RONDE 14 · 13 SEP · MADRID

SpanishGrand PrixMadrid

Kimi ANTONELLI wint vanaf P2

Uitslag van de Spanish Grand Prix 2026: volledige raceclassificatie, podium, kwalificatie, snelste ronden, pitstops en sectortijden op Madring, plus de prestaties van onze AI-voorspellingen. 13 september 2026.

Het oordeel

De AI zat ernaast met de winnaar.

ResultaatAI-voorspelling
  1. P1ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLIMercedesNorrisLando NorrisFout
  2. P2VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPENRed Bull RacingAntonelliKimi AntonelliFout
  3. P3NORRISLando NORRISMcLarenVerstappenMax VerstappenFout
Nauwkeurigheid 35%
WeerAI-verwachtingDroog · Lucht 32°C · Baan 49°CWerkelijkDroog · Lucht 30.6°C · Baan 53.3°C
VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID

De scorekaart.

VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID
VOORSPELLING VS WERKELIJKHEID
METRIEKVOORSPELLINGWERKELIJKRESULTAAT
MARGE2.15s4.35s
CONDITIESdrydry
TEMPERATUUR32°31°
SAFETY CARyes (1)no
VSCyesyes
RODE VLAGnono
GEKLASSEERD2018
CALLS
WINNAAR
PODIUM0%
TOP 1090%
CONSTRUCTOR
SNELSTE RONDE
FL TEAM
WIN + FL
POLE → WIN
1E PIT
PIT SNELHEID
TEAM VOORSPELLINGEN36/44 voorspellingen
H2H9/11
PROGNOSE2/9
LEUKE VOORSPELLINGEN0/1

Jouw zet

Volgende: Singapore GP

Belangrijke momenten

Kimi Antonelli capitalizes on a crucial Virtual Safety Car mix-up to claim victory at Madrid's inaugural Spanish Grand Prix.

  1. Ronde 1A chaotic start at the Madring sees Lando Norris hold pole position while Kimi Antonelli and Max Verstappen run wide, resulting in Antonelli cutting corners and later yielding position.Set an intense tone for the opening laps and kept the front-running order tightly packed before strategy took over.
  2. Ronde 6Lewis Hamilton suffers a sudden brake malfunction entering Turn 5, brushing the barrier and forcing an early retirement.Robbed Ferrari of a strong potential podium challenge and heavily hurt his championship standing.
  3. Ronde 16A Virtual Safety Car is deployed right after race leader Lando Norris passes pit entry, trapping him out for another slow-speed lap.Triggered a massive strategic swing, allowing Kimi Antonelli and the following pack to pit for a cheap stop while Norris fell down the order.
  4. Ronde 48Charles Leclerc finally pits from the lead after long holding out on hard tires hoping for a full Safety Car.Handed the net lead back to Kimi Antonelli, dropping Leclerc down to a lonely fourth place at the checkered flag.
TEAMGENOTEN DUELS

Onderling.

COUREURRESULTAAT

Lando Norris starts from pole position on a tight new street circuit where overtaking is extremely difficult, giving him a massive strategic advantage over Piastri in P7.

Kimi Antonelli starts on the front row in P2 with stellar championship momentum, whereas George Russell has ground to make up from P6.

Max Verstappen starts safely up on the second row in P3, holding a significant pace and grid advantage over teammate Liam Lawson in P8.

Lewis Hamilton narrowly out-qualified Leclerc to start P4, and his steady racecraft should keep him ahead on a track where passing is tough.

Franco Colapinto delivered a strong qualifying performance to start in the top ten at P9, well ahead of Pierre Gasly down in P14.

Arvid Lindblad lines up inside the top ten at P10, providing a solid cushion over the teammate who starts back in P15.

Nico Hulkenberg starts just ahead of Bortoleto in P11 and brings vast experience to defend track position on Madring's narrow layout.

Esteban Ocon starts from P13, while Oliver Bearman is forced to start from the back after missing qualifying due to a heavy FP3 crash.

Alexander Albon starts one spot ahead of home favorite Carlos Sainz in P16, giving him the slight track-position edge in a tight Williams intra-team battle.

Fernando Alonso starts from P18, whereas Lance Stroll is heavily penalized and starting from the back of the grid.

Sergio Perez out-qualified Valtteri Bottas and starts in P19, holding a slight grid advantage at the tail end of the field.

Het weekend

  1. Session replayBekijk replayPosities per ronde, tijdsverschillen en vlaggen
    AI-VOORSPELLINGEN

    De voorspelling.

    VOORSPELD POLE

    Kimi Antonelli has dominated the weekend practice sessions, topping both FP2 and FP3, and carries exceptional momentum with 7 wins this season.

