라운드 6 · 6월 5일 · MONTE CARLO

Monaco그랑프리

포디움

  • 1Kimi ANTONELLIMercedes
  • 2Lewis HAMILTONFerrari
  • 3Pierre GASLYAlpine F1 Team

6월 7일 일요일 · 13:00 UTC
AI 예측

최종 예측.

레이스
예상 포디움

Antonelli has demonstrated superior qualifying pace and is currently on a dominant winning streak, which is crucial at a circuit where track position is paramount. Starting from pole, he is well-positioned to manage the race tempo and defend against the tighter street layout.

날씨 예보DRY
기온23°C
노면 온도41°C
12%
바람12 km/h
레이스 주요 상황
Safety Car
×1yes
VSC
×2yes
Red Flag
yes
관전 포인트
Pole position is decisive on the tight street circuit of Monte Carlo
High probability of race neutralization requiring smart safety car pit strategy
Tire management on the soft compound to avoid the one-stop traffic jam
이변 가능성
Charles Leclerc
Leclerc could leverage his local knowledge and aggressive starts to jump a front-runner early, forcing a strategic defensive drive to claim a historic home victory.
퀵 스탯
우승 격차2.4
완주19
추가 예측
패스티스트 랩Lewis Hamilton
우승 컨스트럭터Mercedes
FL 컨스트럭터Ferrari
피트 전략
첫 피트인Esteban Ocon
마지막 피트인Kimi Antonelli
최단 피트스톱Red Bull Racing
예측
항목
확률
선택
Will Sergio Perez be classified as a DNF?
41%
아니오
6월 8일
Will Lance Stroll be classified as a DNF?
36%
아니오
6월 8일
Will the race winner be the driver who starts on Pole Position?
66%
6월 8일
Will there be a Lap 1 incident resulting in a yellow flag or retirement?
58%
7월 20일
Will there be more than one Safety Car deployment during the race?
43%
아니오
7월 20일
Will the eventual race winner also set the Fastest Lap of the race?
27%
아니오
6월 8일
Will there be a change in the race leader during the final 10 laps?
18%
아니오
7월 20일
Will the WDC points gap between P1 (Kimi Antonelli) and P2 shrink this weekend?
39%
아니오
6월 8일
Will a driver from a team outside the top 3 constructors (Mercedes, McLaren, Ferrari, Red Bull) finish on the podium?
24%
아니오
7월 20일
Will the pole sitter lead every single lap of the race?
14%
아니오
7월 20일
시즌 예측
전체 보기 →
WDC Decided Early
92%6
Leclerc Top 3 WDC
88%23
Ferrari Top 3 WCC
98%6
Mercedes WCC
98%
12 라운드 이후 업데이트 · 18개의 활성 예측
펀 픽(Fun Picks)
카테고리
베팅
확률
야생동물
Will a seagull be caught on the broadcast cameras perching on the track barriers during the race?
65%
방송
Will the broadcast show Prince Albert II looking visibly stressed during a tight overtake at the Loews Hairpin?
55%
혼돈
Will at least one driver 'kiss' the barrier at the Swimming Pool chicane without triggering a red flag?
80%
예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차2.4s6.27s
트랙 상태drydry
온도23°24°
세이프티 카yes (1)yes (2)
VSCyesno
레드 플래그yesyes
완주 분류1915
예측
우승자
포디움33%
TOP 1060%
컨스트럭터
패스티스트 랩
FL 팀
우승 + FL
폴 투 윈
첫 피트스톱
마지막 피트스톱
피트 속도
29/44
H2H9/11
전망5/10
펀 픽0/3
레이스 결과

결과.

