolution played a massive role, with grip levels increasing noticeably between Q1 and Q3. However, the tight margins meant that any traffic in the final sector could destroy a lap. The strategic decision to go early in Q3 proved wise for the Mercedes pair, who avoided the peak of the track congestion that caught out several others in the closing minutes of the shootout.
关键时刻
Q1
Carlos Sainz and Oliver Bearman eliminated in Q1
A stunning early exit for high-profile drivers, shaking up the midfield grid order early on.
Q2
Max Verstappen eliminated in Q2
The reigning champion failed to progress to the top 10 shootout, citing severe handling issues with the car.
Q3
Charles Leclerc error at Spoon
A potential pole-contending lap was ruined by a mistake at the exit of the Spoon curve, limiting the Ferrari driver to fourth.
Q3
Kimi Antonelli secures Pole
The young Italian claimed the top spot in the final shootout, cementing his back-to-back pole positions.
AI 车手之选
Oscar Piastri
Piastri performed exceptionally well to split the Ferraris and secure P3, consistently showing he has the pace to challenge the Mercedes duo.
排位赛数据

核心数据。

赛段最快时间
第 S1 赛段最快
31.655
Charles LECLERC
第 S2 赛段最快
39.398
Kimi ANTONELLI
第 S3 赛段最快
17.464
Kimi ANTONELLI
观看回放

3月28日星期六 · UTC 02:30
AI FP3分析

赛后复盘。

Kimi Antonelli leads a dominant Mercedes 1-2 as Max Verstappen and Red Bull falter at Suzuka.
The hierarchy at Suzuka appears increasingly clear, with Mercedes establishing themselves as the class of the field. Kimi Antonelli continued his impressive form, leading a comfortable 1-2 for the Silver Arrows that left the rest of the pack scrambling for scraps. While George Russell was solid, Antonelli’s performance suggests the Italian is finding a new level of confidence in the W17, holding a commanding advantage of nearly three-tenths over his teammate and eight-tenths over the nearest non-Mercedes challenger, Charles Leclerc. Conversely, the narrative for Red Bull has turned sour. Max Verstappen’s P8 finish, combined with his vocal frustration over handling balance and understeer, paints a bleak picture for the reigning champions. The gap to the front is significant, and with Isack Hadjar also languishing in P11, there is genuine concern that the team’s major floor upgrade hasn't delivered the expected performance jump. Meanwhile, McLaren continues to battle 'gremlins,' with Lando Norris suffering through another disrupted session due to energy recovery issues, severely limiting his data collection before qualifying.
策略
Suzuka remains one of the most punishing tracks for tire degradation, and the long-run data hints at a tricky race ahead. With the Mercedes showing superior mechanical grip and aero efficiency, they are currently the favorites to manage the tires best. Ferrari sits comfortably in the 'best of the rest' slot, likely opting for a two-stop strategy to offset their slightly higher degradation compared to the Mercedes pair. The midfield, led by Hulkenberg and a recovering Norris, will likely be decided by who can successfully nurse the tires through the high-load sectors of 130R and Spoon. With qualifying gaps so tight between P9 and P15, track position will be king, making the upcoming qualifying session effectively the most critical hour of the entire weekend.
关键时刻
RUN1
Kimi Antonelli sets the pace
The young Italian's 1:29.362 cements Mercedes' current dominance, putting them nearly three-tenths ahead of teammate George Russell.
RUN2
Lando Norris limited by ERS issues
After missing significant track time with energy harvesting faults, the reigning champion's recovery to P6 suggests the McLaren has raw pace if they can solve reliability.
RUN3
Oliver Bearman spin at Spoon Curve
The Haas driver escaped a potential car-ending moment at the demanding Spoon Curve, highlighting the precarious nature of the high-speed Suzuka circuit.
RUN4
Max Verstappen's struggle in P8
With the Red Bull driver complaining of persistent understeer and ending the session 1.5s off the pace, the reigning team appears to be in a crisis of confidence heading into qualifying.
AI 车手之选
Nico Hulkenberg
Securing P7 in the Audi—a car that has struggled for consistency—is an excellent display of extracting maximum performance over a single lap.
比赛数据

核心数据。

事故与罚单
48 个事件
删除圈数
8
CAR 11 (PER) TIME 1:35.946 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 17 LAP 7 11:44:59
CAR 11 (PER) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 17 (NEXT LAP PIT)
CAR 63 (RUS) LAP DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 14
CAR 12 (ANT) LAP DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 14
CAR 30 (LAW) TIME 1:44.120 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 16 12:23:19
CAR 63 (RUS) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 16 LAP 16 12:24:31