    VOORSPELLING WEERDRY
    lucht24°C
    baan41°C
    regen10%
    wind12 km/h
    Race-incidenten
    Rode vlag
    yes
    VERRASSENDE ELIMINATIE
    Pierre Gasly
    Erut in Q2: Despite showing flashes of pace, traffic and track evolution catch out Alpine in a tight midfield battle during Q2.
    SNELLE STATISTIEKEN
    POLE MARGE0.166
    Meer voorspellingen
    Q1 SNELSTEKimi Antonelli (0.241s)
    Q2 SNELSTEKimi Antonelli (0.183s)
    WINNEND CONSTRUCTEURMercedes
    KWALIFICATIE-RESULTATEN

    De resultaten.

    #COUREURTEAMQ1Q2Q3
    P1
    NORRISLando NORRIS
    McLaren
    33.4691:33.469
    32.8731:32.873
    31.8241:31.824
    P2
    ANTONELLIKimi ANTONELLI
    Mercedes
    33.2671:33.267
    32.5911:32.591
    31.8351:31.835
    P3
    VERSTAPPENMax VERSTAPPEN
    Red Bull Racing
    33.3811:33.381
    32.4311:32.431
    31.9641:31.964
    P4
    HAMILTONLewis HAMILTON
    Ferrari
    33.5311:33.531
    32.7101:32.710
    32.0131:32.013
    P5
    LECLERCCharles LECLERC
    Ferrari
    33.5321:33.532
    32.7551:32.755
    32.0191:32.019
    P6
    RUSSELLGeorge RUSSELL
    Mercedes
    33.2111:33.211
    32.8501:32.850
    32.1491:32.149
    P7
    PIASTRIOscar PIASTRI
    McLaren
    33.8291:33.829
    33.2041:33.204
    32.2941:32.294
    P8
    LAWSONLiam LAWSON
    Red Bull Racing
    33.3101:33.310
    32.7801:32.780
    32.3161:32.316
    P9
    COLAPINTOFranco COLAPINTO
    Alpine
    33.9631:33.963
    33.0381:33.038
    32.9031:32.903
    P10
    LINDBLADArvid LINDBLAD
    Racing Bulls
    34.3401:34.340
    33.2041:33.204
    33.0411:33.041
    P11
    HULKENBERGNico HULKENBERGOUT Q2
    Audi
    34.4171:34.417
    33.2231:33.223
    –
    P12
    BORTOLETOGabriel BORTOLETOOUT Q2
    Audi
    33.9861:33.986
    33.3881:33.388
    –
    P13
    OCONEsteban OCONOUT Q2
    Haas F1 Team
    34.6671:34.667
    33.6671:33.667
    –
    P14
    GASLYPierre GASLYOUT Q2
    Alpine
    34.2461:34.246
    33.7531:33.753
    –
    P15
    TSUNODAYuki TSUNODAGASTOUT Q2
    Racing Bulls
    34.3111:34.311
    34.0841:34.084
    –
    P16
    ALBONAlexander ALBONOUT Q2
    Williams
    35.3071:35.307
    35.5321:35.532
    –
    P17
    SAINZCarlos SAINZOUT Q1
    Williams
    35.3121:35.312
    –
    –
    P18
    ALONSOFernando ALONSOOUT Q1
    Aston Martin
    35.3881:35.388
    –
    –
    P19
    PEREZSergio PEREZOUT Q1
    Cadillac
    35.9131:35.913
    –
    –
    P20
    BOTTASValtteri BOTTASOUT Q1
    Cadillac
    38.0111:38.011
    –
    –
    WEERDROOG
    lucht30.8°C
    baan53.8°C
    vochtigheid18%
    wind1.2 km/h
    VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID

    De scorekaart.

    VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID
    VOORSPELLING VS WERKELIJKHEID
    METRIEKVOORSPELLINGWERKELIJKRESULTAAT
    ELIM CALLQ2Q2
    CONDITIESdrydry
    TEMPERATUUR24°31°
    RODE VLAGyesno
    CALLS
    POLE
    Q1 SNELSTE
    Q2 SNELSTE
    TOP 580%
    CONSTRUCTOR
    TEAM VOORSPELLINGEN7/9 voorspellingen
    H2H5/11
    TEAMGENOTEN DUELS

    Onderling.

    COUREURRESULTAAT

    Gasly holds a strong 9–3 qualifying head-to-head advantage this season and shows superior one-lap execution consistency.

    Alonso dominates the intra-team qualifying battle 10–2 and consistently extracts more single-lap speed from the car.

    Hulkenberg has shown slightly better qualifying pace through practice sessions this weekend at Madrid.

    Perez edged out his teammate in FP3 and has a marginal historical edge in tightly contested qualifying margins.

    Leclerc has consistently showcased blistering one-lap speed in practice sessions, securing top-two times leading into qualifying.

    Bearman leads the season qualifying head-to-head 9–4 and has maintained a consistent upper hand over Ocon.

    Norris leads the internal qualifying battle 8–5 and historically converts crucial qualifying sessions with precision.

    Antonelli has dominated practice sessions at Madrid, topping FP2 and FP3 while leading the championship standings.