#드라이버포인트그리드+/−시간FL
P1
ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI
Mercedes
25
P1
1:13.481
1:13.481
P2
HAMILTONLewis HAMILTON
Ferrari
18
P3
+1
+6.271s
1:14.643
P3
GASLYPierre GASLY
Alpine F1 Team
15
P9
+6
+20.369s
1:15.497
P4
HADJARIsack HADJAR
Red Bull
12
P5
+1
+23.394s
1:15.669
P5
PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI
McLaren
10
P7
+2
+24.261s
1:15.816
P6
LAWSONLiam LAWSON
RB F1 Team
8
P10
+4
+26.553s
1:15.754
P7
LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD
RB F1 Team
6
P15
+8
+29.010s
1:15.908
P8
ALBONAlexander ALBON
Williams
4
P11
+3
+33.413s
1:16.393
P9
OCONEsteban OCON
Haas F1 Team
2
P17
+8
+37.140s
1:16.914
P10
ALONSOFernando ALONSO
Aston Martin
1
P21
+11
+41.899s
1:17.120
P11
BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO
Audi
P16
+5
+42.748s
1:16.803
P12
RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL
Mercedes
P6
-6
+43.353s
1:15.773
P13
HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG
Audi
P13
+44.102s
1:16.332
P14
COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO
Alpine F1 Team
P14
+48.964s
1:16.316
P15
PEREZSergio PEREZ
Cadillac F1 Team
P18
+3
+49.153s
1:16.891
DNF
SAINZCarlos SAINZ
Retired
Williams
P12
1:18.022
DNF
LECLERCCharles LECLERC
Retired
Ferrari
P4
1:15.964
DNF
STROLLLance STROLL
Retired
Aston Martin
P22
1:18.845
DNF
NORRISLando NORRIS
Retired
McLaren
P8
1:17.670
DNF
BEARMANOliver BEARMAN
Retired
Haas F1 Team
P19
1:18.475
DNF
BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS
Retired
Cadillac F1 Team
P20
1:20.494
DNF
VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPEN
Retired
Red Bull
P2
날씨드라이
기온23.7°C
노면 온도38°C
습도62%
바람0.8 km/h
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

Gasly qualified significantly higher (P9 vs P14) on a track where overtaking is notoriously difficult.

Alonso possesses superior race craft and consistency at Monaco, which is critical for defending or maintaining track position.

Hulkenberg's experience and P13 grid start give him a distinct advantage over the rookie Bortoleto on this street circuit.

Perez historically performs well on street circuits and starts ahead of Bottas on the grid.

Hamilton qualified higher (P3 vs P4) and, given the minimal overtaking opportunities, track position is the primary deciding factor.

Ocon has a better grid position (P17) and more experience managing a race in tight, congested conditions.

Piastri narrowly outperformed Norris in qualifying (P7 vs P8) and should maintain this marginal gap on race day.

Antonelli is on a dominant form streak, starting from Pole Position while his teammate starts down in P6.

Lawson qualified in the top 10 (P10) and has the race experience to defend his position against his rookie teammate.

Verstappen starts on the front row (P2) and consistently manages race pace better than his younger teammate.

Albon edged out Sainz in qualifying (P11 vs P12) and is well-positioned to capitalize on his superior starting slot.

AI 레이스 분석

리포트.

Kimi Antonelli masters the Principality, storming to a maiden Monaco victory in a race of chaos and red flags.
The 2026 Monaco Grand Prix will be remembered as a masterclass from Kimi Antonelli, who navigated a fractured and high-stakes afternoon to secure his fifth win of the season. The race was defined early by the shock retirement of Max Verstappen, who stalled at the start and never rejoined, leaving the path clear for the Mercedes prodigy. While Antonelli managed the gap with surgical precision, the race behind him descended into tactical warfare. The narrative shifted significantly in the final quarter when the track surface at the final corner began to break up, leading to a race-altering red flag on lap 68. The incident, which ended Charles Leclerc’s hopes of a podium, forced the field into a sprint finish following the restart. While George Russell’s race unraveled through a series of pit lane penalties and navigational errors, Lewis Hamilton kept the pressure on his successor, ultimately securing second place for Ferrari. It was a day where experience fought youth, but it was Antonelli who stood tallest amidst the chaos.
전략
The race was a game of tire conservation and tactical reaction. The primary battleground was the pit lane, with the early switch to hard tires for the frontrunners proving to be the right call to manage degradation. However, the late red flag completely reset the strategic landscape, effectively handing a 'free' tire change to those who had managed their equipment best. The crucial delta was the management of the restart phase. Teams that had preserved a set of soft tires for a potential dash were rewarded, while those—like Russell—who fell foul of pit lane regulations and penalties, saw their strategic flexibility completely evaporate. Antonelli’s team managed the transitions perfectly, ensuring he never left himself vulnerable to an undercut.
주요 순간
1 랩
Max Verstappen stalls on the grid and retires, while Antonelli holds the lead from pole.
The early exit of the championship contender opened the door for Antonelli to dictate the race tempo from the front.
28 랩
Lewis Hamilton pits for hard tires, initiating the tactical battle between the lead pack.
This undercut attempt forced the field to react, tightening the gap between Hamilton and the chasing pack.
68 랩
Race red-flagged due to track surface degradation at the final corner and a subsequent crash involving Charles Leclerc.
The stoppage bunched the field, neutralized strategy gaps, and set up a chaotic sprint to the finish.
78 랩
Kimi Antonelli takes the checkered flag, completing a dominant drive under intense pressure.
The result solidified Antonelli's championship lead and cemented his status as a master of the Monaco circuit.
오늘의 드라이버
Kimi Antonelli
Fans voted for Antonelli for his flawless management of the race from lights-out to checkered flag, keeping cool despite multiple safety car interventions and a late red flag.
AI 선정 드라이버
Isack Hadjar
Hadjar drove an exceptionally composed race to secure a podium finish, capitalizing on the chaos around him to prove he belongs in the front-running mix.
AI 예측 검토
Our prediction performance was moderate at 0.62, correctly identifying the winner and the safety car, but failing to account for the red-flag incident.
적중: We correctly identified Kimi Antonelli as the race winner, correctly citing his superior qualifying pace and starting position as the deciding factor.
실패: We incorrectly predicted a podium finish for Charles Leclerc and predicted a race distance without a red flag; the track surface issues completely upended our expected finishing order.
레이스 후 데이터