3月27日星期五 · UTC 06:00
AI FP2分析

赛后复盘。

Oscar Piastri stakes his claim at Suzuka as McLaren disrupts Mercedes' Friday rhythm
The Suzuka afternoon sun provided a high-grip canvas for a fascinating tactical battle, with Oscar Piastri ultimately emerging as the man to beat. While Mercedes had controlled the opening hour, Piastri’s 1:30.133 lap in the second session broke the Silver Arrows' grip, highlighting a significant step forward for McLaren. The battle at the front remains razor-thin, with less than two-tenths covering the top three, suggesting that qualifying will be an exercise in absolute precision around the iconic figure-of-eight circuit. Elsewhere, reliability and traffic played major roles in shaping the data. Lando Norris, despite his significant lost track time due to a hydraulics issue, managed to recover to fourth, proving the MCL40's inherent balance. Meanwhile, the midfield battle remains incredibly congested, with just over a second separating P7 and P15. Max Verstappen, managing the specific quirks of the RB22, faced a disjointed session, including a wide moment late on, as Red Bull continues to seek a setup window that allows their drivers to challenge the front-runners consistently.
策略
The data from FP2 points toward a race defined by tire management and energy recovery. With most teams splitting their focus between medium-fuel runs and short qualifying bursts on softs, the degradation patterns suggest the soft compound will be sensitive to the aggressive lateral loads found in the Esses. Strategically, the front-runners appeared focused on heat management in the high-speed sectors, likely prioritizing car balance for the final sector's low-speed technicality. With the field so tightly packed, any potential mid-race safety car—which Suzuka often triggers—will likely turn the grand prix into a high-stakes tactical game where track position and battery deployment become the deciding factors.
关键时刻
RUN1
Lando Norris delayed in garage
A hydraulics issue sidelined Norris for the first 23 minutes, compressing his program and forcing a frantic catch-up in the second half of the session.
RUN2
Fernando Alonso returns to the track
After handing his car to third driver Jak Crawford in FP1, Alonso used FP2 to quickly dial in his setup, though the Aston Martin pair struggled for pace throughout the hour.
RUN3
Alex Albon stops on track
The Williams driver's difficult day continued as his FW48 lost power on track, triggering brief yellow flags and disrupting the rhythm for several drivers on qualifying simulations.
RUN4
Franco Colapinto incident
The Alpine driver came under investigation after weaving on the back straight and impeding Max Verstappen, adding another challenge to an already difficult Friday for the team.
AI 车手之选
Kimi Antonelli
Antonelli continues to demonstrate immense maturity, finishing just 0.092s off the pace despite the high-pressure environment of a championship fight at Suzuka.
比赛数据

核心数据。

事故与罚单
66 个事件
删除圈数
9
SC / VSC
1
VSC DEPLOYED
VSC ENDING
CAR 31 (OCO) TIME 2:06.810 DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 1
CAR 81 (PIA) LAP DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 1
CAR 77 (BOT) LAP DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 1
CAR 3 (VER) TIME 1:48.288 DELETED - DOUBLE YELLOW AT TURN 1

3月27日星期五 · UTC 02:30
AI FP1分析

赛后复盘。

Mercedes flexes muscle at Suzuka as Russell and Antonelli set the pace in FP1
The opening session of the Japanese Grand Prix saw Mercedes assert immediate dominance, with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Russell’s 1:31.666 set the benchmark, but it was the razor-thin 0.026s gap to his teammate Antonelli that caught the eye, suggesting the Silver Arrows have found an ideal balance for Suzuka’s demanding high-speed transitions. McLaren followed closely behind, with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri comfortably securing third and fourth, keeping the pressure on the leaders and looking solid in both qualifying trim and early long-run simulations. While the top five—rounded out by Charles Leclerc’s Ferrari—seemed to settle into a rhythm, the story was quite different for Red Bull. Max Verstappen appeared visibly uncomfortable, complaining of balance issues through the Esses, and could only manage P7, nearly eight-tenths off the pace. Further down, Sergio Perez’s P19 finish raised eyebrows, with the team clearly opting for heavy experimental setup work or potentially masking underlying stability problems that could jeopardize their weekend if not addressed before Qualifying.
策略
Suzuka is traditionally a high-degradation circuit, and FP1 data suggests that the aggressive energy loads through the Degner curves will punish rear tires, potentially steering teams toward a two-stop strategy on Sunday. With Mercedes looking dominant on single-lap pace, their focus likely shifts to refining tire management over race stints. Meanwhile, the significant gap for the Red Bull cars suggests they may have been prioritizing race-setup experiments, but they will need to find meaningful improvements in mid-corner rotation to challenge for the front row later in the weekend.
关键时刻
RUN1
Mercedes lock out the front row in initial flying laps
Sets a dominant tone immediately, showcasing the W17's high-speed cornering balance on the iconic Suzuka circuit.
RUN2
Max Verstappen struggles with balance, ending the session in P7
Indicates potential setup challenges for Red Bull, who appear to be fighting the car's stability in the technical sectors.
RUN3
Strong performance from the McLaren duo in P3 and P4
Confirms the Woking team's threat, staying within two-tenths of the Mercedes pace as they refine their long-run data.
RUN4
Midfield congestion with rookie heavy rotation
Teams like Alpine, Haas, and Williams utilized young talent, compressing the field and highlighting the importance of clean laps in the final sector.
AI 车手之选
Kimi Antonelli
To be immediately on the pace of the session leader at one of the most technical tracks on the calendar proves his championship-level potential.
比赛数据

核心数据。

事故与罚单
68 个事件
删除圈数
13
SC / VSC
1
VSC DEPLOYED
VSC ENDING
CAR 41 (LIN) TIME 1:36.978 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 5 11:37:35
CAR 1 (NOR) TIME 1:34.595 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 14 LAP 4 11:54:50
CAR 63 (RUS) TIME 1:32.084 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 14 LAP 13 11:59:05
CAR 41 (LIN) TIME 1:44.059 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 13 LAP 16 12:01:35
方法论这些预测是如何做出的:数据、信号以及锁定的公开记录。阅读方法论