    Lawson showed stronger pace in FP3 and holds the upper hand in the season qualifying head-to-head.

    Verstappen remains Red Bull's ultimate qualifying benchmark despite a challenging overall season form index.

    Sainz commands a dominant 10–2 qualifying record over Albon this season and brings immense experience to single-lap runs.

    AI KWALIFICATIE ANALYSE

    De debrief.

    Lando Norris snatches a stunning maiden pole position at the inaugural Madring circuit, pipping Kimi Antonelli by a razor-thin margin in a frantic qualifying showdown.
    The historic first-ever Formula 1 qualifying session at the newly minted Madring circuit delivered intense drama from the outset. Q1 immediately crushed local expectations as home favorites Carlos Sainz and Fernando Alonso failed to escape the drop zone, exiting alongside Alexander Albon, Sergio Perez, and Valtteri Bottas in a tightly compressed bottom field. As the session progressed into Q2, track evolution accelerated rapidly, catching out several seasoned campaigners. Audi’s Nico Hulkenberg and Gabriel Bortoleto fell just short of the top-ten shootout, while Esteban Ocon and Pierre Gasly were similarly left stranded. Emerging talents like Alpine's Franco Colapinto and Racing Bulls rookie Arvid Lindblad capitalized brilliantly, squeezing their cars into Q3 against the odds. The pole shootout in Q3 was a masterclass in tension. Lewis Hamilton initially laid down the marker with a sensational provisional lap for Ferrari, leaving Mercedes' title leader Kimi Antonelli and Red Bull's Max Verstappen chasing. However, the final runs saw the track at its absolute peak. Antonelli fired in a stellar effort to temporarily seize control, only for Lando Norris to pull off a sensational final-gasp masterclass in his McLaren, snatching pole position by a razor-thin margin.
    STRATEGIE
    Teams faced a massive challenge mastering the technical layout and rapid track evolution of the Madring circuit, where finding clean air was paramount. With no red flags interrupting the flow, strategists heavily focused on fine-tuning tire preparation windows and timing final runs to catch the peak grip of the asphalt. The importance of a well-managed out-lap could not be overstated, as traffic management dictated who had optimal tire temperatures for their flying laps. While some teams struggled with balance over the curbing, those who prioritized a late run in Q3—most notably McLaren and Mercedes—reaped the ultimate rewards as the track rubbered in.
    SLEUTELMOMENTEN
    Q1
    Home heroes Carlos Sainz and Fernando Alonso suffer shock Q1 exits, bowing out early alongside Alexander Albon and the Cadillac pair.
    Stunned the local Spanish crowd and set up a tense, unpredictable atmosphere for the rest of the session.
    Q2
    Franco Colapinto and Arvid Lindblad punch above their weight to sneak into Q3, while Nico Hulkenberg and Gabriel Bortoleto narrowly miss out for Audi.
    Highlighted tight midfield margins and rewarded rookie and satellite team resilience.
    Q3
    Lewis Hamilton sets a blistering provisional pace in the opening Q3 runs before Lando Norris and Kimi Antonelli trade blows on the final attempts.
    Triggered a thrilling multi-team pole battle resolved only in the dying seconds of the session.
    AI COUREUR KEUZE
    Franco Colapinto
    Extracting maximum performance from the Alpine package to secure a brilliant Q9 starting berth in a hyper-competitive midfield.
    AI-VOORSPELLING REVIEW
    Our predictions achieved a modest 38% overall accuracy score, correctly anticipating key midfield shakeups like Pierre Gasly's Q2 elimination but underestimating the late-session pole charge from McLaren.
    HIT: Accurately pinpointed Pierre Gasly's surprise elimination in Q2 amidst the fierce midfield traffic.
    MISS: Predicted a Mercedes pole position for Kimi Antonelli, missing Lando Norris's breathtaking final-sector surge that snatched pole for McLaren.
  2. Session replayBekijk replayPosities per ronde, tijdsverschillen en vlaggen
    AI-VOORSPELLINGEN

    De voorspelling.

    Na kwalificatie
    VOORSPELD PODIUM

    Starting from pole position around the tight and twisty Madring layout, Norris holds the decisive track position advantage on a circuit where overtaking is extremely difficult. McLaren demonstrated exceptional high-temperature tire management and race pace, giving Norris the tools to control the tempo from Turn 1.