데이터.

최고 섹터 타임
섹터 S1 베스트
19.379
Kimi ANTONELLI
섹터 S2 베스트
34.566
Kimi ANTONELLI
섹터 S3 베스트
19.536
Kimi ANTONELLI
추월
132회 추월
합계
132
최다 추월자
12
Arvid LINDBLAD
최다 피추월자
20
Max VERSTAPPEN
최다 추월자 순위
1LIN
12
2PER
10
3OCO
10
4ALO
10
5BOR
9
타이어 전략
MEDIUM
SOFT
HARD
120395978
P1ANTONELLI
M
H
S
S
2×
P2HAMILTON
M
H
S
S
2×
P3GASLY
M
H
H
S
2×
P4HADJAR
M
H
H
S
2×
P5PIASTRI
M
H
S
S
2×
P6LAWSON
M
S
S
S
1×
P7LINDBLAD
M
M
S
1×
P8ALBON
M
S
S
S
1×
P9OCON
M
H
H
S
2×
P10ALONSO
S
S
S
1×
사고 및 페널티
269 이벤트
삭제된 랩
30
페널티
17
SC / VSC
2
레드 플래그
1
L9FIA STEWARDS: DRIVE THROUGH PENALTY FOR CAR 11 (PER) - FALSE START - OUT OF POSITION (15:03:08)
L11FIA STEWARDS: PENALTY SERVED - DRIVE THROUGH PENALTY FOR CAR 11 (PER) - FALSE START - OUT OF POSITION (15:03:08)
L14CAR 55 (SAI) TIME 1:18.858 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 16 LAP 12 15:19:04
L15CAR 23 (ALB) TIME 1:18.836 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 14 15:21:23
L20CAR 43 (COL) TIME 1:18.809 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 15 15:22:49
L20CAR 41 (LIN) TIME 1:19.406 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 17 15:25:29
리플레이 보기

6월 6일 토요일 · 14:00 UTC
AI 예측

최종 예측.

예상 폴 포지션

Hamilton demonstrated the strongest single-lap pace during FP2, and Ferrari's chassis setup appears perfectly suited to the Monaco street circuit's high-downforce requirements. His experience in managing the tight, technical sectors gives him the edge in securing the top spot.

날씨 예보DRY
기온20°C
노면 온도38°C
20%
바람14 km/h
레이스 주요 상황
Red Flag
yes
깜짝 탈락
Fernando Alonso
Q1 탈락: Aston Martin has struggled significantly with warm-up and single-lap pace throughout the weekend, making an early exit on this street circuit highly probable.
퀵 스탯
폴 포지션 격차0.084
추가 예측
Q1 1위Charles Leclerc (0.210s)
Q2 1위Max Verstappen (0.120s)
우승 컨스트럭터Ferrari
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

Gasly has consistently demonstrated superior pace across both practice sessions, handling the tight Monaco sector requirements better than Colapinto.

Stroll has shown marginally better pace in practice; while both are struggling, Stroll seems more comfortable with the current car setup on this specific circuit.

Hulkenberg has consistently outpaced his teammate throughout the weekend and brings the necessary qualifying experience for Monte Carlo.

Perez has maintained presence in the top 20 times, whereas Bottas has struggled significantly with pace and visibility in the practice sessions.

While Hamilton topped FP2, Leclerc's intrinsic ability to find single-lap pace at his home race makes him the narrow favorite for qualifying.

Bearman showed impressive growth in FP2, securing a P10 while Ocon remained mired in the bottom half of the field.

Norris suffered a significant drop-off in FP2 (P19), while Piastri displayed consistent top-10 speed, making him the safer bet for qualifying.

Russell edged out Antonelli in FP2; his veteran experience in high-pressure qualifying sessions gives him a slight edge over the rookie.

Lindblad has shown stronger practice pace, consistently staying ahead of Lawson across both sessions in Monaco.

Verstappen is a dominant force on technical street circuits and significantly outperformed Hadjar in both practice sessions.