    VOORSPELLING WEERDRY
    lucht32°C
    baan49°C
    regen0%
    wind9 km/h
    Race-incidenten
    Safety Car
    ×1yes
    VSC
    ×1yes
    Rode vlag
    no
    WAAR OP TE LETTEN
    ◆
    Track position and Turn 1 layout: With only 200m from pole to the braking zone of Turn 1 and tight concrete barriers lining the Madring street sectors, passing in dirty air is exceptionally difficult, heavily rewarding front-row starters.
    ◆
    Extreme thermal degradation: Ambient temperatures reaching 32°C and track surface temperatures nearing 50°C will trigger heavy thermal stress on the tires, particularly through the 24% banked Turn 12 'La Monumental'.
    ◆
    High neutralization probability: As an inaugural street race featuring tight walls and minimal runoff, any collision will immediately bring out a Safety Car or VSC, favoring drivers who manage stints flexibly.
    POTENTIËLE VERRASSING
    Max Verstappen
    If front-row starters Norris and Antonelli aggressively squeeze each other into Turn 1, Verstappen could dive down the inside from P3 to claim track position and dictate race strategy from the lead.
    SNELLE STATISTIEKEN
    MARGE WINNAAR2.1
    GEKLASSEERD20
    Meer voorspellingen
    SNELSTE RONDEKimi Antonelli
    WINNEND CONSTRUCTEURMcLaren
    SNELSTE RONDE CONSTRUCTEURMercedes
    Pitstrategie
    Eerste pitstopYuki Tsunoda
    Laatste pitstopFernando Alonso
    Snelste pitstopRed Bull Racing
    DE VOORSPELLING
    PROP
    KANS
    KEUZE
    Will Lance Stroll fail to finish (DNF) the race due to reliability or incident?
    37%
    NEE
    Will a driver from outside the top 3 Constructor teams (Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren) finish on the podium?
    28%
    NEE
    Will there be more than 1 Safety Car deployed during the race at the debut Madring circuit?
    72%
    JA
    Will a first-lap incident occur that brings out a safety car or red flag?
    64%
    JA
    Will an incident at the 24% banked La Monumental turn cause a race neutralization?
    61%
    JA
    Will the polesitter convert their grid position into a race victory at Madring's inaugural Grand Prix?
    58%
    JA
    Will the WDC points gap between P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli and P2 George Russell shrink by the end of this weekend?
    46%
    NEE
    Will the race winner also set the fastest lap of the race?
    41%
    NEE
    Will there be a lead change within the final 10 laps of the race?
    34%
    NEE
    FUN PICKS
    CAT
    WED
    KANS
    KEUZE
    UITZENDING
    Will the international broadcast show a cutaway of Madrid's famous 'El Oso y el Madroño' bear and strawberry tree statue during the race?
    65%
    JA
    CHAOS
    Will a safety car be deployed following an incident at Madring's high-speed La Monumental corner during the race?
    58%
    JA ✗
    CULTUUR
    Will the broadcast capture a fan wearing a traditional Madrileño Chulapo flat cap in the grandstands during the race?
    45%
    JA
    AI RACE ANALYSE

    De debrief.

    Kimi Antonelli capitalizes on a crucial Virtual Safety Car mix-up to claim victory at Madrid's inaugural Spanish Grand Prix.
    Formula 1’s debut at Madrid's tight, unforgiving Madring circuit delivered a tactical chess match rather than an overtaking thriller. Pole-sitter Lando Norris made a clean getaway when the lights went out, though a chaotic first lap saw fierce battling behind him as Kimi Antonelli and Max Verstappen navigated the narrow street layout, with Antonelli briefly cutting corners before giving positions back. Early drama struck Ferrari on Lap 6 when Lewis Hamilton suffered a sudden brake failure into Turn 5, brushing the barriers and forcing a premature retirement that dashed his podium hopes. For the first stint, Norris looked entirely in control, managing a comfortable gap at the front. However, the race was flipped on its head on Lap 16 when a Virtual Safety Car was deployed just moments after Norris had flashed past the pitlane entry. While chasing cars dived straight into the pits for fresh rubber, Norris was forced to complete a full lap at delta speeds before pitting next time around, compounded by a sluggish service from McLaren. As Charles Leclerc elected to stay out on a high-risk long stint hoping for a full safety car neutralization, Antonelli inherited control of the race. Once Leclerc finally pitted on Lap 48, Antonelli cruised to his eighth victory of the season. Max Verstappen drove a stellar recovery to finish second, while an incensed yet resilient Norris salvaged the final step of the podium ahead of Leclerc and George Russell.
    STRATEGIE
    The race was entirely defined by the timing of the Lap 16 Virtual Safety Car. Teams tracking a standard one-stop strategy scrambled as the VSC pit window opened up. Mercedes timed Antonelli's stop to perfection, whereas McLaren's poor timing—calling Norris in just after he missed the pit lane entry under the initial trigger—cost them crucial seconds and track position. Meanwhile, Ferrari's gamble to leave Charles Leclerc out on a lengthy alternative hard-tyre stint ultimately failed to net a full safety car, forcing a late race stop that dropped him off the podium.
    SLEUTELMOMENTEN
    RONDE 1
    A chaotic start at the Madring sees Lando Norris hold pole position while Kimi Antonelli and Max Verstappen run wide, resulting in Antonelli cutting corners and later yielding position.
    Set an intense tone for the opening laps and kept the front-running order tightly packed before strategy took over.
    RONDE 6
    Lewis Hamilton suffers a sudden brake malfunction entering Turn 5, brushing the barrier and forcing an early retirement.
    Robbed Ferrari of a strong potential podium challenge and heavily hurt his championship standing.
    RONDE 16
    A Virtual Safety Car is deployed right after race leader Lando Norris passes pit entry, trapping him out for another slow-speed lap.
    Triggered a massive strategic swing, allowing Kimi Antonelli and the following pack to pit for a cheap stop while Norris fell down the order.
    RONDE 48
    Charles Leclerc finally pits from the lead after long holding out on hard tires hoping for a full Safety Car.
    Handed the net lead back to Kimi Antonelli, dropping Leclerc down to a lonely fourth place at the checkered flag.
    DRIVER OF THE DAY
    Max Verstappen
    Fans voted Max Verstappen Driver of the Day after he bounced back from an early opening-lap scuffle, managed a first-lap position swap with composure, and extracted maximum performance from his Red Bull to secure a brilliant P2 finish.
    AI COUREUR KEUZE
    Kimi Antonelli
    The Mercedes youngster kept his nose clean through early chaos and executed a flawless tactical race, seizing every opportunistic opening to maximize his championship lead.
    AI-VOORSPELLING REVIEW
    Our pre-race predictions achieved an overall accuracy score of 0.29, correctly anticipating dry weather conditions and a neutralisation phase, but getting heavily derailed by the chaotic VSC dynamics and unexpected grid shifts.
    HIT: We correctly predicted the deployment of a Virtual Safety Car neutralization and accurately pegged the dry conditions with track temperatures hovering near 50°C.
    MISS: We missed the podium order completely—projecting Lando Norris to win from pole rather than factoring in the cruel VSC timing that dropped him to third, while also overestimating the total number of classified finishers.