Sainz has shown better progression with car setup throughout the weekend, edging ahead of Albon in the FP2 classification.

퀄리파잉 결과

결과.

#드라이버Q1Q2Q3
P1
ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI
Mercedes
13.5991:13.599
12.7041:12.704
12.0511:12.051
P2
VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPEN
Red Bull
13.4901:13.490
12.4991:12.499
12.0941:12.094
P3
HAMILTONLewis HAMILTON
Ferrari
13.7771:13.777
12.9341:12.934
12.2791:12.279
P4
LECLERCCharles LECLERC
Ferrari
13.2931:13.293
12.7741:12.774
12.3511:12.351
P5
HADJARIsack HADJAR
Red Bull
14.4081:14.408
12.7221:12.722
12.4341:12.434
P6
RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL
Mercedes
14.2141:14.214
13.2381:13.238
12.4451:12.445
P7
PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI
McLaren
14.1591:14.159
12.9831:12.983
12.6241:12.624
P8
NORRISLando NORRIS
McLaren
13.6301:13.630
12.9191:12.919
12.7651:12.765
P9
GASLYPierre GASLY
Alpine F1 Team
14.4691:14.469
13.7621:13.762
13.2261:13.226
P10
LAWSONLiam LAWSON
RB F1 Team
14.4981:14.498
13.4711:13.471
13.4121:13.412
P11
ALBONAlexander ALBON아웃 Q2
Williams
14.3211:14.321
13.7871:13.787
P12
SAINZCarlos SAINZ아웃 Q2
Williams
14.3481:14.348
13.8151:13.815
P13
HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERG아웃 Q2
Audi
13.9231:13.923
13.9021:13.902
P14
COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO아웃 Q2
Alpine F1 Team
14.5731:14.573
13.9951:13.995
P15
LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD아웃 Q2
RB F1 Team
14.6851:14.685
14.2481:14.248
P16
BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETO아웃 Q1
Audi
14.6831:14.683
P17
OCONEsteban OCON아웃 Q1
Haas F1 Team
14.7221:14.722
P18
PEREZSergio PEREZ아웃 Q1
Cadillac F1 Team
14.7471:14.747
P19
BEARMANOliver BEARMAN아웃 Q1
Haas F1 Team
14.8141:14.814
P20
BOTTASValtteri BOTTAS아웃 Q1
Cadillac F1 Team
15.2831:15.283
P21
ALONSOFernando ALONSO아웃 Q1
Aston Martin
15.3491:15.349
P22
STROLLLance STROLL아웃 Q1
Aston Martin
16.0611:16.061
날씨드라이
기온23.7°C
노면 온도38.5°C
습도55%
바람0.9 km/h
사고 및 페널티
73 이벤트
삭제된 랩
26
페널티
2
레드 플래그
1
CAR 63 (RUS) TIME 1:35.179 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 2 16:02:59
CAR 63 (RUS) TIME 1:33.532 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 3 16:04:26
CAR 11 (PER) TIME 1:30.897 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 16:05:06
CAR 63 (RUS) TIME 1:39.599 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 16:07:16
CAR 11 (PER) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 7 16:07:51 (PIT)
CAR 63 (RUS) TIME 1:33.562 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 6 16:08:50
예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
탈락 예측Q1Q1
트랙 상태drydry
온도20°24°
레드 플래그yesyes
예측
폴 포지션
Q1 최속
Q2 최속
TOP 580%
컨스트럭터
11/11
H2H5/11
AI 퀄리파잉 분석

리포트.