Vrije training

  • Training 1Snelste: George RUSSELLAI zat ernaast
  • Training 2Snelste: Kimi ANTONELLIAI zat ernaast
  • Training 3Snelste: Kimi ANTONELLIAI had het goed

VRIJE TRAINING 1

AI-VOORSPELLINGEN

De voorspelling.

VOORSPELD SNELSTE

Andrea Kimi Antonelli has dominated the season form index and Mercedes has shown exceptional pace out of the box in practice sessions.

VOORSPELLING WEERDRY
lucht24°C
baan40°C
regen15%
wind12 km/h
Meer voorspellingen
SNELSTE CONSTRUCTEURMercedes
OVERWINNINGSMARGE0.340sec
VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID

De scorekaart.

VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID
VOORSPELLING VS WERKELIJKHEID
METRIEKVOORSPELLINGWERKELIJKRESULTAAT
MARGE0.34s0.29s
CONDITIESdrydry
TEMPERATUUR24°27°
CALLS
SNELSTE
TOP 580%
CONSTRUCTOR
H2H5/11
TEAMGENOTEN DUELS

Onderling.

COUREURRESULTAAT

Pierre Gasly holds a 9-3 qualifying head-to-head advantage over Colapinto this season and brings consistent one-lap execution to the brand-new Madring layout.

Alonso dominates their intra-team qualifying battle 10-2 and will adapt quickly to the technical demands of the new Madrid circuit.

Bortoleto holds a slight 7-6 edge in their qualifying head-to-head and has shown strong adaptability on unfamiliar tracks.

Perez matches Bottas closely across the season but edges past in early-weekend session progression data.

Hamilton's strong recency-weighted form and Leclerc's historical over-rating bias tilt this tightly contested Ferrari battle toward Lewis in FP1.

Bearman leads Ocon 9-4 in qualifying head-to-heads and consistently extracts strong single-lap pace early in weekends.

Norris leads their qualifying battle 8-5 and generally demonstrates superior initial pace finding on green track surfaces.

Championship leader Antonelli has been stellar in session pace and holds a 7-6 head-to-head advantage over Russell.

Lawson leads 6-5 head-to-head and brings valuable experience in setting up cars quickly on brand-new circuits.

Verstappen's unmatched ability to find the limit immediately on new tracks gives him the edge in opening practice.

Sainz commands a 10-2 qualifying advantage over Albon and will be exceptionally motivated on home soil at the new Madrid track.

AI FP1 ANALYSE

De debrief.

George Russell leads a Mercedes one-two as Formula 1 samples Madrid's brand-new Madring circuit in a clean FP1.
Formula 1's long-awaited return to Madrid for the debut of the Madring circuit opened with a productive and clean Free Practice 1 session, crowned by a Mercedes one-two. George Russell set the benchmark with a blistering lap of 1:34.077 on soft tires, outpacing teammate and championship leader Kimi Antonelli by nearly three tenths of a second. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton anchored the sharp end of the field in third and fourth, though Hamilton notably ran his fastest efforts on the medium compound, hinting at even greater underlying pace for the Scuderia. Red Bull's Max Verstappen rounded out the top five on softs, while McLaren's Lando Norris settled into sixth. The 5.414km street-hybrid layout immediately presented unique engineering and driving challenges, characterized by high initial asphalt grip juxtaposed with severe traffic congestion. Drivers frequently encountered bottlenecks around the 22-turn circuit, leading to multiple traffic management discussions. Despite drivers pushing past the limit—notable moments including Antonelli running wide at Turn 13 and Audi's duo cutting the Turn 5 chicane—the session ran smoothly without triggering a single red flag, allowing teams to complete crucial setup and baseline data collection.
STRATEGIE
Data from the opening session indicates a high-degradation, heavy-traffic landscape where track position will heavily dictate race outcomes. Teams split their run plans between assessing the medium and soft Pirelli compounds, with medium-runner Lewis Hamilton showing that alternative strategies could yield strong race-pace viability. Finding clean air during qualifying sessions will clearly be the decisive performance bottleneck given the tight, twisty nature of Madrid's new street-hybrid design.
SLEUTELMOMENTEN
RUN1
Sergio Perez experiences an early steering wheel issue while Alpine drivers Pierre Gasly and Franco Colapinto delay their initial exits.
Highlighted the logistical and technical gremlins teams faced when adapting to a brand-new facility.
RUN2
Drivers battle heavy traffic around the tight 22-turn layout, with Lewis Hamilton caught up in multiple impeding logjams.
Emphasized that traffic management and clean air will be critical hurdles during qualifying sessions.
RUN3
Kimi Antonelli runs wide at Turn 13 and Audi drivers cut the Turn 5 chicane while probing grip limits.
Demonstrated how quickly drivers explored track boundaries on the green, high-grip asphalt.
RUN4
The entire one-hour session concludes cleanly without a single red flag interruption.
Provided teams with maximum uninterrupted data-gathering time across long and short runs.
AI COUREUR KEUZE
Arvid Lindblad
An exceptionally mature and punchy performance by the youngster, piloting his car into a stellar 7th place among heavy hitters.
AI-VOORSPELLING REVIEW
Our prediction model successfully anticipated Mercedes setting a strong pace at the top, though practice running highlighted different compound strategies compared to our race projections.
HIT: Correctly projecting Kimi Antonelli and George Russell as front-running benchmarks for Mercedes.
MISS: Underestimating the immediate single-lap speed shown by George Russell and Kimi Antonelli over Ferrari's initial medium-compound runs.

VRIJE TRAINING 2

AI-VOORSPELLINGEN

De voorspelling.

VOORSPELD SNELSTE

George Russell topped FP1 and carries strong Mercedes pace into the afternoon qualifying simulations at the Madring.

VOORSPELLING WEERDRY
lucht30°C
baan49°C
regen0%
wind9 km/h
Meer voorspellingen
SNELSTE CONSTRUCTEURMercedes
OVERWINNINGSMARGE0.240sec
VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID

De scorekaart.

VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID
VOORSPELLING VS WERKELIJKHEID
METRIEKVOORSPELLINGWERKELIJKRESULTAAT
MARGE0.24s0.11s
CONDITIESdrydry
TEMPERATUUR30°30°
CALLS
SNELSTE
TOP 580%
CONSTRUCTOR
H2H8/11
TEAMGENOTEN DUELS

Onderling.

COUREURRESULTAAT

Gasly holds a strong 9-3 qualifying head-to-head advantage over his teammate this season and consistently edges out single-lap pace in practice sessions.

Alonso dominates the internal head-to-head at Aston Martin (10-2) and maintains a significant performance edge over Stroll across all practice conditions.

Hulkenberg showed superior pace in FP1 at Madrid and brings vast experience to extract quick single-lap times during FP2 simulations.

Perez has shown slightly better adaptation in recent sessions, and Bottas suffers from a heavy historical model over-rating bias in performance projections.

Leclerc edges the season qualifying battle 7-6 and showed stronger outright pace in the opening practice session at the Madrid circuit.

Bearman leads 9-4 in their qualifying head-to-head battle this season, giving him the edge in extracting one-lap qualifying simulations.

Norris leads the intra-team qualifying battle 8-5 and posted a quicker time in FP1, establishing himself as the benchmark McLaren driver for FP2.

Russell topped the timesheets in FP1 at Madrid and typically shines in high-fuel and low-fuel practice pace evaluations.

Lindblad outpaced Lawson in FP1 and benefits from an under-rating correction factor that points to strong upward momentum in practice performance.

Verstappen remains Red Bull's primary talisman and showed competitive speed in FP1, outperforming team benchmark expectations.

Sainz holds a commanding 10-2 qualifying advantage over Albon this season and comfortably led the Williams intra-team battle in FP1.

AI FP2 ANALYSE

De debrief.