Kimi Antonelli cements his meteoric rise with a sensational pole position at the Monaco Grand Prix.
Saturday in the Principality was a masterclass in high-stakes drama, culminating in a qualifying session that will be remembered for Andrea Kimi Antonelli’s stunning breakthrough. While Ferrari had looked ominous throughout the weekend, the narrative shifted during a frenetic Q1 session interrupted by a red flag caused by Gabriel Bortoleto’s impact with the barriers. The incident left the field scrambling, with Carlos Sainz performing a miracle to claw his way out of the danger zone, while the Haas duo failed to progress. As the session bled into Q3, the tension reached a fever pitch. Charles Leclerc initially looked poised to deliver for the home crowd, snatching provisional pole, but the Monegasque’s efforts were ultimately undone by a late-session error at Tabac. With Ferrari’s challenge faltering, the battle became a straight duel between the championship leader and the reigning champion. Max Verstappen laid down a formidable benchmark, momentarily looking set to deny the Mercedes driver, but Antonelli delivered a peerless final sector to steal the top spot by a razor-thin 0.043s margin.
전략
Qualifying at Monaco is always a game of tire warm-up and gap management. The track evolution was significant, with the rubbering-in of the circuit demanding drivers delay their final push laps until the absolute final seconds of each segment. The red flag in Q1 forced a tactical shift for teams, who had to abandon multi-lap building strategies in favor of 'do-or-die' outlaps. In Q3, the ability to generate heat in the tires without destroying them over the first two sectors proved the deciding factor in the 0.043s gap between the front row.
주요 순간
Q1
Gabriel Bortoleto crashes in Q1
A late-session red flag created a chaotic two-minute scramble to reach Q2, leaving little room for error and forcing title contenders to rush their final preparations.
Q3
Charles Leclerc hits the wall at Tabac
After momentarily snatching provisional pole, the Monegasque driver clipped the barrier on his final flyer, ending his pole charge and dropping him to P4.
Q3
Antonelli's final flying lap
In a display of nerves of steel, the Mercedes driver pipped Max Verstappen by just 0.043s to claim his maiden Monaco pole position.
AI 선정 드라이버
Isack Hadjar
Securing a top-five start in the Red Bull is a phenomenal result for the youngster, showcasing elite adaptability on a track that rarely forgives inexperience.
AI 예측 검토
Our prediction correctly anticipated the high probability of a red flag and the dry, stable conditions, but struggled to accurately forecast the competitive order at the front.
적중: We correctly predicted the high-risk nature of the session, accurately anticipating the red flag that disrupted Q1.
실패: We significantly underestimated Kimi Antonelli's single-lap pace, pinning our pole hopes on Lewis Hamilton, and predicted a much lower finishing position for the eventual pole-sitter.
퀄리파잉 데이터

데이터.

최고 섹터 타임
섹터 S1 베스트
18.827
Max VERSTAPPEN
섹터 S2 베스트
33.957
Lewis HAMILTON
섹터 S3 베스트
19.083
Max VERSTAPPEN
리플레이 보기

6월 6일 토요일 · 10:30 UTC
AI 예측

최종 예측.

예상 패스티스트 랩

Antonelli arrives in Monaco with unmatched momentum after three consecutive wins, demonstrating superior car control and confidence on this high-precision street circuit.

날씨 예보DRY
기온24°C
노면 온도38°C
1%
바람13 km/h
추가 예측
가장 빠른 컨스트럭터Mercedes
우승 격차0.190sec
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

While Colapinto is showing strong race pace, Gasly’s experience on the narrow streets of Monaco gives him the edge in establishing a rhythm during the critical FP3 setup session.

Alonso is a master of street circuits and extracting maximum pace from the car in one-lap qualifying simulations, far outpacing Stroll's consistency.

Hulkenberg’s qualifying prowess is well-documented, and he is better equipped to handle the high-risk, high-reward nature of Monaco's qualifying simulations in FP3.

Perez is historically one of the strongest drivers on street circuits and will be pushing hard to recover confidence after a difficult outing in Canada.

Leclerc is incredibly fast at his home Grand Prix; his ability to find the limit on these specific streets usually results in him dominating practice sessions.

Ocon’s experience in the midfield helps him navigate the tight, twisty Monaco sectors more effectively than the rookie Bearman during final practice.

Norris needs a strong weekend to regain momentum after his DNF in Canada and will likely prioritize a cleaner, faster FP3 to set the tone for qualifying.

Antonelli is in the form of his life, winning three consecutive races; his current confidence level makes him the favorite to edge out Russell even in practice.

Lawson possesses significantly more F1 machinery experience, which is vital for building confidence and speed safely on the tight Monaco layout.

Verstappen’s setup ability and raw pace are vastly superior to the rookie Hadjar, especially at a technical circuit like Monaco where car placement is everything.

Sainz is exceptionally technical and excels at street circuits; he typically manages the tire warm-up and gap-finding in FP3 better than Albon.

예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차0.19s0.33s
트랙 상태drydry
온도24°23°
예측
최속
TOP 560%
컨스트럭터
H2H9/11
AI FP3 분석

리포트.

Kimi Antonelli stuns with Mercedes resurgence as Ferrari battles brake woes in final Monaco practice.
Mercedes has officially disrupted the Ferrari narrative at the Monaco Grand Prix. After a dominant Friday for the Scuderia, Kimi Antonelli roared to the top of the timesheets in FP3, dipping under the 73-second barrier with a 1:12.720. This lap suggests that Mercedes has found the critical setup window that eluded them yesterday, turning the qualifying battle into a three-way fight between Antonelli and the Ferrari duo. While Ferrari maintains strong single-lap potential, both Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton were audibly frustrated with brake performance throughout the hour. This is a troubling development for the Prancing Horse; if the team cannot resolve these temperature and modulation issues, it could compromise not only their qualifying precision but also their ability to defend against the charging Mercedes on race day. Elsewhere, McLaren struggled to find their footing, with Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris unable to challenge the top five, while Oliver Bearman's crash at Massenet added a chaotic, red-flagged dimension to the final preparations.
전략
The data from FP3 underscores that track position will be the primary currency this weekend. The traffic issues witnessed in this session suggest that qualifying will be a chaotic affair, with drivers struggling to generate tire temperature while dodging slower cars. Ferrari’s brake issues must be the priority; if they cannot mitigate the heat soak, they risk an inconsistent race pace that could see them vulnerable to the Mercedes duo. Tire degradation appeared manageable for most, but the soft compound's window is extremely narrow. We expect a strategic focus on clean air and undercut potential, as the tight confines of Monaco make overtaking a rarity, placing a massive premium on the grid spots secured this afternoon.
주요 순간
RUN1
Early traffic and track evolution.
Drivers struggled to find clear air throughout the session, which will be a critical factor in the upcoming qualifying shootout.
RUN2
Ferrari reports ongoing brake concerns.
Both Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton voiced frustrations regarding braking performance, potentially jeopardizing their long-run stability for the race.
RUN3
Oliver Bearman hits the barriers at Massenet.
The incident triggered a red flag, halting progress and disrupting the final qualifying simulations for the rest of the field.
RUN4
Kimi Antonelli sets the fastest lap (1:12.720).
Mercedes unlocked significant pace overnight, signaling a serious threat to Ferrari's dominance on the streets of Monte Carlo.
AI 선정 드라이버
Kimi Antonelli
His ability to outperform established leaders like Leclerc and Hamilton on the tightest track of the year demonstrates remarkable maturity and car control.
AI 예측 검토
Our podium candidates—Hamilton, Antonelli, and Leclerc—are clearly the fastest drivers, but the order is far more volatile than anticipated.
적중: We correctly identified that the podium fight would be locked between Ferrari and Mercedes, with all three of our predicted top drivers currently sitting in the top 3.
실패: We underestimated Kimi Antonelli's raw pace, placing him P2 in our predictions while he is currently outperforming our P1 pick, Lewis Hamilton.
세션 데이터

데이터.

사고 및 페널티
73 이벤트
삭제된 랩
47
레드 플래그
1
CAR 44 (HAM) TIME 1:51.026 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 12:35:54
CAR 77 (BOT) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 12:35:55 (PIT)
CAR 77 (BOT) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 16 LAP 5 12:36:15 (PIT)
CAR 16 (LEC) TIME 1:16.505 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 6 12:37:00
CAR 43 (COL) TIME 1:29.111 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 3 12:37:28
CAR 11 (PER) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 4 12:37:48 (PIT)

6월 5일 금요일 · 15:00 UTC
AI 예측

최종 예측.

예상 패스티스트 랩

Coming off three consecutive victories, the championship leader carries unmatched momentum into the technical streets of Monaco, where his precision is currently setting the benchmark.

날씨 예보DRY
기온23°C
노면 온도39°C
8%
바람12 km/h
추가 예측
가장 빠른 컨스트럭터Mercedes
우승 격차0.280sec
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

Gasly's superior experience on technical street circuits like Monaco will help him find a rhythm earlier in the practice session than his teammate.

Alonso is a master of extracting lap time on tight, unforgiving circuits, and his precision is vital during FP2 setup runs.

Hulkenberg possesses the raw one-lap pace necessary for Monaco and typically outperforms rookies in the early stages of a race weekend.

Despite his struggles recently, Perez is historically a strong street-circuit performer and needs to build confidence in FP2 to secure his seat.

Leclerc will be pushing hard on his home circuit, and his unique ability to attack the curbs at Monaco gives him the edge in practice simulations.

Ocon’s experience in managing complex street track telemetry will prove more reliable than Bearman's, who will be focused on learning the limits.

Piastri's smooth and methodical driving style often translates well to Monaco, while Norris will be looking to regain momentum after a difficult Canadian GP.

Antonelli is riding an incredible wave of form and confidence, which is the most critical factor when building pace around the walls of Monte Carlo.

Lawson has more F1 track time under his belt, which is crucial for maximizing the limited windows available in FP2.

Verstappen’s aggression and car control are perfectly suited to Monaco, and he will look to assert dominance immediately in practice.

Sainz is a highly technical driver who excels at circuit management and rhythm, giving him an advantage over Albon on this tight track.

예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차0.28s0.11s
트랙 상태drydry
온도23°23°
예측
최속
TOP 580%
컨스트럭터
H2H7/11
AI FP2 분석

리포트.