Kimi Antonelli leads the way for Mercedes at the inaugural Spanish Grand Prix FP2 in Madrid, as Arvid Lindblad triggers a red flag.
Formula 1’s first official Friday afternoon running at the brand-new Madring circuit in Madrid delivered high drama and intense learning curves during Free Practice 2. Following a relatively clean opening session topped by George Russell, the 22-turn hybrid layout quickly bared its teeth as drivers pushed closer to the concrete walls. Championship leader Kimi Antonelli responded to his teammate's earlier pace by ripping out a stellar 1:33.662 lap on the soft compound, securing the top spot by just over a tenth of a second. Ferrari mounted a fierce challenge right behind the young Italian, with Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton ending the hour second and third quickest respectively. Both Scuderia drivers showed strong single-lap capability, though handling complaints regarding front-end bite and thermal management on the soft compound highlighted how fine the margins are on the twisty Spanish venue. Meanwhile, the session proved disastrous for reigning world champion Lando Norris, whose MCL40 suffered an enforced gearbox change that kept him stranded in the garage without a recorded time. Red Bull and McLaren found themselves fighting to extract peak balance from their machines amidst heavy lateral loads and high track temperatures. The competitive order was shaken up further when Racing Bulls standout Arvid Lindblad—who impressed with the fourth-fastest time overall—lost control at the high-speed Turn 13 left-hander and smashed into the barriers. The resulting red flag curtailed the final segment of the session, cutting short the teams' long-run data accumulation ahead of Saturday's crucial qualifying battle.
STRATEGIE
The data harvested from Friday afternoon indicates that track evolution on the fresh asphalt will play a massive role as the weekend progresses. Pirelli's soft compound offers a potent single-lap delta, but maintaining thermal control through Madrid's rapid sequence of medium- and high-speed corners is punishing the rubber. With overtaking expected to be exceptionally difficult around the tight, wall-lined 5.4km layout, grid position will dictate race outcomes. Consequently, teams missing out on long-run data due to reliability snags—such as McLaren with Norris—face an uphill battle to dial in their race simulations.
SLEUTELMOMENTEN
RUN1
Drivers file out onto the brand-new Madring circuit for the start of FP2, with Fernando Alonso experiencing a delayed departure due to lingering clutch issues from FP1.
Teams rushed to maximize tracking time on the high-grip, unforgiving hybrid layout to recover lost simulator correlation.
RUN2
Lando Norris hits trouble early, returning to the garage with a terminal gearbox failure that prevents him from setting a lap time.
A significant setback for McLaren, depriving their championship contender of crucial data on the new circuit.
RUN3
The field transitions to the soft Pirelli compound at the halfway mark, triggering a flurry of rapid improvements across the top teams.
Kimi Antonelli clocks an unbeatable benchmark of 1:33.662 to edge out Ferrari's Charles Leclerc.
RUN4
Arvid Lindblad loses control of his Racing Bulls car at the fast Turn 13 left-hander, slamming into the barriers and bringing out a red flag.
Brought a premature halt to long-run data collection for the final 20 minutes of the session.
AI COUREUR KEUZE
Arvid Lindblad
Despite his late crash, the young Racing Bulls charger put in an exceptional performance to secure fourth overall before the red flag dropped.
AI-VOORSPELLING REVIEW
Our FP2 prediction aligned well with the front-running pace of Mercedes and Ferrari, though unexpected midfield shuffles and reliability gremlins altered the order.
HIT: Correctly anticipating Kimi Antonelli's searing pace and Mercedes' early speed advantage at the top of the timesheets.
MISS: Failing to account for Lando Norris's unfortunate gearbox failure which kept him at the foot of the timing sheets.

VRIJE TRAINING 3

AI-VOORSPELLINGEN

De voorspelling.

VOORSPELD SNELSTE

After topping FP2 and showing exceptional pace throughout the weekend, Antonelli is well-positioned to lead the final practice session for Mercedes.

VOORSPELLING WEERDRY
lucht22°C
baan38°C
regen21%
wind14 km/h
Meer voorspellingen
SNELSTE CONSTRUCTEURMercedes
OVERWINNINGSMARGE0.240sec
VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID

De scorekaart.

VOORSPELLING NAUWKEURIGHEID
VOORSPELLING VS WERKELIJKHEID
METRIEKVOORSPELLINGWERKELIJKRESULTAAT
MARGE0.24s0.17s
CONDITIESdrydry
TEMPERATUUR22°25°
CALLS
SNELSTE
TOP 560%
CONSTRUCTOR
H2H6/11
TEAMGENOTEN DUELS

Onderling.

COUREURRESULTAAT

Gasly maintains a commanding 9-3 qualifying head-to-head advantage this season and consistently superior single-lap pace in the Alpine.

Alonso dominates their intra-team battle (10-2) and Stroll suffers from a severe performance over-rating bias in modeling.

Bortoleto holds a narrow 7-6 advantage over Hulkenberg this season and has shown slightly better adaptation on new circuits.

Bottas carries a heavy negative systemic bias in performance tracking, giving Perez the edge in extracting FP3 lap time.