Hamilton surges to the top in Monte Carlo as Ferrari dominance leaves rivals scrambling
Friday in the Principality was a statement of intent from Ferrari, with Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc monopolizing the top two spots in FP2. Hamilton’s 1:13.026 benchmark highlighted the SF-26's prowess in low-speed traction—a vital commodity for the tight confines of Monaco. While the team looks dominant, the gap to Max Verstappen in third remains razor-thin, keeping Red Bull firmly in the hunt for Saturday's pole position battle. Mercedes showed steady progression with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli finishing fourth and fifth, though both noted the car remains a handful over the bumps. Down the order, the narrative was defined by frustration rather than pace. Lando Norris, a pre-weekend favorite, saw his session severely curtailed by a mechanical issue, leaving McLaren with a massive data deficit heading into final practice. Similarly, Sergio Perez’s smoky exit served as a stark reminder of Monaco’s unforgiving nature, with fire damage putting the Cadillac garage on high alert. With track evolution accelerating rapidly, the field is tightening up, but Ferrari currently holds the ace in this high-stakes game of street-circuit chess.
전략
FP2 data confirms that tire degradation is remarkably low, which will push teams toward a aggressive one-stop strategy. The track evolution between sessions was significant, meaning the grip levels will continue to spike through FP3 and Qualifying. Teams are heavily prioritizing the Soft compound for qualifying simulations, but with the high probability of a safety car intervention, long-run fuel loads were compromised today. Those who can balance single-lap pace with a car that doesn't 'bottom out' through the tunnel will hold the advantage on Sunday.
주요 순간
RUN1
Lewis Hamilton sets the pace
Ferrari's upgrade package proves effective on street circuits, with Hamilton finding the confidence to push into the 1:13s early.
RUN2
Lando Norris stops on track
A significant reliability issue for McLaren at the Nouvelle Chicane cost the reigning champion critical track time, leaving him P19 and on the back foot.
RUN3
Sergio Perez technical failure
A smoking Cadillac forced a Virtual Safety Car (VSC) and eventual early end to the session, disrupting long-run simulations for the entire field.
RUN4
Isack Hadjar returns
After his FP1 crash, the Red Bull junior successfully rejoined the session, proving the team's mechanics can recover quickly from heavy impacts.
AI 선정 드라이버
Charles Leclerc
Despite being eclipsed by his teammate, Leclerc's consistency across both sessions suggests he is the most comfortable driver on the grid, perfectly poised for a home-soil qualifying masterclass.
AI 예측 검토
We correctly identified Mercedes' pace and Ferrari's strength, but underestimated Lewis Hamilton's personal performance while over-relying on Kimi Antonelli's recent momentum.
적중: We correctly predicted that Mercedes would maintain a top-5 presence for both cars, accurately gauging their technical suitability for this circuit.
실패: We failed to predict the reliability issues plaguing Lando Norris and Sergio Perez, which completely derailed the mid-field order compared to our finishing-order projection.
세션 데이터

데이터.

사고 및 페널티
110 이벤트
삭제된 랩
72
SC / VSC
1
레드 플래그
1
CAR 41 (LIN) TIME 1:29.778 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 3 17:02:54
CAR 81 (PIA) TIME 1:41.635 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 2 17:02:56
CAR 5 (BOR) TIME 1:17.865 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 4 17:04:14
CAR 23 (ALB) TIME 1:25.104 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 4 17:05:25
CAR 77 (BOT) TIME 1:17.674 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 4 17:05:21
CAR 5 (BOR) TIME 1:36.758 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 16 LAP 5 17:05:57

6월 5일 금요일 · 11:30 UTC
AI 예측

최종 예측.

예상 패스티스트 랩

Coming off three consecutive race wins, Antonelli is exhibiting supreme confidence and pace, and his ability to quickly adapt to the technical demands of the Monaco circuit makes him the clear favorite to top the first practice session.

날씨 예보DRY
기온24°C
노면 온도38°C
3%
바람13 km/h
추가 예측
가장 빠른 컨스트럭터Mercedes
우승 격차0.352sec
팀메이트 배틀

헤드투헤드.

드라이버결과

Gasly's superior experience on technical street circuits allows him to build rhythm faster in the opening session than the rookie Colapinto.

Alonso is a master of the Monaco circuit and will be significantly quicker to find the limits of the track than Stroll in FP1.

Hulkenberg's veteran experience is invaluable at Monaco for navigating tight sections early in the weekend compared to the rookie Bortoleto.

Perez is currently struggling with form and confidence, giving Bottas the edge to execute a cleaner, faster FP1 session.

Leclerc is historically exceptional in Monaco and will likely dial in his setup quicker than Hamilton for this specific home-race venue.

Ocon's experience in managing race weekends gives him a slight advantage in FP1 pace over Bearman.

Norris typically demonstrates superior raw one-lap pace, which is the primary objective during the initial phases of FP1.

Antonelli is currently in peak form with three consecutive race wins and topped FP1 in Canada, showing he is the driver to beat.

Lawson has a better grasp of race weekends and track positioning, which is crucial for building speed at Monaco compared to the rookie Lindblad.

Verstappen is the benchmark for high-downforce, technical street circuits and will almost certainly be faster than his less-experienced teammate.

Sainz's precise driving style is well-suited to the demands of Monaco, allowing him to push earlier than Albon.

예측 정확도

스코어카드.

예측 정확도
예측 vs 실제
지표예측값실제값결과
격차0.35s0.23s
트랙 상태drydry
온도24°24°
예측
최속
TOP 580%
컨스트럭터
H2H7/11
AI FP1 분석

리포트.

Charles Leclerc lays down a statement of intent on home soil as Ferrari tops a congested FP1 in Monte Carlo.
The 2026 Monaco Grand Prix weekend got off to a flying start as Charles Leclerc reminded the field exactly why he is a force to be reckoned with at home, topping the timesheets with a blistering 1:13.978. While the early phase of the session was dedicated to data gathering—with plenty of aero rakes spotted across the pit lane—the focus quickly shifted to qualifying simulations as teams hunted for track position. The Ferrari driver looked incredibly planted, finding rhythm through the technical sectors that the rest of the field struggled to match consistently. Mercedes appears to be the primary threat to Ferrari this weekend, with Lewis Hamilton slotting into P2, though the real surprise was the confidence shown by Kimi Antonelli. Finishing P4 in his first-ever Monaco practice session is a significant achievement, outpacing his more experienced teammate George Russell. Meanwhile, Max Verstappen took P3 for Red Bull Racing; while he isn't quite at the top, the team is clearly prioritizing balance over raw lap time, with the RB23 looking stable despite the inherent struggles of navigating the Principality's tight confines.
전략
The data from FP1 suggests a high-degradation scenario on the soft compounds, meaning qualifying will be the paramount focus for the entire grid. While we saw plenty of long-run attempts, the 'Monaco Train' effect is already evident; track position will be absolute gold, and teams are already shifting their setup focus to prioritize low-speed traction and corner exit over outright top speed. Track evolution was significant, with lap times dropping rapidly. Teams that prioritized finding a stable platform that allows the driver to attack the curbs—like Ferrari and Mercedes—will hold the advantage. Expect a heavy emphasis on tire preservation during Saturday's final practice, as finding the 'sweet spot' for the tire warmup in qualifying will likely decide the front row.
주요 순간
RUN1
Initial setup verification and aerodynamic rake testing
Teams focused on verifying correlation between the wind tunnel and the unique, high-downforce demands of the street circuit.
RUN2
Charles Leclerc sets the 1:13.978 benchmark
The Monegasque driver signals his intent early, showing immediate comfort and pace on home turf.
RUN3
Rookie Kimi Antonelli slots into P4
A standout performance for the young Mercedes driver, demonstrating the maturity required for the narrow streets on his first outing.
RUN4
Accelerated track evolution and near-misses
As the surface rubbered in, traffic management became the primary challenge, with several drivers flirting with the barriers at the Swimming Pool.
AI 선정 드라이버
Kimi Antonelli
To be P4 on his first-ever Monaco outing, while keeping the car off the walls, is a testament to his exceptional talent and maturity.
AI 예측 검토
We were slightly optimistic regarding a Mercedes 1-2 sweep in FP1, as Ferrari has arrived with a more aggressive pace than anticipated.
적중: We correctly identified Kimi Antonelli as a major contender, and his P4 result proves he is a genuine threat this weekend.
실패: We underestimated the pure one-lap pace of Charles Leclerc and Ferrari, who have clearly prioritized an aggressive setup for the opening practice.
세션 데이터

데이터.

사고 및 페널티
130 이벤트
삭제된 랩
53
페널티
1
SC / VSC
1
레드 플래그
2
CAR 16 (LEC) TIME 2:14.473 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 5 LAP 2 13:31:16
CAR 43 (COL) TIME 1:26.305 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 3 13:32:58
CAR 16 (LEC) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 13:36:30 (PIT)
CAR 14 (ALO) LAP DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 13:37:10 (PIT)
CAR 55 (SAI) TIME 1:20.942 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 5 13:37:26
CAR 10 (GAS) TIME 1:18.683 DELETED - TRACK LIMITS AT TURN 10 LAP 6 13:38:28
방법론예측 생성 방식: 데이터, 지표, 그리고 변조 불가능한 공개 기록.방법론 읽기