Leclerc showed stellar one-lap speed by finishing inside the top three in both Friday practice sessions at the Madring.

Bearman leads their qualifying head-to-head 9-4 and has been the stronger single-lap performer for Haas throughout the year.

Norris leads their seasonal qualifying duel 8-5 and boasts superior overall form index metrics heading into Saturday.

Antonelli topped FP2 at the Madring and leads the championship momentum with phenomenal recent form.

Lawson holds a 6-5 head-to-head edge and maintains slight seniority in extracting peak performance during high-stakes practice sessions.

Verstappen retains a definitive raw pace advantage over his rookie teammate across practice sessions despite Red Bull's fluctuating form.

Sainz commands a crushing 10-2 qualifying record over Albon and excels heavily in one-lap qualifying simulations.

AI FP3 ANALYSE

De debrief.

Kimi Antonelli commands a chaotic, double red-flagged FP3 at Madring as Lewis Hamilton and Oliver Bearman crash out.
The final practice session ahead of the Spanish Grand Prix turned into an attrition-heavy thriller at the brand-new Madring circuit. Championship leader Kimi Antonelli firmly established Mercedes' authority by laying down a benchmark lap of 1:32.797, managing to fend off a fierce challenge from Ferrari's Charles Leclerc by just 0.166 seconds. The session was severely disrupted by two red-flag periods, cutting down valuable preparation time for the grid. The first stoppage came midway through when Lewis Hamilton locked up and slammed into the wall at the final corner, subsequently attempting to drag his wounded Ferrari back to the garage in defiance of team instructions. Behind the leading duo, McLaren showed impressive resilience following technical gremlins on Friday, with Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris locking down third and fourth respectively. Max Verstappen rounded out the top five for Red Bull, wrestling with balance limitations as track temperatures soared past 40°C. With tight concrete walls punishing even the smallest misjudgment—exemplified by Albon's early exit and Oliver Bearman's late crash—teams head into qualifying facing high risks and razor-thin margins for error.
STRATEGIE
Data from FP3 highlights extreme thermal sensitivity on Pirelli's compounds as track temperatures climbed, introducing significant graining and degradation risks across long runs. Because overtaking opportunities appear scarce around Madrid's tight layout, track evolution and qualifying position will dictate the narrative on race day. Teams will need to balance aggressive setup configurations with structural reliability to survive the unforgiving barriers.
SLEUTELMOMENTEN
RUN1
Alex Albon clips the wall early in the session, breaking a rear track rod and failing to set a lap time.
Deprived Williams of vital data on a completely green street circuit where track time is at a premium.
RUN2
Lewis Hamilton crashes head-on into the TecPro barriers at the final Turn 22 corner, triggering the first red flag.
Caused a lengthy delay for barrier repairs and sparked drama as Hamilton attempted to limp back to the pits against team orders.
RUN3
Lando Norris returns to competitive running after a gearbox-limited Friday, setting the fourth-fastest time for McLaren.
Confirmed that McLaren successfully bounced back overnight, thrusting them directly into the front-running battle.
RUN4
Oliver Bearman suffers a heavy crash on the approach to Turn 12, prematurely ending the session with a second red flag.
Cut short final qualifying simulations and left engineers scrambling to analyze data before parc fermé.
AI COUREUR KEUZE
Charles Leclerc
Extracted maximum performance out of the Ferrari under tricky track conditions to split the Mercedes cars and finish a close second.
AI-VOORSPELLING REVIEW
Our prediction successfully captured Kimi Antonelli's pace and Mercedes' strong performance at the top, though unexpected session chaos reshuffled the midfield order.
HIT: Accurately projecting Kimi Antonelli to set the pace and lead the charge for Mercedes at the Madring circuit.
MISS: Underestimating the disruptive impact of mid-session red flags and crashes—specifically involving Lewis Hamilton—which altered the expected run-plan hierarchy.
FAQ

Spanish Grand Prix voorspellingen FAQ

Wie wordt er voorspeld als winnaar van de Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid) 2026?
Lando Norris (McLaren)
Wat is het voorspelde podium voor de Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid) 2026?
P1: Lando Norris. P2: Kimi Antonelli. P3: Max Verstappen.
Wie wordt er voorspeld voor de pole position voor de Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid) 2026?
Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
Welke factoren weegt de AI voor de Spanish Grand Prix voorspellingen?
Track position and Turn 1 layout: With only 200m from pole to the braking zone of Turn 1 and tight concrete barriers lining the Madring street sectors, passing in dirty air is exceptionally difficult, heavily rewarding front-row starters.. Extreme thermal degradation: Ambient temperatures reaching 32°C and track surface temperatures nearing 50°C will trigger heavy thermal stress on the tires, particularly through the 24% banked Turn 12 'La Monumental'..
MethodologieHoe deze voorspellingen tot stand komen: data, signalen en een vastgelegd openbaar record.Lees de methodologie
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